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GERMANY › BUNDESLIGA
17.10.2026 16:30
Allianz Arena

Bayern München vs RB Leipzig Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
Probability Distribution
Bayern München Win 0%
Draw 0%
RB Leipzig Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Bayern München2.56
RB Leipzig1.37
Recent Form (Last 5)
Bayern München Bayern München
WWDLW
38 GF / 10 GA
RB Leipzig RB Leipzig
WLDWL
19 GF / 18 GA
Key Stats
3.17
Average Goals Scored
1.73
0.83
Average Goals Conceded
1.64
8
BTTS Yes
5
11
Over 2.5
8
8.83
Shots on Goal
5.8

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Bayern München Bayern München 12 matches
RB Leipzig RB Leipzig 11 matches
Bayern München Statistic RB Leipzig
10 Wins 5
1 Draws 0
1 Losses 6
38 Goals For 19
10 Goals Against 18
3.17 Avg Goals Scored 1.73
0.83 Avg Goals Conceded 1.64
8 BTTS Yes 5
11 Over 1.5 10
11 Over 2.5 8
6 Over 3.5 6
4 Clean Sheets 4
1 Failed To Score 2
8.83 Shots On Goal 5.8
21.5 Total Shots 17.8
8.33 Corners 6.4
68.7% Ball Possession 56.4%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Bayern München won 10 times, RB Leipzig won 2 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 43:22 from Bayern München's perspective. 12 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 11 matches, with an average of 4.33 goals per game.

Predicted formations: Bayern München 4-2-3-1 / RB Leipzig 4-3-3
H2H summary: Bayern München wins 10, draws 3, RB Leipzig wins 2

Standings

Bundesliga
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 4 4 0 0 9:2 7 12
W W W W
2 4 3 1 0 14:2 12 10
W W D W
3 4 3 1 0 12:3 9 10
D W W W
4 4 2 1 1 11:6 5 7
L D W W
5 4 2 1 1 10:5 5 7
W D W L
6 4 2 1 1 10:6 4 7
W L W D
7 4 2 1 1 8:7 1 7
D L W W
8 4 2 1 1 8:8 0 7
W D W L
9 4 2 0 2 9:5 4 6
L W L W
10 4 1 2 1 9:10 -1 5
D W L D
11 4 1 2 1 3:4 -1 5
D W D L
12 4 1 1 2 3:5 -2 4
W L L D
13 4 1 1 2 6:9 -3 4
L D L W
14 4 1 0 3 7:10 -3 3
L W L L
15 4 1 0 3 6:9 -3 3
L L W L
16 4 1 0 3 2:13 -11 3
W L L L
17 4 0 1 3 4:17 -13 1
L L L D
18 4 0 0 4 6:16 -10 0
L L L L
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Relegation