LATVIA VIRSLIGA
--.--.---- --:--
Stadions Esplanade
Referee: V. Mordatenko
BFC Daugavpils
Match Timeline
Auda
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🔄
12'
Y. Traore ↔ H. Ibrahim
Auda
🔄
63'
K. Kone ↔ W. Fofana
Auda
🟨
64'
J. Gerold
Auda
🔄
72'
E. Bongemba ↔ B. Diedhiou
Auda
🔄
72'
T. Hrvoj ↔ A. Arroyo
Auda
🔄
73'
J. Gerold ↔ A. Ogunji
Auda
🟨
76'
H. Ibrahim
Auda
82'
E. Daskevics · Assist: W. Fofana
Auda
🔄
85'
M. Sylla ↔ E. Pinaskins
BFC Daugavpils
🟨
87'
A. Garzha
BFC Daugavpils
🟨
90'
A. Traore
BFC Daugavpils
🔄
90+2'
R. Skrebels ↔ E. Ivanovs
BFC Daugavpils

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 69.5%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 26%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 18.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
69.5%
-
BTTS BTTS No
26%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
18.2%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 0-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
BFC Daugavpils Win 30.5%
Draw 0%
Auda Win 69.5%
Expected Goals (xG)
BFC Daugavpils1.22
Auda1.7
Recent Form (Last 5)
BFC Daugavpils BFC Daugavpils
WWDLW
25 GF / 37 GA
Auda Auda
WLDWL
31 GF / 24 GA
Key Stats
1.14
Average Goals Scored
1.72
1.68
Average Goals Conceded
1.33
12
BTTS Yes
11
11
Over 2.5
12
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

BFC Daugavpils BFC Daugavpils 22 matches
Auda Auda 18 matches
BFC Daugavpils Statistic Auda
7 Wins 10
2 Draws 3
13 Losses 5
25 Goals For 31
37 Goals Against 24
1.14 Avg Goals Scored 1.72
1.68 Avg Goals Conceded 1.33
12 BTTS Yes 11
14 Over 1.5 15
11 Over 2.5 12
7 Over 3.5 5
3 Clean Sheets 5
7 Failed To Score 3
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around Auda's more proactive style and BFC Daugavpils's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. BFC Daugavpils have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. Auda carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 3 with 25 points while BFC Daugavpils sit 6 on 14, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward Auda. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Auda having the stronger overall control.

BFC Daugavpils Analysis

BFC Daugavpils sit 6 with 14 points after 13 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Across the season they have posted 4 wins, 2 draws, and 7 defeats, and the 15:21 goal record continues to suggest poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Their attacking burden often falls on A. Garzha (4 goals), J. Yakubu (4 goals), R. Ndjiki (4 goals), with creative support from J. Yakubu (3 assists), R. Ndjiki (3 assists), Z. Ouled-Haj-M'hand (3 assists), while at the back they have been very solid. At home, they have returned 3 wins, 0 draws, and 4 losses, which indicates a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

Auda Analysis

Operating from 3 place with 25 points from 13 games, Auda bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. With 8 wins, 1 draws, and 4 defeats plus a goal balance of 26:19, they continue to show good form over their recent run. Their attacking quality is driven by J. Vergara (10 goals), H. Ibrahim (4 goals), W. Fofana (3 goals), with creative support from E. Daskevics (4 assists), T. Hrvoj (4 assists), J. Vergara (3 assists), and at the back they have appeared very solid. Away from home, they have managed 5 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses, which underlines a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, BFC Daugavpils won 4 times, Auda won 9 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 13:23 from BFC Daugavpils's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2.4 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (100%)
H2H summary: BFC Daugavpils wins 4, draws 2, Auda wins 9

