ECUADOR LIGA PRO
--.--.---- --:--
Estadio Monumental Banco Pichincha
Referee: O. Contreras
Barcelona SC
Match Timeline
Mushuc Runa SC
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
43'
R. Ibarra · Assist: T. Minda
Mushuc Runa SC
55'
G. Vallecilla · Assist: J. Gomez
Barcelona SC
🟨
56'
José Hernández
Mushuc Runa SC
🟨
61'
Manuel Gamboa
Mushuc Runa SC
VAR
64'
Dario Benedetto
Barcelona SC
🟨
66'
Jhonny Quiñónez
Barcelona SC
🔄
68'
M. Parrales ↔ M. Celiz
Barcelona SC
🔄
69'
J. R. Quinonez Ruiz ↔ M. Mejia
Barcelona SC
🔄
71'
T. Minda ↔ F. Carabali
Mushuc Runa SC
🔄
71'
R. Ibarra ↔ R. Carrillo
Mushuc Runa SC
🔄
71'
C. Orejuela ↔ K. Velasco
Mushuc Runa SC
🔄
78'
H. Villalba ↔ J. Wila
Barcelona SC
🔄
78'
J. Gomez ↔ K. Caidedo
Barcelona SC
79'
B. Carabali · Assist: D. Benedetto
Barcelona SC
🔄
84'
D. Benedetto ↔ J. Intriago
Barcelona SC
🔄
84'
C. Angulo ↔ N. Dibble
Mushuc Runa SC
🔄
86'
A. Zambrano ↔ F. Castelli
Mushuc Runa SC
🟨
90+3'
Klever Caicedo
Barcelona SC

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 77.3%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 68.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 64.9%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
77.3%
-
BTTS BTTS Yes
68.8%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
64.9%
-
Probability Distribution
Barcelona SC Win 77.3%
Draw 8%
Mushuc Runa SC Win 14.7%
Expected Goals (xG)
Barcelona SC0.93
Mushuc Runa SC1.02
Recent Form (Last 5)
Barcelona SC Barcelona SC
WWDLW
17 GF / 17 GA
Mushuc Runa SC Mushuc Runa SC
WLDWL
10 GF / 9 GA
Key Stats
0.89
Average Goals Scored
1.11
0.89
Average Goals Conceded
1
7
BTTS Yes
4
6
Over 2.5
3
3.4
Shots on Goal
3.56

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Barcelona SC Barcelona SC 19 matches
Mushuc Runa SC Mushuc Runa SC 9 matches
Barcelona SC Statistic Mushuc Runa SC
8 Wins 3
5 Draws 4
6 Losses 2
17 Goals For 10
17 Goals Against 9
0.89 Avg Goals Scored 1.11
0.89 Avg Goals Conceded 1
7 BTTS Yes 4
9 Over 1.5 5
6 Over 2.5 3
2 Over 3.5 3
8 Clean Sheets 5
6 Failed To Score 2
3.4 Shots On Goal 3.56
11.8 Total Shots 11.78
3.53 Corners 4.78
45.4% Ball Possession 45.7%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This contest looks finely balanced, with Barcelona SC's more proactive style and Mushuc Runa SC's more cautious structure suggesting a close tactical battle. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Mushuc Runa SC. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Barcelona SC expected to line up in 5-3-2 and Mushuc Runa SC in 4-4-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Mushuc Runa SC having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Barcelona SC Analysis

Barcelona SC arrive from the upper part of the table, holding 4 place with 15 points after 9 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 4 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses, while the 8:4 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on D. Benedetto (4 goals), J. R. Quinonez Ruiz (2 goals), Jandry Gomez (2 goals), with creative support from D. Benedetto (1 assists), B. Castillo (1 assists), Bryan Carabalí (1 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. At home, their split return of 3 wins, 1 draws, and 0 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

