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18.10.2026 23:15
Estadio Mario Alberto Kempes
Referee: Pablo Dovalo
Belgrano Cordoba
Match Timeline
River Plate
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
45+3'
T. Galvan · Assist: G. Montiel
River Plate
🟨
45+8'
A. Sanchez
Belgrano Cordoba
⚽
49'
A. Correa · Assist: L. Beltran
River Plate
🟨
51'
F. Vazquez
Belgrano Cordoba
🟨
61'
L. Lopez
Belgrano Cordoba
🟨
67'
L. Beltran
River Plate
🔄
68'
L. Passerini ↔ N. Fernandez
Belgrano Cordoba
🔄
68'
R. Hernandes ↔ R. Tulian
Belgrano Cordoba
🔄
68'
T. Andrada ↔ Fausto Vera
River Plate
🔄
68'
L. Beltran ↔ S. Driussi
River Plate
⚽
72'
T. Almada · Assist: T. Galvan
River Plate
🔄
74'
G. Montiel ↔ G. Gonzalez
River Plate
🔄
74'
A. Sporle ↔ J. Velazquez
Belgrano Cordoba
🔄
79'
F. Vazquez ↔ F. Gonzalez
Belgrano Cordoba
🔄
79'
E. Rigoni ↔ L. Gutierrez
Belgrano Cordoba
🔄
82'
Fausto Vera ↔ J. Meza
River Plate
VAR
90+1'
A. Correa
River Plate
🟨
90+4'
L. Martinez Quarta
River Plate

Belgrano Cordoba vs River Plate Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away or Draw
Probability 63.2%
Odds 1.28
BTTS
Yes
Probability 75.1%
Odds 2.05
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 64.5%
Odds 2.51
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away or Draw
63.2%
1.28 ▥
BTTS Yes
75.1%
2.05 ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
64.5%
2.51 ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
1.53 ▥
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
5.00 ▥
Correct Score 1-2
-
9.50 ▥
Probability Distribution
Belgrano Cordoba Win 36.8%
Draw 20%
River Plate Win 43.1%
Expected Goals (xG)
Belgrano Cordoba1.11
River Plate1.09
Recent Form (Last 5)
Belgrano Cordoba Belgrano Cordoba
WWDLW
43 GF / 26 GA
River Plate River Plate
WLDWL
48 GF / 34 GA
Key Stats
1.23
Average Goals Scored
1.33
0.74
Average Goals Conceded
0.94
14
BTTS Yes
15
12
Over 2.5
13
4.13
Shots on Goal
5.44

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Belgrano Cordoba Belgrano Cordoba 35 matches
River Plate River Plate 36 matches
Belgrano Cordoba Statistic River Plate
17 Wins 18
11 Draws 6
7 Losses 12
43 Goals For 48
26 Goals Against 34
1.23 Avg Goals Scored 1.33
0.74 Avg Goals Conceded 0.94
14 BTTS Yes 15
21 Over 1.5 22
12 Over 2.5 13
5 Over 3.5 9
17 Clean Sheets 13
9 Failed To Score 9
4.13 Shots On Goal 5.44
12.66 Total Shots 16.72
3.94 Corners 5.59
51.2% Ball Possession 65.7%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This fixture has the profile of a tight matchup, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity likely to keep the contest close. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors River Plate. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself.

Belgrano Cordoba Analysis

Belgrano Cordoba arrive from the upper part of the table, holding 5 place with 26 points after 16 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 7 wins, 5 draws, and 4 losses, while the 17:13 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on N. Fernández (5 goals), J. Mavilla (4 goals), F. González (3 goals), with creative support from N. Fernández (3 assists), L. Passerini (3 assists), L. Zelarayán (2 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. At home, the record of 4 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

River Plate Analysis

River Plate come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 2 place with 29 points after 16 matches. The return of 9 wins, 2 draws, and 5 defeats, together with goals at 22:12, reflects good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking edge comes through T. Galván (4 goals), Facundo Colidio (4 goals), G. Montiel (3 goals), with creative support from T. Galván (2 assists), Facundo Colidio (2 assists), Á. Correa (2 assists), while their defending has remained very solid. Away from home, they have managed 4 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses, which underlines a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 9 head-to-head meetings, Belgrano Cordoba won 2 times, River Plate won 6 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 9:18 from Belgrano Cordoba's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 3 goals per game.

1X2: Away or Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (80%)
Predicted formations: Belgrano Cordoba 4-2-3-1 / River Plate 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Belgrano Cordoba wins 2, draws 1, River Plate wins 6

Standings

Apertura - Group B
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 16 10 4 2 29:15 14 34
D L D W W
2 16 9 2 5 22:12 10 29
W D W L W
3 16 8 5 3 17:13 4 29
W D W L D
4 16 8 4 4 20:16 4 28
W W D W W
5 16 7 5 4 17:13 4 26
L W W W D
6 16 8 2 6 19:19 0 26
W D D D D
7 16 5 7 4 17:13 4 22
L L W W W
8 16 5 6 5 17:15 2 21
D L W W L
9 16 5 6 5 15:15 0 21
D W W L D
10 16 4 8 4 18:15 3 20
D L L L L
11 16 6 1 9 13:20 -7 19
D D W L D
12 16 5 3 8 17:19 -2 18
L W D D D
13 16 3 5 8 15:20 -5 14
L D L L L
14 16 0 8 8 6:19 -13 8
L L L W L
15 16 1 2 13 5:24 -19 5
W L L L L
Knockout Phase