Lineups

BFC Daugavpils
Formation
Auda
J. Beks
J. Beks
R. Skrebels
R. Skrebels
Papa
Papa
C. Taty
C. Taty
G. Mihalcovs
G. Mihalcovs
M. Sylla
M. Sylla
W. Mukwelle
W. Mukwelle
A. Traore
A. Traore
J. Yakubu
J. Yakubu
R. Ndjiki
R. Ndjiki
A. Garzha
A. Garzha
N. Purins
N. Purins
T. Hrvoj
T. Hrvoj
M. Ouedraogo
M. Ouedraogo
D. Melniks
D. Melniks
O. Rubenis
O. Rubenis
Y. Traore
Y. Traore
E. Daskevics
E. Daskevics
K. Kone
K. Kone
E. Bongemba
E. Bongemba
J. Gerold
J. Gerold
J. Vergara
J. Vergara
BFC Daugavpils 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
12
J. Beks
8
R. Skrebels
↓ 90+2'
5
Papa
20
C. Taty
37
G. Mihalcovs
7
M. Sylla
↓ 85'
4
W. Mukwelle
9
A. Traore
🟨 90'
11
J. Yakubu
15
R. Ndjiki
22
A. Garzha
🟨 87'
Substitutes
1
J. Saveljevs
27
M. Kopilovs
66
K. Bujanovs
10
E. Ivanovs
↑ 90+2'
19
E. Pinaskins
↑ 85'
42
A. Saveljevs
2
R. Baikovs
30
L. Lozda
26
R. Vibans
Auda 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
98
N. Purins
2
T. Hrvoj
↓ 72'
4
M. Ouedraogo
21
D. Melniks
71
O. Rubenis
20
Y. Traore
↓ 12'
17
E. Daskevics
⚽ 82'
47
K. Kone
↓ 63'
8
E. Bongemba
↓ 72'
46
J. Gerold
↓ 73' 🟨 64'
7
J. Vergara
Substitutes
1
R. Sturins
22
A. Ogunji
↑ 73'
9
M. Diagne
25
B. Diedhiou
↑ 72'
10
W. Fofana
🎯 82' ↑ 63'
80
S. Aranda
6
R. Kragliks
18
A. Arroyo
↑ 72'
14
H. Ibrahim
↑ 12' 🟨 76'
Last matches: BFC Daugavpils
25.06.26
Vir
BFC Daugavpils
Riga
0
0
D
20.06.26
Vir
BFC Daugavpils
Grobiņa
1
0
W
16.06.26
Vir
BFC Daugavpils
Super Nova
0
0
D
12.06.26
Vir
BFC Daugavpils
Tukums
1
1
D
31.05.26
Vir
BFC Daugavpils
FS Jelgava
1
1
D
21.05.26
Vir
BFC Daugavpils
Ogre United
3
1
W
17.05.26
Vir
BFC Daugavpils
FK Liepaja
1
2
L
13.05.26
Vir
BFC Daugavpils
Rīgas FS
0
1
L
08.05.26
Vir
BFC Daugavpils
Riga
1
3
L
02.05.26
Vir
BFC Daugavpils
Grobiņa
1
1
D
27.04.26
Vir
BFC Daugavpils
Super Nova
0
1
L
21.04.26
Vir
BFC Daugavpils
Tukums
1
1
D
16.04.26
Vir
BFC Daugavpils
FS Jelgava
1
0
W
12.04.26
Vir
BFC Daugavpils
Auda
3
2
W
07.04.26
Vir
BFC Daugavpils
Ogre United
2
1
W
03.04.26
Vir
BFC Daugavpils
FK Liepaja
2
0
W
21.03.26
Vir
BFC Daugavpils
Rīgas FS
1
4
L
14.03.26
Vir
BFC Daugavpils
Riga
2
4
L
07.03.26
Vir
BFC Daugavpils
Grobiņa
0
1
L
28.02.26
Fri
BFC Daugavpils
Rīgas FS
0
1
L
Last matches: Auda
25.06.26
Vir
Auda
Grobiņa
0
1
L
21.06.26
Vir
Auda
Super Nova
2
0
W
17.06.26
Vir
Auda
Tukums
1
2
L
13.06.26
Vir
Auda
FS Jelgava
1
1
D
30.05.26
Vir
Auda
Ogre United
2
0
W
22.05.26
Vir
Auda
FK Liepaja
3
1
W
17.05.26
Vir
Auda
Rīgas FS
0
3
L
12.05.26
Vir
Auda
Riga
1
4
L
07.05.26
Vir
Auda
Grobiņa
7
0
W
01.05.26
Vir
Auda
Super Nova
2
1
W
26.04.26
Vir
Auda
Tukums
2
1
W
21.04.26
Vir
Auda
FS Jelgava
3
2
W
17.04.26
Vir
Auda
Ogre United
1
1
D
12.04.26
Vir
Auda
BFC Daugavpils
2
3
L
08.04.26
Vir
Auda
FK Liepaja
2
1
W
04.04.26
Vir
Auda
Rīgas FS
1
0
W
20.03.26
Vir
Auda
Riga
1
2
L
14.03.26
Vir
Auda
Grobiņa
2
0
W
08.03.26
Vir
Auda
Super Nova
2
1
W
13.02.26
Fri
Auda
Zorya Luhansk
0
3
L
H2H: BFC Daugavpils vs Auda