Mushuc Runa SC Analysis

So far, Mushuc Runa SC have built a campaign that leaves them 7 in the table on 13 points from 9 matches. Their overall return of 3 wins, 4 draws, and 2 losses with goals at 9:9 reflects good form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by Freddy Mina (2 goals), Ronie Carrillo (2 goals), C. Orejuela (1 goals), with creative support from Freddy Mina (1 assists), Ronie Carrillo (1 assists), K. Velasco (1 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. Away from home, their split return of 0 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses fits a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Barcelona SC won 10 times, Mushuc Runa SC won 1 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 33:13 from Barcelona SC's perspective. 10 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 3.07 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (92%)
Predicted formations: Barcelona SC 5-3-2 / Mushuc Runa SC 4-4-2
H2H summary: Barcelona SC wins 10, draws 4, Mushuc Runa SC wins 1
Stats
Barcelona SC Barcelona SC
Mushuc Runa SC Mushuc Runa SC
Shots on Goal
7
Shots on Goal
1
Shots off Goal
4
Shots off Goal
4
Blocked Shots
5
Blocked Shots
0
9 Corner Kicks 0
10 Fouls 9
2 Offsides 2
67% Ball Possession 33%
16 Total Shots 5
7 Shots on Goal 1
4 Shots off Goal 4
5 Blocked Shots 0
8 Shots insidebox 2
8 Shots outsidebox 3
0 Goalkeeper Saves 5
483 Total passes 236
406 Passes accurate 168
1.07 expected_goals 0.52
🟨 2 Yellow Cards 2 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Barcelona SC
Formation
Mushuc Runa SC
J. Contreras
J. Contreras
B. Carabali
B. Carabali
J. Baez
J. Baez
A. Rangel
A. Rangel
G. Vallecilla
G. Vallecilla
J. Gomez
🎯
J. Gomez
J. R. Quinonez Ruiz
J. R. Quinonez Ruiz
M. Lugo
M. Lugo
H. Villalba
H. Villalba
M. Parrales
M. Parrales
D. Benedetto
🎯
D. Benedetto
R. Formento
R. Formento
K. Peralta
K. Peralta
M. Gamboa
M. Gamboa
B. Negro
B. Negro
J. Hernandez
J. Hernandez
C. Angulo
C. Angulo
J. Gonzalez
J. Gonzalez
A. Zambrano
A. Zambrano
C. Orejuela
C. Orejuela
R. Ibarra
R. Ibarra
T. Minda
🎯
T. Minda
Barcelona SC 4-4-2
Starting XI
1
J. Contreras
G
18
B. Carabali
⚽ 79'
D
33
J. Baez
D
14
A. Rangel
D
4
G. Vallecilla
⚽ 55'
D
7
J. Gomez
🎯 55' ↓ 78'
M
28
J. R. Quinonez Ruiz
↓ 69' 🟨 66'
M
32
M. Lugo
M
21
H. Villalba
↓ 78'
M
11
M. Parrales
↓ 68'
F
9
D. Benedetto
🎯 79' ↓ 84'
F
Substitutes
22
J. Cevallos
G
8
M. Celiz
↑ 68'
M
23
T. Martinez
M
35
J. Intriago
↑ 84'
M
5
C. Montano
M
27
W. Vargas
70
M. Mejia
↑ 69'
F
51
J. Wila
↑ 78'
F
26
B. Castillo
D
15
J. Perlaza
F
44
W. J. Chala Rosales
D
63
K. Caidedo
↑ 78' 🟨 90+3'
F
Mushuc Runa SC 4-4-2
