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29.07.2026 17:30
Estadio Claudio Chiqui Tapia
Referee: Sebastian Zunino, Argentina
Barracas Central
Match Timeline
Aldosivi
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
40'
T. Porra · Assist: I. Tapia
Barracas Central
🔄
46'
T. Fernandez ↔ M. Godoy
Aldosivi
🔄
46'
B. Dadin ↔ M. Garcia
Aldosivi
🔄
62'
E. Lopez ↔ A. Vombergar
Aldosivi
🔄
62'
N. Linares ↔ A. Sosa
Aldosivi
🟨
69'
Rafael Barrios
Barracas Central
🔄
70'
J. Candia ↔ J. Barbieri
Barracas Central
🔄
70'
I. Tapia ↔ R. Bogarin
Barracas Central
🟨
71'
Martin Garcia
Aldosivi
🔄
77'
N. Cordero ↔ A. Chavez
Aldosivi
🔄
79'
N. Briasco ↔ G. Maroni
Barracas Central
🔄
89'
R. Barrios ↔ N. Capraro
Barracas Central
🔄
89'
T. Porra ↔ M. Puig
Barracas Central

Barracas Central vs Aldosivi Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 62.1%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 75.1%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 55.6%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
62.1%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
75.1%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
55.6%
- ▥
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
85.7%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Barracas Central Win 62.1%
Draw 10.8%
Aldosivi Win 27.1%
Expected Goals (xG)
Barracas Central1.04
Aldosivi0.76
Recent Form (Last 5)
Barracas Central Barracas Central
WWDLW
19 GF / 17 GA
Aldosivi Aldosivi
WLDWL
13 GF / 21 GA
Key Stats
1
Average Goals Scored
0.68
0.89
Average Goals Conceded
1.11
10
BTTS Yes
8
7
Over 2.5
4
3.47
Shots on Goal
2.71

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Barracas Central Barracas Central 19 matches
Aldosivi Aldosivi 19 matches
Barracas Central Statistic Aldosivi
7 Wins 2
7 Draws 9
5 Losses 8
19 Goals For 13
17 Goals Against 21
1 Avg Goals Scored 0.68
0.89 Avg Goals Conceded 1.11
10 BTTS Yes 8
12 Over 1.5 12
7 Over 2.5 4
1 Over 3.5 3
6 Clean Sheets 5
6 Failed To Score 10
3.47 Shots On Goal 2.71
10 Total Shots 10.59
1.94 Corners 3.76
38.2% Ball Possession 42.2%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Aldosivi. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Barracas Central expected to line up in 3-4-3 and Aldosivi in 5-4-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Aldosivi having the stronger overall control. Barracas Central arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 9 with 21 points compared to Aldosivi in 14 on 8, which underlines the gap in season consistency.

Barracas Central Analysis

So far, Barracas Central have built a campaign that leaves them 9 in the table on 21 points from 16 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 5 wins, 6 draws, and 5 losses, while the 15:15 goal ratio supports the view of poor form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on R. Insua (3 goals), F. Tobio (2 goals), D. Martinez (1 goals), with creative support from Tomás Porra (3 assists), R. Insua (1 assists), Facundo Bruera (1 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. At home, they have returned 3 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.

Aldosivi Analysis

Aldosivi approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 14 with 8 points from 16 matches. Their record of 0 wins, 8 draws, and 8 losses, together with goals at 6:19, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through Federico Gino (2 goals), F. Anso (1 goals), with creative support from Fernando Román (1 assists), L. Rodriguez (1 assists), N. Zalazar (1 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. Away from home, the split record of 0 wins, 1 draws, and 7 losses points to a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 6 head-to-head meetings, Barracas Central won 4 times, Aldosivi won 1 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 9:5 from Barracas Central's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 matches, with an average of 2.33 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (89.2%)
Predicted formations: Barracas Central 3-4-3 / Aldosivi 5-4-1
H2H summary: Barracas Central wins 4, draws 1, Aldosivi wins 1

Standings

Apertura - Group B
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 16 10 4 2 29:15 14 34
D W W L W
2 16 9 2 5 22:12 10 29
W L W W W
3 16 8 5 3 17:13 4 29
W L D D W
4 16 8 4 4 20:16 4 28
D W W D L
5 16 7 5 4 17:13 4 26
W W D D D
6 16 8 2 6 19:19 0 26
D D D D W
7 16 5 7 4 17:13 4 22
L W W W D
8 16 5 6 5 17:15 2 21
W W L L L
9 16 5 6 5 15:15 0 21
W W L D D
10 16 4 8 4 18:15 3 20
L L L L L
11 16 6 1 9 13:20 -7 19
W L D W L
12 16 5 3 8 17:19 -2 18
W D D D L
13 16 3 5 8 15:20 -5 14
D L L L W
14 16 0 8 8 6:19 -13 8
L L W L W
15 16 1 2 13 5:24 -19 5
L L L L L
Knockout Phase