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BELARUS › PREMIER LEAGUE
20.09.2026 12:00
Lokomotiv Stadium
Baranovichi
Match Timeline
FC Gomel
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
14'
Kirill Muzychenko
Baranovichi
⚽
31'
T. Simanenka · Assist: G. Kukushkin
FC Gomel
🟨
40'
Fedor Lebedev
Baranovichi
🟨
47'
Georgiy Kukushkin
FC Gomel
🟨
54'
Vadim Martinkevich
FC Gomel
🟨
57'
Alibi Tuzakbaev
Baranovichi
🔄
61'
K. Muzychenko ↔ V. Fedotov
Baranovichi
🔄
62'
D. Kovalevich ↔ M. Mardas
FC Gomel
🔄
68'
M. Bondarenko ↔ M. Shevchenko
Baranovichi
🔄
68'
V. Potorocha ↔ E. Torekul
Baranovichi
🔄
68'
K. Danilin ↔ K. Leonovich
FC Gomel
🔄
68'
V. Martinkevich ↔ D. Shaykhtdinov
FC Gomel
🔄
75'
A. Tuzakbaev ↔ T. Pukhov
Baranovichi
🟨
76'
Martin Artyukh
Baranovichi
🔄
79'
R. Adeola ↔ A. Gavrilovich
FC Gomel
🔄
79'
T. Simanenka ↔ E. Barsukov
FC Gomel
🟨
80'
Timur Pukhov
Baranovichi
🟨
87'
Yevgeni Barsukov
FC Gomel
⚽
88'
E. Barsukov
FC Gomel

Baranovichi vs FC Gomel Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 49.7%
Odds -
BTTS
No
Probability 60.3%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 51.1%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
49.7%
- ▥
BTTS No
60.3%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
51.1%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
79.6%
- ▥
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
- ▥
Correct Score 0-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Baranovichi Win 36.5%
Draw 13.8%
FC Gomel Win 49.7%
Expected Goals (xG)
Baranovichi0.98
FC Gomel1.59
Recent Form (Last 5)
Baranovichi Baranovichi
WWDLW
33 GF / 45 GA
FC Gomel FC Gomel
WLDWL
51 GF / 25 GA
Key Stats
1.1
Average Goals Scored
1.65
1.5
Average Goals Conceded
0.81
16
BTTS Yes
15
14
Over 2.5
14
1.27
Shots on Goal
1.68

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Baranovichi Baranovichi 30 matches
FC Gomel FC Gomel 31 matches
Baranovichi Statistic FC Gomel
7 Wins 17
10 Draws 7
13 Losses 7
33 Goals For 51
45 Goals Against 25
1.1 Avg Goals Scored 1.65
1.5 Avg Goals Conceded 0.81
16 BTTS Yes 15
22 Over 1.5 23
14 Over 2.5 14
8 Over 3.5 8
6 Clean Sheets 13
11 Failed To Score 6
1.27 Shots On Goal 1.68
0 Total Shots 0.14
1.41 Corners 2.05
14.4% Ball Possession 20.2%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around FC Gomel's more proactive style and Baranovichi's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. FC Gomel carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 4 with 36 points while Baranovichi sit 11 on 25, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors FC Gomel. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Baranovichi expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and FC Gomel in 4-4-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward FC Gomel having the stronger overall control. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected.

Baranovichi Analysis

So far, Baranovichi have built a campaign that leaves them 11 in the table on 25 points from 22 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 6 wins, 7 draws, and 9 losses, while the 24:36 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on their main attacking players, and defensively they have been fairly stable. At home, their split return of 3 wins, 4 draws, and 4 losses fits a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.

FC Gomel Analysis

FC Gomel come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 4 place with 36 points after 21 matches. With 10 wins, 6 draws, and 5 defeats plus a goal balance of 30:16, they continue to show good form over their recent run. Their attacking quality is driven by their main attacking players, and at the back they have appeared very solid. Away from home, their record of 4 wins, 4 draws, and 2 losses points to a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 3 head-to-head meetings, Baranovichi won 1 times, FC Gomel won 2 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 4:12 from Baranovichi's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 5.33 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (86.2%)
Predicted formations: Baranovichi 4-2-3-1 / FC Gomel 4-4-2
H2H summary: Baranovichi wins 1, draws 0, FC Gomel wins 2

Standings

Premier League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 22 13 6 3 37:18 19 45
L W D W D
2 21 12 8 1 42:17 25 44
W D D D W
3 21 13 4 4 37:16 21 43
W L D W L
4 23 12 4 7 38:23 15 40
W W W L D
5 23 11 6 6 33:18 15 39
W L W W D
6 22 11 4 7 26:20 6 37
W W D W W
7 23 10 6 7 28:21 7 36
W D L W W
8 23 10 4 9 30:28 2 34
L W W L L
9 22 7 6 9 28:29 -1 27
L L L W D
10 22 6 7 9 23:26 -3 25
L L W L D
11 23 6 7 10 24:38 -14 25
L D W W D
12 23 5 8 10 24:41 -17 23
L D D L L
13 22 5 6 11 22:36 -14 21
W D D D L
14 22 3 9 10 16:27 -11 18
L D L L W
15 23 2 10 11 20:36 -16 16
L D L D D
16 23 3 5 15 20:54 -34 14
W D L L L
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Vysshaya Liga (Relegation)
Relegation - Pershaya Liga