Starting XI
25
R. Formento
G
26
K. Peralta
D
44
M. Gamboa
🟨 61'
D
6
B. Negro
D
33
J. Hernandez
🟨 56'
D
99
C. Angulo
↓ 84'
M
18
J. Gonzalez
M
8
A. Zambrano
↓ 86'
M
32
C. Orejuela
↓ 71'
M
30
R. Ibarra
⚽ 43' ↓ 71'
F
7
T. Minda
🎯 43' ↓ 71'
F
Substitutes
42
W. Pabon
G
81
F. Castelli
↑ 86'
F
12
F. Carabali
↑ 71'
D
9
R. Carrillo
↑ 71'
F
77
K. Velasco
↑ 71'
50
J. Cusme
D
11
N. Dibble
↑ 84'
F
2
F. Flor
D
19
J. Carcelen
37
J. L. Mancilla Quinones
D
17
O. Pico
M
Last matches: Barcelona SC
02.06.26
Lig
Barcelona SC
Tecnico Universitario
0
1
L
29.05.26
CON
Barcelona SC
Cruzeiro
0
4
L
24.05.26
Lig
Barcelona SC
Delfin SC
2
1
W
22.05.26
CON
Barcelona SC
U. Catolica
0
2
L
17.05.26
Lig
Barcelona SC
Aucas
3
0
W
10.05.26
Lig
Barcelona SC
Independiente del Valle
0
1
L
06.05.26
CON
Barcelona SC
Boca Juniors
1
0
W
03.05.26
Lig
Barcelona SC
Manta FC
1
1
D
30.04.26
CON
Barcelona SC
U. Catolica
1
2
L
26.04.26
Lig
Barcelona SC
Orense SC
1
1
D
19.04.26
Lig
Barcelona SC
Macara
1
3
L
15.04.26
CON
Barcelona SC
Boca Juniors
0
3
L
11.04.26
Lig
Barcelona SC
Leones del Norte
2
1
W
08.04.26
CON
Barcelona SC
Cruzeiro
0
1
L
04.04.26
Lig
Barcelona SC
LDU de Quito
2
0
W
22.03.26
Lig
Barcelona SC
Universidad Catolica
1
1
D
19.03.26
Lig
Barcelona SC
Libertad
0
0
D
15.03.26
Lig
Barcelona SC
Guayaquil City FC
0
0
D
11.03.26
CON
Barcelona SC
Botafogo
1
0
W
07.03.26
Lig
Barcelona SC
Emelec
1
0
W
Last matches: Mushuc Runa SC
31.05.26
Lig
Mushuc Runa SC
Aucas
0
0
D
23.05.26
Lig
Mushuc Runa SC
Guayaquil City FC
2
2
D
17.05.26
Lig
Mushuc Runa SC
Leones del Norte
1
3
L
12.05.26
Lig
Mushuc Runa SC
LDU de Quito
1
3
L
03.05.26
Lig
Mushuc Runa SC
Delfin SC
0
1
L
25.04.26
Lig
Mushuc Runa SC
Deportivo Cuenca
4
1
W
18.04.26
Lig
Mushuc Runa SC
Tecnico Universitario
1
0
W
11.04.26
Lig
Mushuc Runa SC
Manta FC
1
0
W
07.04.26
Lig
Mushuc Runa SC
Libertad
2
2
D
22.03.26
Lig
Mushuc Runa SC
Emelec
2
0
W
19.03.26
Lig
Mushuc Runa SC
Orense SC
2
3
L
15.03.26
Lig
Mushuc Runa SC
Macara
0
0
D
07.03.26
Lig
Mushuc Runa SC
Independiente del Valle
1
3
L
01.03.26
Lig
Mushuc Runa SC
Universidad Catolica
0
0
D
21.02.26
Lig
Mushuc Runa SC
Aucas
1
1
D
H2H: Barcelona SC vs Mushuc Runa SC
22.04.26
H2H
Barcelona SC
Mushuc Runa SC
2
1
W
22.06.25
H2H
Mushuc Runa SC
Barcelona SC
0
5
W
23.02.25
H2H
Barcelona SC
Mushuc Runa SC
1
0
W
01.12.24
H2H
Barcelona SC
Mushuc Runa SC
2
2
D
02.06.24
H2H
Mushuc Runa SC
Barcelona SC
1
0
L
26.08.23
H2H
Mushuc Runa SC
Barcelona SC
2
2
D
01.04.23
H2H
Barcelona SC
Mushuc Runa SC
1
0
W
07.02.23
H2H
Mushuc Runa SC
Barcelona SC
2
3
W
29.01.23
H2H
Barcelona SC
Mushuc Runa SC
1
0
W
08.08.22
H2H
Barcelona SC
Mushuc Runa SC
4
1
W
20.03.22
