BULGARIA FIRST LEAGUE
--.--.---- --:--
Stadion Beroe
Referee: D. Dimitrov
Beroe
Match Timeline
Slavia Sofia
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
1'
J. Pineda · Assist: T. Sonha
Beroe
🟨
19'
Mouhamed Dosso
Slavia Sofia
51'
I. Ferrer
Beroe
🔄
61'
E. Stoev ↔ R. Raychev
Slavia Sofia
🔄
61'
Y. Guermouche ↔ E. Gogev
Slavia Sofia
🔄
61'
L. Marin ↔ M. Lazarov
Slavia Sofia
🔄
69'
Caio Lopes ↔ M. Georgiev
Beroe
🔄
69'
S. Gavrilov ↔ S. Brunelli
Beroe
🔄
72'
M. Dosso ↔ B. Todorov
Slavia Sofia
🔄
77'
I. Minchev ↔ M. Miletic
Slavia Sofia
🟨
80'
Iliyan Stefanov
Slavia Sofia
🟨
82'
Marco Borgnino
Beroe
🔄
82'
M. Borgnino ↔ W. Dual
Beroe
🔄
87'
I. Ferrer ↔ S. Rusenov
Beroe
90'
F. Costantini
Beroe

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 96.2%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 30.6%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 35.4%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
96.2%
-
BTTS BTTS No
30.6%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
35.4%
-
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
78.2%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 0-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Beroe Win 3.8%
Draw 0%
Slavia Sofia Win 96.2%
Expected Goals (xG)
Beroe0.85
Slavia Sofia1.29
Recent Form (Last 5)
Beroe Beroe
WWDLW
21 GF / 45 GA
Slavia Sofia Slavia Sofia
WLDWL
37 GF / 34 GA
Key Stats
0.68
Average Goals Scored
1.19
1.45
Average Goals Conceded
1.1
13
BTTS Yes
15
15
Over 2.5
13
2.66
Shots on Goal
2.79

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Beroe Beroe 31 matches
Slavia Sofia Slavia Sofia 31 matches
Beroe Statistic Slavia Sofia
5 Wins 10
11 Draws 10
15 Losses 11
21 Goals For 37
45 Goals Against 34
0.68 Avg Goals Scored 1.19
1.45 Avg Goals Conceded 1.1
13 BTTS Yes 15
18 Over 1.5 24
15 Over 2.5 13
7 Over 3.5 6
11 Clean Sheets 10
15 Failed To Score 9
2.66 Shots On Goal 2.79
7.14 Total Shots 7.93
3 Corners 3.29
32.9% Ball Possession 33.2%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

Looking at the broader profile of both teams, this encounter highlights Slavia Sofia's more proactive style and Beroe's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Slavia Sofia. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Beroe expected to line up in 3-5-2 and Slavia Sofia in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Slavia Sofia having the stronger overall control.

Beroe Analysis

Beroe approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 15 with 26 points from 31 matches. Their record of 5 wins, 11 draws, and 15 losses, together with goals at 21:45, reflects mixed form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through Leandro Godoy (13 goals), Alberto Salido (10 goals), Carlos Algarra López (2 goals), with creative support from Alberto Salido (4 assists), Carlos Algarra López (2 assists), Nene (2 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been quite vulnerable. At home, the split record of 2 wins, 6 draws, and 7 losses points to a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

Slavia Sofia Analysis

From their first 31 matches, Slavia Sofia have collected 40 points and now occupy 9 place in the table. Their overall return of 10 wins, 10 draws, and 11 losses with goals at 37:34 reflects poor form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by Y. Guermouche (6 goals), Emil Stoev (4 goals), K. Balov (4 goals), with creative support from Ivan Minchev (7 assists), K. Balov (5 assists), Y. Guermouche (3 assists), while defensively they have appeared fairly stable. Away from home, the record of 4 wins, 5 draws, and 6 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Beroe won 6 times, Slavia Sofia won 7 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 18:18 from Beroe's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 2.4 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (100%)
Predicted formations: Beroe 3-5-2 / Slavia Sofia 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Beroe wins 6, draws 2, Slavia Sofia wins 7

