Login Register
CZECH-REPUBLIC › CZECH LIGA
18.10.2026 13:00
Městský stadion ve Vítkovicích
Referee: Dalibor Cerny
Baník Ostrava
Match Timeline
Sparta Praha
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
29'
Ki-Jana Hoever
Sparta Praha
🟨
33'
Raymond Roan Nogha
Baník Ostrava
🟨
43'
John Mercado
Sparta Praha
🔄
45'
Ki-Jana Hoever ↔ Pavel Kadeřábek
Sparta Praha
🟨
55'
Roman Macek
Sparta Praha
🔄
56'
Patrik Vydra ↔ Ebrima Singhateh
Sparta Praha
🔄
56'
Jonatan Braut Brunes ↔ Matyáš Vojta
Sparta Praha
🔄
64'
Michal Kohút ↔ Dantaye·Gilbert
Baník Ostrava
🔄
64'
Roman Macek ↔ Sivert Heggheim Mannsverk
Sparta Praha
🔄
67'
Aboubacar Traore ↔ Rhodri Smith
Baník Ostrava
🔄
74'
Josimar Alcocer ↔ Matej Jurasek
Sparta Praha
🟨
75'
Ebrima Singhateh
Sparta Praha
🔄
79'
Abdullahi Bewene ↔ Matus Kmet
Baník Ostrava
🔄
79'
Filip Kubala ↔ Vaclav Jurecka
Baník Ostrava
🔄
79'
David Planka ↔ Artur Musak
Baník Ostrava
🟨
90'
Martin Suchomel
Sparta Praha

Baník Ostrava vs Sparta Praha Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 51.7%
Odds 1.69
BTTS
Yes
Probability 71.2%
Odds 1.62
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 77.2%
Odds 1.60
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
51.7%
1.69 ▥
BTTS Yes
71.2%
1.62 ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
77.2%
1.60 ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
1.17 ▥
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
5.00 ▥
Correct Score 1-2
-
8.50 ▥
Probability Distribution
Baník Ostrava Win 35.1%
Draw 13.2%
Sparta Praha Win 51.7%
Expected Goals (xG)
Baník Ostrava1.37
Sparta Praha1.87
Recent Form (Last 5)
Baník Ostrava Baník Ostrava
WWDLW
29 GF / 34 GA
Sparta Praha Sparta Praha
WLDWL
46 GF / 32 GA
Key Stats
1.32
Average Goals Scored
2.09
1.55
Average Goals Conceded
1.45
10
BTTS Yes
11
13
Over 2.5
16
3.5
Shots on Goal
5.93

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Baník Ostrava Baník Ostrava 22 matches
Sparta Praha Sparta Praha 22 matches
Baník Ostrava Statistic Sparta Praha
8 Wins 12
3 Draws 2
11 Losses 8
29 Goals For 46
34 Goals Against 32
1.32 Avg Goals Scored 2.09
1.55 Avg Goals Conceded 1.45
10 BTTS Yes 11
17 Over 1.5 20
13 Over 2.5 16
8 Over 3.5 9
7 Clean Sheets 6
5 Failed To Score 5
3.5 Shots On Goal 5.93
12.1 Total Shots 16.21
5.1 Corners 7.14
48.5% Ball Possession 60.5%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around Sparta Praha's more proactive style and Baník Ostrava's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Sparta Praha carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 8 with 15 points while Baník Ostrava sit 12 on 10, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Baník Ostrava expected to line up in 3-4-2-1 and Sparta Praha in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Sparta Praha having the stronger overall control. Baník Ostrava have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Sparta Praha.

Baník Ostrava Analysis

Baník Ostrava sit 12 with 10 points after 10 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. The overall return of 3 wins, 1 draws, and 6 defeats with a 7:18 goal balance points toward poor form with results showing a clear downward trend. Going forward they depend heavily on Jiri Micek (1 goals), Vit Skrkon (1 goals), Václav Jurečka (1 goals), with creative support from Roan Nogha (1 assists), Jiří Boula (1 assists), Filip Kubala (1 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. At home, they have returned 2 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, which indicates a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

Sparta Praha Analysis

Sparta Praha are currently 8 in the standings with 15 points from 9 matches. The record of 5 wins, 0 draws, and 4 defeats, together with a 18:12 goal balance, points toward good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through John Mercado (3 goals), Adam Karabec (2 goals), Jonatan Braut Brunes (1 goals), with creative support from Adam Karabec (2 assists), Jonatan Braut Brunes (1 assists), Dominik Hollý (1 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. Away from home, they have returned 2 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Baník Ostrava won 2 times, Sparta Praha won 10 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 21:36 from Baník Ostrava's perspective. 12 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 12 matches, with an average of 3.8 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (86.8%)
Predicted formations: Baník Ostrava 3-4-2-1 / Sparta Praha 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Baník Ostrava wins 2, draws 3, Sparta Praha wins 10

Standings

Czech Liga
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 11 8 3 0 26:6 20 27
D W W W W
2 11 6 2 3 18:14 4 20
W D L W W
3 11 6 2 3 13:7 6 20
L L D W W
4 11 6 2 3 18:13 5 20
W L L W L
5 11 6 1 4 14:14 0 19
W L L W L
6 11 6 1 4 20:12 8 19
D W W W L
7 11 5 2 4 18:17 1 17
L D W L W
8 11 5 2 4 14:12 2 17
L W D L W
9 11 4 4 3 23:19 4 16
W W L L D
10 10 4 3 3 11:11 0 15
W W L W L
11 11 4 3 4 10:13 -3 15
D L L W D
12 11 3 2 6 12:16 -4 11
W L W W D
13 11 3 2 6 7:18 -11 11
D L D L L
14 10 2 2 6 11:20 -9 8
W D L L W
15 11 1 4 6 10:18 -8 7
L W D L D
16 11 0 1 10 8:23 -15 1
L L D L L
Play-offs
Play Offs
Relegation Play-offs