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NIGERIA › NPFL
04.10.2026 15:00
Samuel Ogbemudia Stadium

Bendel Insurance vs Barau FC Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 70%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 71.2%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 64.5%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
70%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
71.2%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
64.5%
- ▥
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Bendel Insurance Win 70%
Draw 5.1%
Barau FC Win 25%
Expected Goals (xG)
Bendel Insurance1.1
Barau FC1.57
Recent Form (Last 5)
Bendel Insurance Bendel Insurance
WWDLW
9 GF / 10 GA
Barau FC Barau FC
WLDWL
9 GF / 3 GA
Key Stats
1.5
Average Goals Scored
1.5
1.67
Average Goals Conceded
0.5
4
BTTS Yes
3
5
Over 2.5
2
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Bendel Insurance Bendel Insurance 6 matches
Barau FC Barau FC 6 matches
Bendel Insurance Statistic Barau FC
3 Wins 3
0 Draws 3
3 Losses 0
9 Goals For 9
10 Goals Against 3
1.5 Avg Goals Scored 1.5
1.67 Avg Goals Conceded 0.5
4 BTTS Yes 3
5 Over 1.5 4
5 Over 2.5 2
1 Over 3.5 2
0 Clean Sheets 3
2 Failed To Score 2
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From a tactical perspective, this fixture features two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Barau FC. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Barau FC having the stronger overall control.

Bendel Insurance Analysis

Bendel Insurance come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 5 place with 9 points after 5 matches. They have recorded 3 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, with a 9:7 goal return and good form over their recent run. In attack they lean heavily on their main attacking players, while defensively they have looked very solid. At home, their record of 3 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football.

Barau FC Analysis

Barau FC arrive from the upper part of the table, holding 1 place with 12 points after 6 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 3 wins, 3 draws, and 0 losses, while the 9:3 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on their main attacking players, and defensively they have been very solid. Away from home, the record of 0 wins, 3 draws, and 0 losses points toward a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 2 head-to-head meetings, Bendel Insurance won 0 times, Barau FC won 0 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 1:1 from Bendel Insurance's perspective. 0 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 1 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (94.9%)
H2H summary: Bendel Insurance wins 0, draws 2, Barau FC wins 0

Standings

Premier League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 7 5 1 1 12:7 5 16
W W L W W
2 7 4 3 0 13:2 11 15
W D D W D
3 7 4 1 2 10:8 2 13
W L D L W
4 7 3 3 1 10:7 3 12
L D W D W
5 7 4 0 3 13:11 2 12
W L W L W
6 7 2 5 0 11:7 4 11
D D D D W
7 7 3 2 2 9:8 1 11
L W D W D
8 7 3 1 3 9:7 2 10
W L W L W
9 7 2 3 2 8:7 1 9
L D W L D
10 7 2 3 2 8:8 0 9
D D D W L
11 7 2 3 2 6:9 -3 9
D D W L W
12 7 2 2 3 6:7 -1 8
W L D L D
13 7 2 2 3 7:9 -2 8
D D L L W
14 7 2 2 3 6:8 -2 8
D W L D L
15 7 2 2 3 8:11 -3 8
L W L W D
16 7 2 1 4 9:10 -1 7
W W D L L
17 7 2 1 4 9:10 -1 7
L D L W L
18 7 2 1 4 3:6 -3 7
L L W D W
19 7 1 2 4 4:10 -6 5
D L D W L
20 7 1 2 4 5:14 -9 5
L W L L L
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification)
Relegation