26.05.26
H2H
BFC Daugavpils
Auda
0
1
L
12.04.26
H2H
Auda
BFC Daugavpils
2
3
W
05.10.25
H2H
BFC Daugavpils
Auda
1
0
W
20.07.25
H2H
Auda
BFC Daugavpils
1
3
W
20.05.25
H2H
Auda
BFC Daugavpils
1
1
D
04.04.25
H2H
BFC Daugavpils
Auda
2
1
W
26.10.24
H2H
BFC Daugavpils
Auda
1
2
L
04.08.24
H2H
Auda
BFC Daugavpils
1
0
L
28.05.24
H2H
BFC Daugavpils
Auda
0
3
L
17.04.24
H2H
Auda
BFC Daugavpils
1
0
L
11.11.23
H2H
Auda
BFC Daugavpils
1
0
L
27.08.23
H2H
BFC Daugavpils
Auda
0
2
L
16.07.23
H2H
BFC Daugavpils
Auda
1
4
L
10.06.23
H2H
Auda
BFC Daugavpils
1
1
D
28.04.23
H2H
BFC Daugavpils
Auda
0
2
L
Last matches: BFC Daugavpils
25.06.26
Vir
BFC Daugavpils
Riga
0
0
D
20.06.26
Vir
BFC Daugavpils
Grobiņa
1
0
W
16.06.26
Vir
BFC Daugavpils
Super Nova
0
0
D
21.05.26
Vir
BFC Daugavpils
Ogre United
3
1
W
13.05.26
Vir
BFC Daugavpils
Rīgas FS
0
1
L
08.05.26
Vir
BFC Daugavpils
Riga
1
3
L
27.04.26
Vir
BFC Daugavpils
Super Nova
0
1
L
16.04.26
Vir
BFC Daugavpils
FS Jelgava
1
0
W
07.04.26
Vir
BFC Daugavpils
Ogre United
2
1
W
03.04.26
Vir
BFC Daugavpils
FK Liepaja
2
0
W
07.03.26
Vir
BFC Daugavpils
Grobiņa
0
1
L
03.02.26
Fri
BFC Daugavpils
Hegelmann Litauen
2
1
W
17.07.25
UEF
BFC Daugavpils
Vllaznia Shkodër
2
4
L
H2H at home: BFC Daugavpils
26.05.26
H2H
BFC Daugavpils
Auda
0
1
L
05.10.25
H2H
BFC Daugavpils
Auda
1
0
W
04.04.25
H2H
BFC Daugavpils
Auda
2
1
W
26.10.24
H2H
BFC Daugavpils
Auda
1
2
L
28.05.24
H2H
BFC Daugavpils
Auda
0
3
L
27.08.23
H2H
BFC Daugavpils
Auda
0
2
L
16.07.23
H2H
BFC Daugavpils
Auda
1
4
L
28.04.23
H2H
BFC Daugavpils
Auda
0
2
L
Last matches: Auda
25.06.26
Vir
Auda
Grobiņa
0
1
L
21.06.26
Vir
Auda
Super Nova
2
0
W
17.06.26
Vir
Auda
Tukums
1
2
L
12.05.26
Vir
Auda
Riga
1
4
L
01.05.26
Vir
Auda
Super Nova
2
1
W
21.04.26
Vir
Auda
FS Jelgava
3
2
W
17.04.26
Vir
Auda
Ogre United
1
1
D
08.04.26
Vir
Auda
FK Liepaja
2
1
W
04.04.26
Vir
Auda
Rīgas FS
1
0
W
14.03.26
Vir
Auda
Grobiņa
2
0
W
13.02.26
Fri
Auda
Zorya Luhansk
0
3
L
06.02.26
Fri
Auda
FK Vozdovac
1
1
D
17.01.26
Fri
Auda
Shanghai Shenhua
0
0
D
10.07.25
UEF
Auda
Larne
0
0
D
H2H away: Auda
26.05.26
H2H
BFC Daugavpils
Auda
0
1
W
05.10.25
H2H
BFC Daugavpils
Auda
1
0
L
04.04.25
H2H
BFC Daugavpils
Auda
2
1
L
26.10.24
H2H
BFC Daugavpils
Auda
1
2
W
28.05.24
H2H
BFC Daugavpils
Auda
0
3
W
27.08.23
H2H
BFC Daugavpils
Auda
0
2
W
16.07.23
H2H
BFC Daugavpils
Auda
1
4
W
28.04.23
H2H
BFC Daugavpils
Auda
0
2
W

Standings

Virsliga
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 20 15 4 1 60:19 41 49
D W W W W
2 19 16 1 2 48:14 34 49
W L W W W
3
Auda Away
20 12 3 5 36:23 13 39
D W L D W
4 19 7 4 8 23:29 -6 25
L L W W D
5 20 6 6 8 21:25 -4 24
D W D D D
6 20 5 7 8 22:35 -13 22
W W L D D
7 20 6 3 11 20:32 -12 21
L L D L L
8 19 3 8 8 33:36 -3 17
L W D L L
9 20 3 8 9 12:30 -18 17
D L W L L
10 19 1 4 14 16:48 -32 7
L W L L D
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Virsliga (Relegation)
Relegation - Nakotnes liga