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ENGLAND › NATIONAL LEAGUE
29.09.2026 18:45
Holker Street
Barrow
Match Timeline
Scunthorpe
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
5'
S. Ashbee
Scunthorpe
🟨
5'
P. Kalambayi
Barrow
🟨
10'
I. Marriott
Barrow
🟨
46'
J. Rowley
Scunthorpe
🟨
53'
R. Ogle
Scunthorpe
🔄
55'
R. Ogle ↔ W. Evans
Scunthorpe
🔄
56'
K. Hurst ↔ T. Sellars-Fleming
Scunthorpe
⚽
68'
R. Harper · Assist: M. Oakley
Barrow
🔄
70'
P. Jones ↔ L. Brennan
Scunthorpe
⚽
71'
A. Reid
Barrow
🔄
76'
R. Harper ↔ I. Cameron
Barrow
🔄
76'
A. Reid ↔ A. Allen
Barrow
🔄
78'
J. Starbuck ↔ J. Gale
Scunthorpe
🔄
79'
J. Rowley ↔ H. Parker
Scunthorpe
🟨
82'
H. Parker
Scunthorpe
🔄
83'
K. Ward ↔ D. Amos
Barrow
🔄
84'
S. Thompson ↔ D. Mooney
Barrow
⚽
87'
A. Allen · Assist: D. Mooney
Barrow
🟨
89'
C. Edwards
Barrow
🔄
89'
I. Marriott ↔ C. Edwards
Barrow

Barrow vs Scunthorpe Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 70.7%
Odds 2.10
BTTS
Yes
Probability 62.8%
Odds 1.57
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 58.6%
Odds 1.68
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
70.7%
2.10 ▥
BTTS Yes
62.8%
1.57 ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
58.6%
1.68 ▥
Corners O/U Under 7.5 Corners
92%
4.18 ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
3.25 ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
9.00 ▥
Probability Distribution
Barrow Win 70.7%
Draw 6%
Scunthorpe Win 23.3%
Expected Goals (xG)
Barrow1.58
Scunthorpe1.65
Recent Form (Last 5)
Barrow Barrow
WWDLW
24 GF / 17 GA
Scunthorpe Scunthorpe
WLDWL
32 GF / 25 GA
Key Stats
1.6
Average Goals Scored
2
1.13
Average Goals Conceded
1.56
7
BTTS Yes
10
7
Over 2.5
8
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Barrow Barrow 15 matches
Scunthorpe Scunthorpe 16 matches
Barrow Statistic Scunthorpe
7 Wins 6
4 Draws 3
4 Losses 7
24 Goals For 32
17 Goals Against 25
1.6 Avg Goals Scored 2
1.13 Avg Goals Conceded 1.56
7 BTTS Yes 10
11 Over 1.5 13
7 Over 2.5 8
4 Over 3.5 7
6 Clean Sheets 2
3 Failed To Score 4
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

Looking at the broader profile of both teams, this encounter highlights two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Scunthorpe arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Scunthorpe having the stronger overall control. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Scunthorpe. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Barrow Analysis

Barrow approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 17 with 9 points from 9 matches. Across the season they have posted 2 wins, 3 draws, and 4 defeats, and the 11:12 goal record continues to suggest mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on their main attacking players, while at the back they have been very solid. At home, they have returned 2 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, which indicates a fairly balanced split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

Scunthorpe Analysis

With 7 points from 9 games and a place of 22, Scunthorpe still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Across the season they have posted 2 wins, 1 draws, and 6 defeats, and the 11:15 goal record continues to suggest poor form with results showing a clear downward trend. Their attacking burden often falls on their main attacking players, while at the back they have been very solid. Away from home, the split record of 1 wins, 0 draws, and 4 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 5 head-to-head meetings, Barrow won 3 times, Scunthorpe won 1 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 5:3 from Barrow's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 1.6 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (94%)
H2H summary: Barrow wins 3, draws 1, Scunthorpe wins 1

Standings

Conference
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 12 10 2 0 32:13 19 32
W W W W W
2 12 8 1 3 28:17 11 25
W W W L L
3 12 7 3 2 29:18 11 24
W D L W W
4 12 6 4 2 26:15 11 22
W D W W D
5 12 6 3 3 22:18 4 21
W D W W W
6 12 7 0 5 17:18 -1 21
L W W W W
7 12 6 2 4 22:18 4 20
L L W L W
8 12 5 4 3 15:12 3 19
D L L D W
9 12 5 3 4 20:15 5 18
W W W W L
10 12 5 3 4 17:13 4 18
L L W L D
11 12 5 3 4 14:16 -2 18
D L D D W
12 12 6 0 6 13:19 -6 18
L W L W L
13 12 5 2 5 18:14 4 17
W D L D W
14 12 4 4 4 23:20 3 16
W W L L D
15 12 4 3 5 20:19 1 15
W L W D D
16 11 4 3 4 17:18 -1 15
D D L D W
17 12 4 3 5 14:18 -4 15
L D L W L
18 12 4 2 6 20:28 -8 14
W W L W L
19 12 3 3 6 17:18 -1 12
L D W L L
20 12 3 3 6 14:21 -7 12
L D L W D
21 11 3 1 7 15:19 -4 10
L W L L W
22 12 3 0 9 8:17 -9 9
L L L L L
23 12 2 1 9 13:30 -17 7
L W L L W
24 12 1 1 10 7:27 -20 4
L L L L L
Promotion - League Two
Promotion - National League (Play Offs: Semi-finals)
Promotion - National League (Play Offs: Quarter-finals)
Relegation