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ENGLAND › LEAGUE TWO
19.09.2026 14:00
The Hive Stadium
Barnet
Match Timeline
Fleetwood Town
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
10'
Kabongo Tshimanga
Barnet
⚽
36'
Will davies
Fleetwood Town
🟨
43'
Shaun Rooney
Fleetwood Town
🟨
52'
Lewis McCann
Fleetwood Town
⚽
60'
Charlie Lakin
Barnet
⚽
62'
Idris Kanu
Barnet
🔄
63'
Will davies ↔ Ched Evans
Fleetwood Town
🔄
64'
Ronan Coughlan ↔ Aaron Loupalo-Bi
Fleetwood Town
🟨
69'
Oisin Gallagher
Barnet
🔄
73'
Oisin Gallagher ↔ Nnamdi Ofoborh
Barnet
🟨
75'
Idris Kanu
Barnet
🔄
76'
Adam Murphy ↔ Josh Robertson
Fleetwood Town
🔄
76'
R. Bennett ↔ Conor Haughey
Fleetwood Town
🔄
77'
Idris Kanu ↔ J Maskell
Barnet
🔄
78'
Tom Knowles ↔ Isiah Noel Williams
Barnet
🟨
85'
Nnamdi Ofoborh
Barnet
🟥
85'
Nnamdi Ofoborh
Barnet
🔄
90+1'
Kabongo Tshimanga ↔ Damola Ajayi
Barnet
🟨
90+5'
Ched Evans
Fleetwood Town

Barnet vs Fleetwood Town Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 56%
Odds 4.87
BTTS
Yes
Probability 75.1%
Odds 1.67
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 66.7%
Odds 1.68
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
56%
4.87 ▥
BTTS Yes
75.1%
1.67 ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
66.7%
1.68 ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
1.13 ▥
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
10.00 ▥
Correct Score 1-2
-
15.00 ▥
Probability Distribution
Barnet Win 39.1%
Draw 4.9%
Fleetwood Town Win 56%
Expected Goals (xG)
Barnet1.29
Fleetwood Town1.42
Recent Form (Last 5)
Barnet Barnet
WWDLW
23 GF / 17 GA
Fleetwood Town Fleetwood Town
WLDWL
18 GF / 7 GA
Key Stats
1.77
Average Goals Scored
1.5
1.31
Average Goals Conceded
0.58
11
BTTS Yes
5
9
Over 2.5
3
4.67
Shots on Goal
3.33

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Barnet Barnet 13 matches
Fleetwood Town Fleetwood Town 12 matches
Barnet Statistic Fleetwood Town
5 Wins 6
7 Draws 5
1 Losses 1
23 Goals For 18
17 Goals Against 7
1.77 Avg Goals Scored 1.5
1.31 Avg Goals Conceded 0.58
11 BTTS Yes 5
11 Over 1.5 8
9 Over 2.5 3
6 Over 3.5 2
2 Clean Sheets 6
1 Failed To Score 2
4.67 Shots On Goal 3.33
16.17 Total Shots 13.67
7 Corners 4.83
52.5% Ball Possession 50%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

There is very little separating these two teams on paper, and two sides with a fairly similar football identity points toward a competitive game. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Barnet expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Fleetwood Town in 3-1-4-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Fleetwood Town having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. Even if this develops into a close game, the analytical lean still edges toward Away Win, with a cautious clean-sheet angle toward Fleetwood Town.

Barnet Analysis

Placed 3 with 9 points from 5 outings, Barnet continue to operate from a strong competitive position. Across the campaign, they have posted 2 wins, 3 draws, and 0 losses, while the 12:8 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form and have been stuck in a sequence of draws. Going forward they rely heavily on K. Tshimanga (2 goals), C. Lakin (2 goals), T. Knowles (2 goals), with creative support from K. Tshimanga (2 assists), C. Lakin (2 assists), T. Knowles (1 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. At home, the record of 1 wins, 1 draws, and 0 losses points toward a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

Fleetwood Town Analysis

Fleetwood Town sit 6 with 9 points after 5 league matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 2 wins, 3 draws, and 0 losses, while the 6:3 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on R. Coughlan (1 goals), F. Potter (1 goals), W. Davies (1 goals), with creative support from C. Evans (2 assists), R. Coughlan (1 assists), R. Bennett (1 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. Away from home, the record of 1 wins, 1 draws, and 0 losses points toward a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 6 head-to-head meetings, Barnet won 2 times, Fleetwood Town won 4 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 9:10 from Barnet's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 matches, with an average of 3.17 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (95.1%)
Predicted formations: Barnet 4-2-3-1 / Fleetwood Town 3-1-4-2
H2H summary: Barnet wins 2, draws 0, Fleetwood Town wins 4

Standings

League Two
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 9 5 1 3 13:10 3 16
W W W D W
2 7 4 3 0 17:10 7 15
W W D D D
3 9 3 6 0 11:7 4 15
W D D D D
4 9 4 3 2 16:14 2 15
L W D W D
5 9 5 0 4 14:14 0 15
L W L L W
6 8 4 2 2 16:10 6 14
W L W D L
7 8 3 5 0 11:5 6 14
D W D D D
8 9 4 2 3 15:12 3 14
W L W W D
9 9 3 4 2 13:10 3 13
L L W W D
10 9 3 4 2 11:9 2 13
D L W W W
11 9 4 1 4 10:11 -1 13
W W W D L
12 9 2 5 2 12:12 0 11
L D D L W
13 9 3 2 4 9:13 -4 11
L D L L W
14 9 3 2 4 9:14 -5 11
W D D W L
15 9 2 4 3 12:12 0 10
D W D D L
16 9 2 4 3 13:14 -1 10
W D D L W
17 9 2 4 3 11:12 -1 10
L D W D L
18 9 2 4 3 9:10 -1 10
L L L D W
19 8 2 4 2 10:12 -2 10
D D D L L
20 9 2 3 4 5:6 -1 9
W L D L D
21 8 2 1 5 9:13 -4 7
L L L L D
22 7 1 3 3 3:6 -3 6
L L W D D
23 7 1 2 4 3:9 -6 5
L W L L D
24 7 1 1 5 6:13 -7 4
L L L D L
Promotion - League One
Promotion - League Two (Play Offs: Semi-finals)
Relegation - National League