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ISRAEL › LIGAT HA'AL
12.05.2026 17:30
Teddy Stadium
Referee: S. Berman
Beitar Jerusalem
Match Timeline
Hapoel Beer Sheva
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🔄
4'
H. Lopes ↔ M. Baltaxa
Hapoel Beer Sheva
🔄
23'
N. Antwi ↔ R. Elimelech
Beitar Jerusalem
🟨
28'
M. Baltaxa
Hapoel Beer Sheva
🔄
60'
L. Yarin ↔ T. Muzie
Beitar Jerusalem
🔄
63'
M. Abu Rumi ↔ J. East
Hapoel Beer Sheva
⚽
77'
Y. Shua · Assist: T. Muzie
Beitar Jerusalem
🔄
78'
E. Peretz ↔ S. Elias
Hapoel Beer Sheva
🔄
79'
D. T. Diop ↔ Miguel Vitor
Hapoel Beer Sheva
🔄
79'
A. C. Ganah ↔ R. Levy
Hapoel Beer Sheva
⚽
81'
K. Kangwa
Hapoel Beer Sheva
🟨
86'
Y. Cohen
Beitar Jerusalem
🔄
90+4'
Y. Shua ↔ E. Gonzalez
Beitar Jerusalem

Beitar Jerusalem vs Hapoel Beer Sheva Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 86%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 77.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 71.5%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
86%
- ▥
BTTS BTTS Yes
77.8%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
71.5%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
71.8%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Beitar Jerusalem Win 40.2%
Draw 14%
Hapoel Beer Sheva Win 45.8%
Expected Goals (xG)
Beitar Jerusalem1.75
Hapoel Beer Sheva1.67
Recent Form (Last 5)
Beitar Jerusalem Beitar Jerusalem
WWDLW
84 GF / 44 GA
Hapoel Beer Sheva Hapoel Beer Sheva
WLDWL
71 GF / 32 GA
Key Stats
2.33
Average Goals Scored
1.97
1.22
Average Goals Conceded
0.89
24
BTTS Yes
18
26
Over 2.5
18
3.56
Shots on Goal
3.89

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Beitar Jerusalem Beitar Jerusalem 36 matches
Hapoel Beer Sheva Hapoel Beer Sheva 36 matches
Beitar Jerusalem Statistic Hapoel Beer Sheva
24 Wins 22
7 Draws 9
5 Losses 5
84 Goals For 71
44 Goals Against 32
2.33 Avg Goals Scored 1.97
1.22 Avg Goals Conceded 0.89
24 BTTS Yes 18
29 Over 1.5 25
26 Over 2.5 18
16 Over 3.5 12
9 Clean Sheets 14
6 Failed To Score 7
3.56 Shots On Goal 3.89
9.72 Total Shots 9.97
3.28 Corners 3.72
37% Ball Possession 36.3%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

There is very little separating these two teams on paper, and two sides with a fairly similar football identity points toward a competitive game. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Beitar Jerusalem expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Hapoel Beer Sheva in 4-3-3, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Hapoel Beer Sheva having the stronger overall control. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Hapoel Beer Sheva.

Beitar Jerusalem Analysis

Operating from 2 place with 57 points from 26 games, Beitar Jerusalem bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. With 17 wins, 6 draws, and 3 defeats plus a goal balance of 61:29, they continue to show good form over their recent run. Their attacking quality is driven by O. Atzili (14 goals), Y. Shua (14 goals), A. Yona (8 goals), with creative support from Y. Shua (7 assists), O. Atzili (6 assists), Timothy Muzie (6 assists), and at the back they have appeared fairly stable. At home, their record of 7 wins, 5 draws, and 1 losses points to a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football.

Hapoel Beer Sheva Analysis

Hapoel Beer Sheva approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 1 on 59 points after 26 outings. With 18 wins, 5 draws, and 3 defeats plus a goal balance of 58:25, they continue to show good form and are on a winning streak. Their attacking quality is driven by D. Biton (15 goals), I. Zlatanovic (13 goals), K. Kangwa (10 goals), with creative support from K. Kangwa (7 assists), Eliel Peretz (5 assists), A. C. Ganah (5 assists), and at the back they have appeared very solid. Away from home, they have managed 9 wins, 1 draws, and 3 losses, which underlines a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Beitar Jerusalem won 0 times, Hapoel Beer Sheva won 10 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 15:34 from Beitar Jerusalem's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 10 matches, with an average of 3.27 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (86%)
Predicted formations: Beitar Jerusalem 4-2-3-1 / Hapoel Beer Sheva 4-3-3
H2H summary: Beitar Jerusalem wins 0, draws 5, Hapoel Beer Sheva wins 10

Standings

Premier League , Championship Round
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 36 24 7 5 79:38 41 79
L W W D W
2 36 22 10 4 78:40 38 76
D D W D L
3 36 19 9 8 75:46 29 66
D L L W D
4 36 18 8 10 55:38 17 60
D L L W D
5 36 15 10 11 66:47 19 55
W W D L W
6 36 9 13 14 48:57 -9 40
D D D L L
Champions League Qualification
UEFA Europa League Qualification
Conference League Qualification