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FRANCE › LIGUE 3
05.09.2026 12:45
Stade Armand Cesari
Bastia
Match Timeline
Amiens
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
1'
R. Boissier · Assist: C. Mbondi
Amiens
🟨
19'
L. Llort
Amiens
🟨
41'
T. De Percin
Bastia
🟨
41'
G. Akueson
Bastia
🟨
43'
C. Letono Mbondi
Amiens
🟨
43'
A. Roncaglia
Bastia
⚽
45'
N. Zilliox
Amiens
🔄
56'
E. Julien ↔ I. Ramla
Amiens
🔄
56'
C. Mbondi ↔ M. Colin
Amiens
🔄
60'
G. Akueson ↔ H. Makalou
Bastia
⚽
60'
M. Colin · Assist: I. Ramla
Amiens
🟨
64'
R. Boissier
Amiens
🟨
66'
J. Eickmayer
Bastia
🔄
72'
N. Zilliox ↔ N. Douce
Bastia
🔄
72'
E. Garnier ↔ D. Diarra
Bastia
🔄
72'
A. Giacomini ↔ G. Foll
Amiens
🔄
72'
L. Diakite ↔ Z. Sopromadze
Amiens
🔄
79'
K. Mbala ↔ N. Herisse
Amiens
🔄
82'
J. Eickmayer ↔ M. Petrignani
Bastia
🔄
82'
A. Zaouai ↔ Y. Bathily
Bastia

Bastia vs Amiens Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away or Draw
Probability 64.1%
Odds 1.67
BTTS
Yes
Probability 58.2%
Odds 2.00
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 58.1%
Odds 1.78
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away or Draw
64.1%
1.67 ▥
BTTS Yes
58.2%
2.00 ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
58.1%
1.78 ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
- ▥
HT / FT Draw / Draw
-
5.00 ▥
Correct Score 1-1
-
6.50 ▥
Probability Distribution
Bastia Win 35.9%
Draw 27%
Amiens Win 37.1%
Expected Goals (xG)
Bastia1.2
Amiens1.53
Recent Form (Last 5)
Bastia Bastia
WWDLW
8 GF / 11 GA
Amiens Amiens
WLDWL
16 GF / 12 GA
Key Stats
1.33
Average Goals Scored
1.33
1.83
Average Goals Conceded
1
3
BTTS Yes
6
2
Over 2.5
5
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Bastia Bastia 6 matches
Amiens Amiens 12 matches
Bastia Statistic Amiens
2 Wins 5
1 Draws 3
3 Losses 4
8 Goals For 16
11 Goals Against 12
1.33 Avg Goals Scored 1.33
1.83 Avg Goals Conceded 1
3 BTTS Yes 6
4 Over 1.5 8
2 Over 2.5 5
2 Over 3.5 2
2 Clean Sheets 3
1 Failed To Score 4
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 12 head-to-head meetings, Bastia won 2 times, Amiens won 4 times, while 6 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 9:12 from Bastia's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 1.75 goals per game.

1X2: Away or Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (73%)
H2H summary: Bastia wins 2, draws 6, Amiens wins 4

Standings

National
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 9 6 3 0 15:8 7 21
W W W D D
2 9 6 2 1 17:5 12 20
W L W W D
3 9 4 4 1 12:8 4 16
W D W W D
4 9 5 1 3 13:12 1 16
W W D W L
5 9 4 3 2 12:3 9 15
W D W D W
6 9 3 6 0 11:4 7 15
W D D D W
7 9 5 0 4 17:12 5 15
L W L W W
8 9 4 1 4 11:9 2 13
W L W L D
9 9 3 3 3 14:14 0 12
L L D L D
10 9 3 3 3 15:12 3 12
W L D W W
11 9 3 3 3 7:9 -2 12
L W D L D
12 9 3 2 4 7:11 -4 11
D L D W L
13 9 2 4 3 8:12 -4 10
L D D W D
14 9 2 3 4 7:11 -4 9
D D L L D
15 9 2 2 5 9:14 -5 8
L W L L D
16 9 2 1 6 6:12 -6 7
L W L L D
17 9 1 2 6 5:15 -10 5
L D D L L
18 9 1 1 7 7:22 -15 4
L L L D L
Promotion - Ligue 2
Promotion - Ligue 2 (Promotion)
Relegation