14.09.2026 22:00
Florencio Sola
Referee: Sebastian Zunino, Argentina
Banfield
Match Timeline
Barracas Central
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
45'
L. Gomez · Assist: S. Lopez
Banfield
🔄
46'
D. Martinez ↔ R. Barrios
Barracas Central
🔄
59'
K. Jappert ↔ E. Taborda
Barracas Central
🔄
59'
E. Pereyra ↔ R. Insua
Barracas Central
⚽
62'
I. Tapia
Barracas Central
VAR
69'
Norberto Briasco
Barracas Central
🔄
73'
S. Lopez ↔ F. Medina
Banfield
🔄
76'
T. Porra ↔ N. Capraro
Barracas Central
🟨
78'
Tomas Adoryan
Banfield
🔄
79'
T. Adoryan ↔ F. Alvarez
Banfield
🔄
79'
L. Gomez ↔ L. Pinero
Banfield
🔄
85'
N. Briasco ↔ J. Candia
Barracas Central
🔄
87'
A. Machado ↔ M. Hernandez
Banfield
🟨
88'
Favio Álvarez
Banfield

Banfield vs Barracas Central Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away or Draw
Probability 65.5%
Odds 1.53
BTTS
Yes
Probability 71.2%
Odds 2.25
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 72%
Odds 3.07
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away or Draw
65.5%
1.53 ▥
BTTS Yes
71.2%
2.25 ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
72%
3.07 ▥
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
72%
1.03 ▥
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
7.00 ▥
Correct Score 1-2
-
15.00 ▥
Probability Distribution
Banfield Win 34.5%
Draw 19.7%
Barracas Central Win 45.8%
Expected Goals (xG)
Banfield1.06
Barracas Central1.03
Recent Form (Last 5)
Banfield Banfield
WWDLW
32 GF / 36 GA
Barracas Central Barracas Central
WLDWL
23 GF / 25 GA
Key Stats
1.14
Average Goals Scored
0.85
1.29
Average Goals Conceded
0.93
15
BTTS Yes
12
13
Over 2.5
9
3.58
Shots on Goal
3.42

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Banfield Banfield 28 matches
Barracas Central Barracas Central 27 matches
Banfield Statistic Barracas Central
8 Wins 9
7 Draws 9
13 Losses 9
32 Goals For 23
36 Goals Against 25
1.14 Avg Goals Scored 0.85
1.29 Avg Goals Conceded 0.93
15 BTTS Yes 12
20 Over 1.5 15
13 Over 2.5 9
6 Over 3.5 2
7 Clean Sheets 10
8 Failed To Score 10
3.58 Shots On Goal 3.42
11.58 Total Shots 10.46
3.42 Corners 2.38
38.8% Ball Possession 41.2%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

There is very little separating these two teams on paper, and two sides with a fairly similar football identity points toward a competitive game. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Barracas Central. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Banfield expected to line up in 4-4-2 and Barracas Central in 5-3-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Barracas Central having the stronger overall control. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns.

Banfield Analysis

Banfield approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 12 with 18 points from 16 matches. Across the season they have posted 5 wins, 3 draws, and 8 defeats, and the 17:19 goal record continues to suggest poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Their attacking burden often falls on Tiziano Perrota (3 goals), Bruno Sepúlveda (3 goals), M. Méndez (1 goals), with creative support from S. López (1 assists), I. Abraham (1 assists), D. Zalazar (1 assists), while at the back they have been very solid. At home, they have returned 4 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses, which indicates a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

Barracas Central Analysis

With 21 points from 16 games and a place of 9, Barracas Central still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. The overall return of 5 wins, 6 draws, and 5 defeats with a 15:15 goal balance points toward poor form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on Tomás Porra (1 goals), Rodrigo Insúa (1 goals), Iván Tapia (1 goals), with creative support from Tomás Porra (2 assists), Rodrigo Insúa (1 assists), Iván Tapia (1 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. Away from home, the split record of 2 wins, 4 draws, and 2 losses points to a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 8 head-to-head meetings, Banfield won 2 times, Barracas Central won 3 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 5:7 from Banfield's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 matches, with an average of 1.5 goals per game.

1X2: Away or Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (80.3%)
Predicted formations: Banfield 4-4-2 / Barracas Central 5-3-2
H2H summary: Banfield wins 2, draws 3, Barracas Central wins 3

Standings

Apertura - Group B
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 16 10 4 2 29:15 14 34
D W W L W
2 16 9 2 5 22:12 10 29
L W W W D
3 16 8 5 3 17:13 4 29
W L D D W
4 16 8 4 4 20:16 4 28
W W D L D
5 16 7 5 4 17:13 4 26
W W D D D
6 16 8 2 6 19:19 0 26
D D D W W
7 16 5 7 4 17:13 4 22
W W W D D
8 16 5 6 5 17:15 2 21
W W L L L
9 16 5 6 5 15:15 0 21
W L D D D
10 16 4 8 4 18:15 3 20
L L L L D
11 16 6 1 9 13:20 -7 19
L D W L W
12 16 5 3 8 17:19 -2 18
D D L L L
13 16 3 5 8 15:20 -5 14
L L L W D
14 16 0 8 8 6:19 -13 8
L W L W L
15 16 1 2 13 5:24 -19 5
L L L L D
Knockout Phase