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ARMENIA › PREMIER LEAGUE
17.05.2026 15:00
Football Academy Stadium
BKMA
Match Timeline
Ararat-Armenia
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
13'
G. Arakelyan
BKMA
⚽
25'
N. Hovhannisyan
BKMA
🟨
42'
P. Manukyan
BKMA
🔄
46'
P. Alekyan ↔ S. Kirakosyan
BKMA
🔄
46'
K. Muradyan ↔ H. Oliveira
Ararat-Armenia
⚽
58'
M. Avetisyan · Assist: P. Manukyan
BKMA
⚽
62'
A. Eloyan · Assist: A. Ambartsumyan
Ararat-Armenia
🔄
64'
Welton ↔ J. A. Balanta
Ararat-Armenia
🔄
64'
K. Hovhannisyan ↔ A. Ndour
Ararat-Armenia
🔄
69'
G. Petrosyan ↔ A. Askaryan
BKMA
⚽
72'
J. Queiros
Ararat-Armenia
🔄
79'
D. Harutyunyan ↔ A. Petrosyan
BKMA
🔄
79'
M. Ayvazyan ↔ A. Khachatryan
BKMA
🔄
79'
↔ A. Tera
Ararat-Armenia
🔄
79'
A. Eloyan ↔ P. Ayongo
Ararat-Armenia
⚽
83'
H. Oliveira
Ararat-Armenia
🔄
87'
G. Arakelyan ↔ S. Movsisyan
BKMA
🟨
90'
H. Oliveira
Ararat-Armenia
🟨
90+10'
Ararat-Armenia
Ararat-Armenia

BKMA vs Ararat-Armenia Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 87.2%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 64.6%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 69.6%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
87.2%
- ▥
BTTS BTTS Yes
64.6%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
69.6%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
- ▥
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
- ▥
Correct Score 0-2
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
BKMA Win 12.8%
Draw 0%
Ararat-Armenia Win 87.2%
Expected Goals (xG)
BKMA1.06
Ararat-Armenia1.64
Recent Form (Last 5)
BKMA BKMA
WWDLW
27 GF / 38 GA
Ararat-Armenia Ararat-Armenia
WLDWL
50 GF / 30 GA
Key Stats
1.08
Average Goals Scored
1.72
1.52
Average Goals Conceded
1.03
15
BTTS Yes
15
13
Over 2.5
17
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

BKMA BKMA 25 matches
Ararat-Armenia Ararat-Armenia 29 matches
BKMA Statistic Ararat-Armenia
4 Wins 17
10 Draws 7
11 Losses 5
27 Goals For 50
38 Goals Against 30
1.08 Avg Goals Scored 1.72
1.52 Avg Goals Conceded 1.03
15 BTTS Yes 15
20 Over 1.5 21
13 Over 2.5 17
8 Over 3.5 10
5 Clean Sheets 11
9 Failed To Score 5
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by Ararat-Armenia's more proactive style and BKMA's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Ararat-Armenia. Ararat-Armenia look sharper on recent form, and that momentum could be important in key phases of the match. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Ararat-Armenia having the stronger overall control. Ararat-Armenia carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 1 with 54 points while BKMA sit 7 on 22, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely.

BKMA Analysis

BKMA sit 7 with 22 points after 25 league matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 4 wins, 10 draws, and 11 losses, while the 27:38 goal ratio supports the view of poor form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on N. Hovhannisyan (7 goals), G. Petrosyan (6 goals), P. Manukyan (3 goals), with creative support from V. Afyan (5 assists), N. Hovhannisyan (2 assists), L. Bashoyan (2 assists), and defensively they have been fairly stable. At home, the record of 2 wins, 7 draws, and 4 losses points toward a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

Ararat-Armenia Analysis

Operating from 1 place with 54 points from 25 games, Ararat-Armenia bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. The return of 16 wins, 6 draws, and 3 defeats, together with goals at 46:23, reflects very strong form with results showing strong momentum. Much of their attacking edge comes through A. Serobyan (7 goals), A. Eloyan (6 goals), A. Ndour (5 goals), with creative support from Z. Shaghoyan (6 assists), A. Ambartsumyan (3 assists), K. Hovhannisyan (3 assists), while their defending has remained very solid. Away from home, the split of 8 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses supports the view of a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, BKMA won 0 times, Ararat-Armenia won 12 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 15:38 from BKMA's perspective. 10 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 10 matches, with an average of 3.53 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (100%)
Predicted formations: BKMA - / Ararat-Armenia 4-3-3
H2H summary: BKMA wins 0, draws 3, Ararat-Armenia wins 12

Standings

Premier League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 27 18 6 4 50:26 24 60
W W L W W
2 27 16 8 3 61:19 42 56
W D W W W
3 27 17 4 6 37:18 19 55
W D W W L
4 27 16 5 6 42:23 19 53
W W W D D
5 27 14 7 6 43:26 17 49
L D W L W
6 27 9 4 14 27:40 -13 31
L L W W L
7
BKMA Home
27 4 11 12 30:42 -12 23
D L L D W
8 27 5 6 16 20:41 -21 21
L L L L L
9 27 2 7 18 17:51 -34 13
L D L L L
10 27 3 4 20 21:63 -42 13
D L L W L
Champions League Qualification
Conference League Qualification
Relegation