H2H
Mushuc Runa SC
Barcelona SC
1
1
D
03.10.21
H2H
Barcelona SC
Mushuc Runa SC
4
0
W
17.04.21
H2H
Mushuc Runa SC
Barcelona SC
2
2
D
17.12.20
H2H
Barcelona SC
Mushuc Runa SC
3
0
W
05.09.20
H2H
Mushuc Runa SC
Barcelona SC
1
2
W
Last matches: Barcelona SC
17.05.26
Lig
Barcelona SC
Aucas
3
0
W
06.05.26
CON
Barcelona SC
Boca Juniors
1
0
W
03.05.26
Lig
Barcelona SC
Manta FC
1
1
D
30.04.26
CON
Barcelona SC
U. Catolica
1
2
L
11.04.26
Lig
Barcelona SC
Leones del Norte
2
1
W
08.04.26
CON
Barcelona SC
Cruzeiro
0
1
L
22.03.26
Lig
Barcelona SC
Universidad Catolica
1
1
D
07.03.26
Lig
Barcelona SC
Emelec
1
0
W
04.03.26
CON
Barcelona SC
Botafogo
1
1
D
21.02.26
Lig
Barcelona SC
Tecnico Universitario
1
0
W
19.02.26
CON
Barcelona SC
Argentinos JRS
0
1
L
14.02.26
Fri
Barcelona SC
Aucas
1
0
W
08.02.26
Fri
Barcelona SC
Inter Miami
2
2
D
01.02.26
Fri
Barcelona SC
Guayaquil City FC
0
1
L
H2H at home: Barcelona SC
22.04.26
H2H
Barcelona SC
Mushuc Runa SC
2
1
W
23.02.25
H2H
Barcelona SC
Mushuc Runa SC
1
0
W
01.12.24
H2H
Barcelona SC
Mushuc Runa SC
2
2
D
01.04.23
H2H
Barcelona SC
Mushuc Runa SC
1
0
W
29.01.23
H2H
Barcelona SC
Mushuc Runa SC
1
0
W
08.08.22
H2H
Barcelona SC
Mushuc Runa SC
4
1
W
03.10.21
H2H
Barcelona SC
Mushuc Runa SC
4
0
W
17.12.20
H2H
Barcelona SC
Mushuc Runa SC
3
0
W
Last matches: Mushuc Runa SC
17.05.26
Lig
Mushuc Runa SC
Leones del Norte
1
3
L
03.05.26
Lig
Mushuc Runa SC
Delfin SC
0
1
L
07.04.26
Lig
Mushuc Runa SC
Libertad
2
2
D
19.03.26
Lig
Mushuc Runa SC
Orense SC
2
3
L
07.03.26
Lig
Mushuc Runa SC
Independiente del Valle
1
3
L
21.02.26
Lig
Mushuc Runa SC
Aucas
1
1
D
H2H away: Mushuc Runa SC
22.04.26
H2H
Barcelona SC
Mushuc Runa SC
2
1
L
23.02.25
H2H
Barcelona SC
Mushuc Runa SC
1
0
L
01.12.24
H2H
Barcelona SC
Mushuc Runa SC
2
2
D
01.04.23
H2H
Barcelona SC
Mushuc Runa SC
1
0
L
29.01.23
H2H
Barcelona SC
Mushuc Runa SC
1
0
L
08.08.22
H2H
Barcelona SC
Mushuc Runa SC
4
1
L
03.10.21
H2H
Barcelona SC
Mushuc Runa SC
4
0
L
17.12.20
H2H
Barcelona SC
Mushuc Runa SC
3
0
L

Standings

Liga Pro
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 16 12 1 3 32:18 14 37
W L W W W
2 16 8 3 5 19:13 6 27
W D W W W
3 16 8 3 5 18:17 1 27
W D W W W
4 16 7 5 4 26:14 12 26
L W D L L
5 16 7 5 4 18:13 5 26
L W W L D
6 16 7 5 4 19:16 3 26
D W L W L
7 16 6 4 6 21:22 -1 22
L L W W W
8 16 6 2 8 17:16 1 20
W W L W L
9 16 5 5 6 15:18 -3 20
D L L W L
10 16 6 4 6 13:16 -3 19
W W D D L
11 16 5 4 7 14:19 -5 19
L D L L L
12 16 4 6 6 19:21 -2 18
D D L L L
13 16 4 5 7 15:18 -3 17
D L W L W
14 16 4 5 7 16:22 -6 17
L W L D W
15 16 4 4 8 8:15 -7 16
L L D L W
16 16 3 3 10 7:19 -12 12
W L D L D
Play-offs
Relegation Playoffs