Lineups

Beroe
Formation
Slavia Sofia
Arthur
Arthur
S. Yovkov
S. Yovkov
F. Costantini
F. Costantini
J. Salomoni
J. Salomoni
S. Gavrilov
S. Gavrilov
D. Valverde
D. Valverde
M. Borgnino
M. Borgnino
Caio Lopes
Caio Lopes
T. Sonha
🎯
T. Sonha
I. Ferrer
I. Ferrer
J. Pineda
J. Pineda
L. Ntumba
L. Ntumba
Diego
Diego
N. Savic
N. Savic
D. Malembana
D. Malembana
L. Marin
L. Marin
M. Dosso
M. Dosso
E. Stoev
E. Stoev
I. Minchev
I. Minchev
I. Stefanov
I. Stefanov
V. Kazaldzhiev
V. Kazaldzhiev
Y. Guermouche
Y. Guermouche
Beroe 3-1-4-2
Starting XI
1
Arthur
G
16
S. Yovkov
D
4
F. Costantini
⚽ 90'
D
3
J. Salomoni
D
24
S. Gavrilov
↓ 69'
M
12
D. Valverde
D
8
M. Borgnino
↓ 82' 🟨 82'
M
5
Caio Lopes
↓ 69'
M
23
T. Sonha
🎯 1'
D
11
I. Ferrer
⚽ 51' ↓ 87'
M
7
J. Pineda
⚽ 1'
M
Substitutes
99
V. Quintero
G
6
I. Mitev
D
9
Y. Valbuena
F
17
W. Dual
↑ 82'
M
18
S. Rusenov
↑ 87'
M
19
E. Kuhinja
F
22
M. Georgiev
↑ 69'
F
25
Johny
D
30
S. Brunelli
↑ 69'
D
Slavia Sofia 4-1-4-1
Starting XI
12
L. Ntumba
G
87
Diego
D
4
N. Savic
D
15
D. Malembana
D
24
L. Marin
↓ 61'
D
11
M. Dosso
↓ 72' 🟨 19'
M
77
E. Stoev
↓ 61'
M
73
I. Minchev
↓ 77'
M
13
I. Stefanov
🟨 80'
M
17
V. Kazaldzhiev
10
Y. Guermouche
↓ 61'
F
Substitutes
99
I. Andonov
G
21
V. Medved
M
8
V. Yotov
M
6
L. Ivanov
D
9
R. Raychev
↑ 61'
M
14
M. Miletic
↑ 77'
F
23
B. Todorov
↑ 72'
7
E. Gogev
↑ 61'
F
22
M. Lazarov
↑ 61'
D
Last matches: Beroe
22.05.26
Fir
Beroe
Botev Vratsa
0
3
L
18.05.26
Fir
Beroe
Septemvri Sofia
0
1
L
14.05.26
Fir
Beroe
Lokomotiv Sofia
1
1
D
10.05.26
Fir
Beroe
Dobrudzha
1
0
W
05.05.26
Fir
Beroe
Montana
2
2
D
24.04.26
Fir
Beroe
Spartak Varna
2
1
W
13.04.26
Fir
Beroe
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
0
0
D
09.04.26
Fir
Beroe
Lokomotiv Sofia
1
2
L
04.04.26
Fir
Beroe
CSKA Sofia
0
3
L
22.03.26
Fir
Beroe
Montana
1
0
W
15.03.26
Fir
Beroe
Levski Sofia
0
1
L
08.03.26
Fir
Beroe
Dobrudzha
0
1
L
03.03.26
Fir
Beroe
Slavia Sofia
0
3
L
28.02.26
Fir
Beroe
Botev Vratsa
0
0
D
22.02.26
Fir
Beroe
Arda Kardzhali
0
0
D
15.02.26
Fir
Beroe
Ludogorets
1
2
L
08.02.26
Fir
Beroe
Botev Plovdiv
0
0
D
31.01.26
Fri
Beroe
Spartak Pleven
2
0
W
24.01.26
Fri
Beroe
Sevlievo
0
1
L
21.01.26
Fri
Beroe
Yantra 2019
1
1
D
Last matches: Slavia Sofia
22.05.26
Fir
Slavia Sofia
Montana
2
0
W
18.05.26
Fir
