ENGLAND › NATIONAL LEAGUE
03.10.2026 14:00
Holker Street
Barrow
Match Timeline
Wealdstone
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
14'
D. Kadji
Wealdstone
⚽
23'
R. Harper · Assist: C. Edwards
Barrow
⚽
26'
R. Maher · Assist: F. Okenabirhie
Wealdstone
🟨
31'
S. Thompson
Barrow
🟨
39'
G. Walker
Barrow
🟨
42'
A. Kanu
Wealdstone
🟨
54'
J. Newton
Wealdstone
🔄
59'
G. Walker ↔ D. Mooney
Barrow
🔄
67'
F. Okenabirhie ↔ A. Kaunda
Wealdstone
🔄
67'
J. Newton ↔ J. Cook
Wealdstone
🔄
67'
O. Olomola ↔ D. Chesters
Wealdstone
🟨
68'
R. Maher
Wealdstone
⚽
69'
A. Reid · Assist: A. Reid
Barrow
🔄
78'
R. Maher ↔ C. Uchenna
Wealdstone
🔄
79'
R. Harper ↔ I. Cameron
Barrow
🟨
85'
X. Benjamin
Barrow
🔄
88'
C. Edwards ↔ K. Ward
Barrow
🔄
88'
A. Reid ↔ M. Lane
Barrow
🔄
88'
S. Thompson ↔ A. Allen
Barrow
🟨
89'
D. Chesters
Wealdstone
⚽
90+5'
K. Ward
Barrow

Barrow vs Wealdstone Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 47.4%
Odds 1.74
1 agree / 0 disagree
BTTS
Yes
Probability 67.1%
Odds 1.67
1 agree / 0 disagree
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 64.5%
Odds 1.67
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
47.4%
1.74 ▥
BTTS Yes
67.1%
1.67 ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
64.5%
1.67 ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
1.25 ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
2.75 ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
8.50 ▥
Probability Distribution
Barrow Win 47.4%
Draw 17.8%
Wealdstone Win 34.8%
Expected Goals (xG)
Barrow1.53
Wealdstone1.27
Recent Form (Last 5)
Barrow Barrow
WWDLW
27 GF / 17 GA
Wealdstone Wealdstone
WLDWL
24 GF / 22 GA
Key Stats
1.69
Average Goals Scored
1.41
1.06
Average Goals Conceded
1.29
7
BTTS Yes
8
8
Over 2.5
7
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Barrow Barrow 16 matches
Wealdstone Wealdstone 17 matches
Barrow Statistic Wealdstone
8 Wins 7
4 Draws 3
4 Losses 7
27 Goals For 24
17 Goals Against 22
1.69 Avg Goals Scored 1.41
1.06 Avg Goals Conceded 1.29
7 BTTS Yes 8
12 Over 1.5 13
8 Over 2.5 7
4 Over 3.5 6
7 Clean Sheets 6
3 Failed To Score 3
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

There is very little separating these two teams on paper, and two sides with a fairly similar football identity points toward a competitive game. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Wealdstone. Wealdstone arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Wealdstone having the stronger overall control. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Barrow Analysis

Barrow sit 17 with 9 points after 9 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Their record of 2 wins, 3 draws, and 4 losses, together with goals at 11:12, reflects mixed form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through their main attacking players, while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. At home, they have managed 2 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

Wealdstone Analysis

Wealdstone approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 20 with 8 points from 9 matches. Their record of 2 wins, 2 draws, and 5 losses, together with goals at 11:15, reflects mixed form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through their main attacking players, while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. Away from home, they have returned 2 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses, which indicates a fairly balanced split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 1 head-to-head meetings, Barrow won 0 times, Wealdstone won 1 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 1:2 from Barrow's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 3 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (82.2%)
H2H summary: Barrow wins 0, draws 0, Wealdstone wins 1

Standings

Conference
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 12 10 2 0 32:13 19 32
W W W W W
2 12 8 1 3 28:17 11 25
W W W L L
3 12 7 3 2 29:18 11 24
W D L W W
4 12 6 4 2 26:15 11 22
W D W W D
5 12 6 3 3 22:18 4 21
W D W W W
6 12 7 0 5 17:18 -1 21
L W W W W
7 12 6 2 4 22:18 4 20
L L W L W
8 12 5 4 3 15:12 3 19
D L L D W
9 12 5 3 4 20:15 5 18
W W W W L
10 12 5 3 4 17:13 4 18
L L W L D
11 12 5 3 4 14:16 -2 18
D L D D W
12 12 6 0 6 13:19 -6 18
L W L W L
13 12 5 2 5 18:14 4 17
W D L D W
14 12 4 4 4 23:20 3 16
W W L L D
15 12 4 3 5 20:19 1 15
W L W D D
16 11 4 3 4 17:18 -1 15
D D L D W
17 12 4 3 5 14:18 -4 15
L D L W L
18 12 4 2 6 20:28 -8 14
W W L W L
19 12 3 3 6 17:18 -1 12
L D W L L
20 12 3 3 6 14:21 -7 12
L D L W D
21 11 3 1 7 15:19 -4 10
L W L L W
22 12 3 0 9 8:17 -9 9
L L L L L
23 12 2 1 9 13:30 -17 7
L W L L W
24 12 1 1 10 7:27 -20 4
L L L L L
Promotion - League Two
Promotion - National League (Play Offs: Semi-finals)
Promotion - National League (Play Offs: Quarter-finals)
Relegation