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PORTUGAL › PRIMEIRA LIGA
11.05.2026 19:15
Estádio da Luz
Referee: J. Pinheiro
Benfica
Match Timeline
SC Braga
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
46'
Rafa Silva
Benfica
⚽
48'
P. Victor · Assist: V. Gomez
SC Braga
🟨
56'
Lukáš Horníček
SC Braga
🟨
57'
Leonardo Lelo
SC Braga
🔄
61'
F. Ivanovic ↔ V. Pavlidis
Benfica
VAR
65'
Vangelis Pavlidis
Benfica
🔄
67'
G. Martinez ↔ M. Dorgeles
SC Braga
🔄
74'
F. Navarro ↔ R. Zalazar
SC Braga
🔄
76'
L. Barreiro ↔ D. Lukebakio
Benfica
🔄
82'
L. Lelo ↔ Gabriel Moscardo
SC Braga
🟨
87'
Amar Dedić
Benfica
⚽
88'
Gorby · Assist: M. Dorgeles
SC Braga
VAR
90+2'
Andreas Schjelderup
Benfica
🟨
90+6'
Victor Gómez
SC Braga
🟨
90+3'
Vítor Carvalho
SC Braga
⚽
90'
V. Pavlidis
Benfica

Benfica vs SC Braga Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 57.7%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 7.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 28.5%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
57.7%
- ▥
BTTS BTTS No
7.8%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
28.5%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-0
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Benfica Win 57.7%
Draw 8%
SC Braga Win 34.3%
Expected Goals (xG)
Benfica1.48
SC Braga1.44
Recent Form (Last 5)
Benfica Benfica
WWDLW
85 GF / 37 GA
SC Braga SC Braga
WLDWL
97 GF / 48 GA
Key Stats
1.85
Average Goals Scored
1.87
0.8
Average Goals Conceded
0.92
21
BTTS Yes
25
26
Over 2.5
29
5.48
Shots on Goal
4.35

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Benfica Benfica 46 matches
SC Braga SC Braga 52 matches
Benfica Statistic SC Braga
28 Wins 29
11 Draws 13
7 Losses 10
85 Goals For 97
37 Goals Against 48
1.85 Avg Goals Scored 1.87
0.8 Avg Goals Conceded 0.92
21 BTTS Yes 25
37 Over 1.5 38
26 Over 2.5 29
11 Over 3.5 17
20 Clean Sheets 23
8 Failed To Score 6
5.48 Shots On Goal 4.35
15.87 Total Shots 10.58
6.59 Corners 4.71
54.8% Ball Possession 54.3%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Benfica expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and SC Braga in 3-4-2-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward SC Braga having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances. Benfica arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 2 with 76 points compared to SC Braga in 4 on 57, which underlines the gap in season consistency. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward SC Braga.

Benfica Analysis

Benfica approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 2 on 76 points after 32 outings. With 22 wins, 10 draws, and 0 defeats plus a goal balance of 69:22, they continue to show good form over their recent run. Their attacking quality is driven by V. Pavlidis (21 goals), A. Schjelderup (7 goals), F. Ivanovic (6 goals), with creative support from A. Schjelderup (5 assists), L. Barreiro (5 assists), V. Pavlidis (4 assists), and at the back they have appeared very solid. At home, they have managed 11 wins, 5 draws, and 0 losses, which underlines a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.

SC Braga Analysis

SC Braga come into this match from a strong league position, sitting 4 with 57 points from 32 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 16 wins, 9 draws, and 7 losses, while the 60:32 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on R. Zalazar (16 goals), R. Horta (14 goals), P. Victor (8 goals), with creative support from R. Zalazar (5 assists), R. Horta (4 assists), P. Victor (4 assists), and defensively they have been fairly stable. Away from home, the record of 8 wins, 4 draws, and 4 losses points toward a very strong split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Benfica won 7 times, SC Braga won 4 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 28:21 from Benfica's perspective. 10 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 10 matches, with an average of 3.27 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (92%)
Predicted formations: Benfica 4-2-3-1 / SC Braga 3-4-2-1
H2H summary: Benfica wins 7, draws 4, SC Braga wins 4

Standings

Primeira Liga
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 34 28 4 2 66:18 48 88
W L W W W
2 34 25 7 2 89:24 65 82
W W W D D
3 34 23 11 0 74:25 49 80
W D D W W
4 34 16 11 7 64:36 28 59
D D D L W
5 34 15 11 8 42:29 13 56
W D D W D
6 34 13 11 10 47:38 9 50
L L D W L
7 34 12 7 15 37:49 -12 43
D L W L W
8 34 12 6 16 47:64 -17 42
W W D L W
9 34 12 6 16 39:51 -12 42
L L L W W
10 34 10 9 15 54:57 -3 39
L D D L L
11 34 10 9 15 35:52 -17 39
L D L W L
12 34 8 12 14 35:57 -22 36
D L D L D
13 34 9 9 16 32:41 -9 36
L W D W D
14 34 9 7 18 37:45 -8 34
W L L W W
15 34 6 12 16 38:56 -18 30
D D L L L
16 34 6 12 16 31:57 -26 30
D W L L L
17 34 6 10 18 27:55 -28 28
L W W D L
18 34 3 12 19 27:67 -40 21
D W W D D
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Liga Portugal (Relegation)
Relegation - Liga Portugal 2