Slavia Sofia
Lokomotiv Sofia
0
2
L
13.05.26
Fir
Slavia Sofia
Dobrudzha
0
2
L
10.05.26
Fir
Slavia Sofia
Spartak Varna
1
2
L
06.05.26
Fir
Slavia Sofia
Septemvri Sofia
2
1
W
26.04.26
Fir
Slavia Sofia
Botev Vratsa
1
1
D
16.04.26
Fir
Slavia Sofia
Montana
0
0
D
10.04.26
Fir
Slavia Sofia
Septemvri Sofia
1
2
L
05.04.26
Fir
Slavia Sofia
Cherno More Varna
3
1
W
20.03.26
Fir
Slavia Sofia
Botev Plovdiv
0
1
L
13.03.26
Fir
Slavia Sofia
Lokomotiv Sofia
1
1
D
06.03.26
Fir
Slavia Sofia
Spartak Varna
4
0
W
03.03.26
Fir
Slavia Sofia
Beroe
3
0
W
27.02.26
Fir
Slavia Sofia
CSKA 1948
0
2
L
21.02.26
Fir
Slavia Sofia
CSKA Sofia
0
1
L
14.02.26
Fir
Slavia Sofia
Arda Kardzhali
1
2
L
08.02.26
Fir
Slavia Sofia
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
0
2
L
31.01.26
Fri
Slavia Sofia
Marek
2
2
D
25.01.26
Fri
Slavia Sofia
FK Tobol Kostanay
0
1
L
24.01.26
Fri
Slavia Sofia
Tikveš
1
1
D
H2H: Beroe vs Slavia Sofia
02.05.26
H2H
Beroe
Slavia Sofia
3
0
W
03.03.26
H2H
Beroe
Slavia Sofia
0
3
L
21.09.25
H2H
Slavia Sofia
Beroe
0
0
D
14.03.25
H2H
Slavia Sofia
Beroe
2
1
L
27.09.24
H2H
Beroe
Slavia Sofia
1
0
W
17.02.24
H2H
Slavia Sofia
Beroe
3
0
L
19.08.23
H2H
Beroe
Slavia Sofia
3
0
W
15.04.23
H2H
Beroe
Slavia Sofia
0
1
L
17.09.22
H2H
Slavia Sofia
Beroe
2
0
L
03.03.22
H2H
Slavia Sofia
Beroe
2
1
L
30.11.21
H2H
Beroe
Slavia Sofia
2
1
W
14.08.21
H2H
Slavia Sofia
Beroe
3
2
L
21.02.21
H2H
Beroe
Slavia Sofia
1
1
D
14.09.20
H2H
Slavia Sofia
Beroe
0
2
W
08.07.20
H2H
Beroe
Slavia Sofia
2
0
W
Last matches: Beroe
18.05.26
Fir
Beroe
Septemvri Sofia
0
1
L
05.05.26
Fir
Beroe
Montana
2
2
D
13.04.26
Fir
Beroe
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
0
0
D
04.04.26
Fir
Beroe
CSKA Sofia
0
3
L
15.03.26
Fir
Beroe
Levski Sofia
0
1
L
03.03.26
Fir
Beroe
Slavia Sofia
0
3
L
22.02.26
Fir
Beroe
Arda Kardzhali
0
0
D
31.01.26
Fri
Beroe
Spartak Pleven
2
0
W
24.01.26
Fri
Beroe
Sevlievo
0
1
L
21.01.26
Fri
Beroe
Yantra 2019
1
1
D
17.01.26
Fri
Beroe
Maritsa Milevo
3
1
W
19.12.25
Fir
Beroe
Ludogorets
0
4
L
07.12.25
Fir
Beroe
Septemvri Sofia
0
0
D
03.12.25
Fir
Beroe
Cherno More Varna
1
2
L
21.11.25
Fir
Beroe
Spartak Varna
0
0
D
03.11.25
Fir
Beroe
Lokomotiv Sofia
1
3
L
20.10.25
Fir
Beroe
Montana
1
1
D
29.09.25
Fir
Beroe
Dobrudzha
1
0
W
12.09.25
Fir
Beroe
Botev Vratsa
