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27.10.2026 19:45

Bedford Town vs Hednesford Town Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 53.3%
Odds 3.07
BTTS
Yes
Probability 71.3%
Odds 1.57
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 72.9%
Odds 1.61
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
53.3%
3.07 ▥
BTTS Yes
71.3%
1.57 ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
72.9%
1.61 ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
81.4%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
5.00 ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
12.00 ▥
Probability Distribution
Bedford Town Win 53.3%
Draw 17.6%
Hednesford Town Win 29.1%
Expected Goals (xG)
Bedford Town1.4
Hednesford Town1.4
Recent Form (Last 5)
Bedford Town Bedford Town
W D D L W
7 GF / 5 GA
Hednesford Town Hednesford Town
W W W W L
10 GF / 4 GA
Key Stats
1.41
Average Goals Scored
1.63
1.05
Average Goals Conceded
1.38
12
BTTS Yes
10
11
Over 2.5
8
2
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Bedford Town Bedford Town 22 matches
Hednesford Town Hednesford Town 16 matches
Bedford Town Statistic Hednesford Town
11 Wins 7
5 Draws 3
6 Losses 6
31 Goals For 26
23 Goals Against 22
1.41 Avg Goals Scored 1.63
1.05 Avg Goals Conceded 1.38
12 BTTS Yes 10
15 Over 1.5 13
11 Over 2.5 8
6 Over 3.5 5
7 Clean Sheets 3
5 Failed To Score 3
2 Shots On Goal 0
6.25 Total Shots 0
3.25 Corners 0
33% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

There is very little separating these two teams on paper, and Hednesford Town's more proactive style and Bedford Town's more cautious structure points toward a competitive game. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Hednesford Town. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Hednesford Town having the stronger overall control. Hednesford Town look sharper on recent form, and that momentum could be important in key phases of the match.

Bedford Town Analysis

Bedford Town sit 9 with 19 points after 12 league matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 6 wins, 1 draws, and 5 losses, while the 16:16 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on their main attacking players, and defensively they have been very solid. At home, their split return of 3 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.

Hednesford Town Analysis

Hednesford Town sit 6 with 21 points after 13 league matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 6 wins, 3 draws, and 4 losses, while the 23:19 goal ratio supports the view of very strong form and are on a winning streak. Going forward they rely heavily on their main attacking players, and defensively they have been very solid. Away from home, the record of 2 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses points toward a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 2 head-to-head meetings, Bedford Town won 1 times, Hednesford Town won 1 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 3:4 from Bedford Town's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 3.5 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (82.4%)
H2H summary: Bedford Town wins 1, draws 0, Hednesford Town wins 1

Standings

National League N/S: North
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 12 8 2 2 24:7 17 26
W L D W W
2 12 7 3 2 22:8 14 24
D W D W L
3 12 7 3 2 18:11 7 24
L W W D D
4 12 7 2 3 21:18 3 23
W L L W L
5 13 6 3 4 22:16 6 21
D D W W W
6 13 6 3 4 23:19 4 21
W W W W L
7 12 6 2 4 15:12 3 20
L W W L L
8 13 6 2 5 23:23 0 20
W D L L W
9 12 6 1 5 16:16 0 19
W L D L W
10 13 5 4 4 18:23 -5 19
D L L D W
11 12 5 2 5 18:12 6 17
W L D W L
12 12 5 2 5 14:11 3 17
L L L W W
13 12 5 2 5 20:21 -1 17
L W W L W
14 13 5 2 6 15:20 -5 17
D D W L W
15 12 5 1 6 14:13 1 16
D W W W L
16 12 4 4 4 12:13 -1 16
D W L D L
17 13 4 3 6 19:18 1 15
L W L D D
18 13 3 6 4 15:16 -1 15
L D D L D
19 13 5 0 8 16:21 -5 15
W W W L L
20 13 4 3 6 15:24 -9 15
L L W W D
21 13 3 4 6 13:20 -7 13
D W L L D
22 13 3 2 8 17:24 -7 11
W L D D L
23 13 2 4 7 13:23 -10 10
D L L D L
24 12 1 4 7 12:26 -14 7
L L D D L
Promotion - National League
Promotion - National League North (Play Offs: Semi-finals)
Promotion - National League North (Play Offs: Quarter-finals)
Relegation