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ENGLAND › CHAMPIONSHIP
22.08.2026 11:30
St. Andrew's Stadium
Referee: Will Finnie, England
Birmingham
Match Timeline
Bristol City
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
32'
Bright Osayi-Samuel
Birmingham
⚽
33'
S. Twine
Bristol City
⚽
42'
S. Tickle
Birmingham
🔄
46'
B. Osayi-Samuel ↔ E. Laird
Birmingham
🔄
62'
C. Vicente ↔ D. Gray
Birmingham
🔄
62'
Paik Seung-Ho ↔ P. Roberts
Birmingham
🔄
65'
J. Wallace ↔ T. Horvat
Bristol City
🔄
65'
L. Tolaj ↔ D. Ballard
Bristol City
🔄
71'
S. Twine ↔ S. Greenwood
Bristol City
🔄
71'
J. Williams ↔ G. Yah
Bristol City
🟨
78'
Patrick Roberts
Birmingham
🔄
78'
A. Priske ↔ L. Vazquez
Birmingham
🔄
84'
J. Stansfield ↔ M. Ducksch
Birmingham
⚽
85'
D. Ballard · Assist: R. Cardines
Bristol City
🟨
90+6'
Jason Knight
Bristol City
🔄
90+1'
Y. Hirakawa ↔ R. Atkinson
Bristol City
⚽
90'
D. Gray
Birmingham

Birmingham vs Bristol City Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 67.5%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 75.1%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 77.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
67.5%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
75.1%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
77.2%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Birmingham Win 67.5%
Draw 4.8%
Bristol City Win 27.7%
Expected Goals (xG)
Birmingham1.6
Bristol City1.02
Recent Form (Last 5)
Birmingham Birmingham
WWDLW
11 GF / 4 GA
Bristol City Bristol City
WLDWL
10 GF / 10 GA
Key Stats
1.83
Average Goals Scored
1.25
0.67
Average Goals Conceded
1.25
3
BTTS Yes
4
4
Over 2.5
3
2
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Birmingham Birmingham 6 matches
Bristol City Bristol City 8 matches
Birmingham Statistic Bristol City
4 Wins 2
2 Draws 3
0 Losses 3
11 Goals For 10
4 Goals Against 10
1.83 Avg Goals Scored 1.25
0.67 Avg Goals Conceded 1.25
3 BTTS Yes 4
4 Over 1.5 6
4 Over 2.5 3
2 Over 3.5 3
3 Clean Sheets 2
1 Failed To Score 4
2 Shots On Goal 0
10 Total Shots 8
8 Corners 6
55% Ball Possession 34%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Birmingham won 8 times, Bristol City won 4 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 23:16 from Birmingham's perspective. 9 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2.6 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (95.2%)
Predicted formations: Birmingham 4-2-3-1 / Bristol City 4-2-3-1
Missing players: Birmingham 4, Bristol City 3
H2H summary: Birmingham wins 8, draws 3, Bristol City wins 4

Standings

Championship
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 9 6 2 1 15:7 8 20
W W W L D
2 9 5 3 1 17:12 5 18
W D D W W
3 9 4 4 1 23:12 11 16
D D W W W
4 9 5 1 3 15:13 2 16
W W W D W
5 8 4 2 2 15:11 4 14
L W W D L
6 9 3 5 1 11:8 3 14
D D D D L
7 9 3 5 1 13:11 2 14
W D W L D
8 9 4 2 3 16:15 1 14
W D D L W
9 9 4 2 3 10:9 1 14
L L D W W
10 9 4 2 3 12:13 -1 14
D W L L W
11 9 5 2 2 20:10 10 13
W L W W D
12 9 3 4 2 8:11 -3 13
D L D D L
13 9 3 3 3 14:13 1 12
W D W L L
14 9 3 3 3 12:11 1 12
W L L W L
15 9 2 5 2 10:13 -3 11
D W L D D
16 9 3 2 4 7:11 -4 11
L L W W D
17 9 3 1 5 12:17 -5 10
L W W L L
18 9 3 0 6 17:19 -2 9
L L L W W
19 8 2 2 4 9:11 -2 8
L D D W L
20 9 2 2 5 7:14 -7 8
L L L W L
21 9 1 4 4 11:14 -3 7
L W L D L
22 9 1 4 4 13:17 -4 7
W D L D L
23 9 1 3 5 8:15 -7 6
D D L L L
24 9 1 1 7 8:16 -8 4
L D L L W
Promotion - Premier League
Promotion - Championship (Play Offs: Semi-finals)
Promotion - Championship (Play Offs: Quarter-finals)
Relegation - League One