2
0
W
16.08.25
Fir
Beroe
Botev Plovdiv
1
2
L
H2H at home: Beroe
02.05.26
H2H
Beroe
Slavia Sofia
3
0
W
03.03.26
H2H
Beroe
Slavia Sofia
0
3
L
27.09.24
H2H
Beroe
Slavia Sofia
1
0
W
19.08.23
H2H
Beroe
Slavia Sofia
3
0
W
15.04.23
H2H
Beroe
Slavia Sofia
0
1
L
30.11.21
H2H
Beroe
Slavia Sofia
2
1
W
21.02.21
H2H
Beroe
Slavia Sofia
1
1
D
08.07.20
H2H
Beroe
Slavia Sofia
2
0
W
Last matches: Slavia Sofia
18.05.26
Fir
Slavia Sofia
Lokomotiv Sofia
0
2
L
10.05.26
Fir
Slavia Sofia
Spartak Varna
1
2
L
16.04.26
Fir
Slavia Sofia
Montana
0
0
D
05.04.26
Fir
Slavia Sofia
Cherno More Varna
3
1
W
13.03.26
Fir
Slavia Sofia
Lokomotiv Sofia
1
1
D
03.03.26
Fir
Slavia Sofia
Beroe
3
0
W
21.02.26
Fir
Slavia Sofia
CSKA Sofia
0
1
L
14.02.26
Fir
Slavia Sofia
Arda Kardzhali
1
2
L
08.12.25
Fir
Slavia Sofia
Ludogorets
1
1
D
24.11.25
Fir
Slavia Sofia
Botev Vratsa
1
0
W
01.11.25
Fir
Slavia Sofia
Septemvri Sofia
1
0
W
18.10.25
Fir
Slavia Sofia
Botev Plovdiv
1
1
D
28.09.25
Fir
Slavia Sofia
Spartak Varna
1
1
D
15.09.25
Fir
Slavia Sofia
CSKA 1948
1
3
L
15.08.25
Fir
Slavia Sofia
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
1
2
L
03.08.25
Fir
Slavia Sofia
Levski Sofia
0
2
L
28.07.25
Fir
Slavia Sofia
Dobrudzha
1
2
L
H2H away: Slavia Sofia
02.05.26
H2H
Beroe
Slavia Sofia
3
0
L
03.03.26
H2H
Beroe
Slavia Sofia
0
3
W
27.09.24
H2H
Beroe
Slavia Sofia
1
0
L
19.08.23
H2H
Beroe
Slavia Sofia
3
0
L
15.04.23
H2H
Beroe
Slavia Sofia
0
1
W
30.11.21
H2H
Beroe
Slavia Sofia
2
1
L
21.02.21
H2H
Beroe
Slavia Sofia
1
1
D
08.07.20
H2H
Beroe
Slavia Sofia
2
0
L

Standings

A PFG: Regular season
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 30 22 4 4 64:22 42 70
D W D W W
2 30 17 9 4 57:20 37 60
L D W W W
3 30 18 5 7 50:31 19 59
W W L W W
4 30 16 8 6 43:23 20 56
D W W W L
5 30 11 13 6 30:33 -3 46
D D W W W
6 30 11 11 8 33:26 7 44
L D L L W
7 30 12 8 10 33:27 6 44
W L W W W
8 30 11 7 12 40:37 3 40
W D W W L
9 30 10 9 11 36:33 3 39
D L W L D
10 30 9 11 10 24:26 -2 38
W L D L W
11 30 9 10 11 40:39 1 37
L W L L W
12 30 5 12 13 25:50 -25 27
D W L L L
13 30 7 5 18 23:43 -20 26
L L D L L
14 30 7 5 18 25:58 -33 26
D W D L L
15
Beroe Home
30 4 11 15 19:44 -25 23
D L L W L
16 30 3 8 19 15:45 -30 17
D L L L L
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