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TURKEY › 1. LIG
18.09.2026 13:00
17 Eylül Stadyumu
Referee: B. Kamalak
Bandırmaspor
Match Timeline
Ümraniyespor
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
10'
Tomislav Glumac
Ümraniyespor
🔄
46'
A. Badji ↔ E. Ayhan
Bandırmaspor
🔄
46'
T. Tasci ↔ S. Hostikka
Ümraniyespor
🔄
71'
B. Yilmaz ↔ A. Babacan
Ümraniyespor
🔄
71'
M. Bostan ↔ C. Soukou
Ümraniyespor
🔄
72'
R. Mulumba ↔ R. Dilek
Bandırmaspor
🔄
83'
M. Gumuskaya ↔ E. Cinemre
Bandırmaspor
🔄
83'
T. Kehinde ↔ H. Genc
Bandırmaspor
🔄
83'
O. Yildirim ↔ T. Kosoko
Ümraniyespor
⚽
88'
C. Soukou · Assist: C. Topaloglu
Ümraniyespor
🟨
90+1'
Lucas Lima
Bandırmaspor
🔄
90+1'
A. Blanco ↔ F. Koita
Ümraniyespor

Bandırmaspor vs Ümraniyespor Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 68.8%
Odds 1.78
BTTS
Yes
Probability 63.2%
Odds 1.80
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 52.4%
Odds 1.88
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
68.8%
1.78 ▥
BTTS Yes
63.2%
1.80 ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
52.4%
1.88 ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
1.35 ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
2.88 ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
8.50 ▥
Probability Distribution
Bandırmaspor Win 68.8%
Draw 4.3%
Ümraniyespor Win 26.9%
Expected Goals (xG)
Bandırmaspor1.73
Ümraniyespor0.68
Recent Form (Last 5)
Bandırmaspor Bandırmaspor
WWDLW
12 GF / 4 GA
Ümraniyespor Ümraniyespor
WLDWL
6 GF / 14 GA
Key Stats
1.71
Average Goals Scored
0.75
0.57
Average Goals Conceded
1.75
3
BTTS Yes
5
2
Over 2.5
4
6.14
Shots on Goal
4.29

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Bandırmaspor Bandırmaspor 7 matches
Ümraniyespor Ümraniyespor 8 matches
Bandırmaspor Statistic Ümraniyespor
2 Wins 0
4 Draws 3
1 Losses 5
12 Goals For 6
4 Goals Against 14
1.71 Avg Goals Scored 0.75
0.57 Avg Goals Conceded 1.75
3 BTTS Yes 5
5 Over 1.5 5
2 Over 2.5 4
1 Over 3.5 2
3 Clean Sheets 1
2 Failed To Score 3
6.14 Shots On Goal 4.29
13.86 Total Shots 12
4.71 Corners 4.43
60.3% Ball Possession 49.9%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by Bandırmaspor's more proactive style and Ümraniyespor's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Bandırmaspor expected to line up in 4-1-4-1 and Ümraniyespor in 4-3-3, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Ümraniyespor having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Ümraniyespor arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. Bandırmaspor arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 8 with 10 points compared to Ümraniyespor in 18 on 3, which underlines the gap in season consistency. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Ümraniyespor.

Bandırmaspor Analysis

From their first 7 matches, Bandırmaspor have collected 10 points and now occupy 8 place in the table. Their overall return of 2 wins, 4 draws, and 1 losses with goals at 12:4 reflects poor form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by A. Badji (3 goals), G. Bruno (3 goals), T. Kehinde (2 goals), with creative support from A. Badji (2 assists), M. Gümüşkaya (2 assists), T. Kehinde (1 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. At home, they have returned 2 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

Ümraniyespor Analysis

With 3 points from 7 games and a place of 18, Ümraniyespor still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. The overall return of 0 wins, 3 draws, and 4 defeats with a 5:9 goal balance points toward poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Going forward they depend heavily on M. Bostan (1 goals), Álex Blanco (1 goals), with creative support from S. Göksu (1 assists), T. Taşçı (1 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. Away from home, they have managed 0 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 14 head-to-head meetings, Bandırmaspor won 9 times, Ümraniyespor won 3 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 25:13 from Bandırmaspor's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2.71 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (95.7%)
Predicted formations: Bandırmaspor 4-1-4-1 / Ümraniyespor 4-3-3
H2H summary: Bandırmaspor wins 9, draws 2, Ümraniyespor wins 3

Standings

Lig A
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 8 6 1 1 15:3 12 19
W W W D L
2 8 6 1 1 16:7 9 19
W D W W W
3 8 5 1 2 12:7 5 16
D W W W W
4 8 5 1 2 15:13 2 16
L L W W W
5 8 4 2 2 11:9 2 14
W D L W W
6 8 3 4 1 17:10 7 13
D D W W D
7 8 3 3 2 9:5 4 12
L L W D D
8 8 4 0 4 14:13 1 12
W W L W L
9 8 3 3 2 12:11 1 12
W D L D D
10 8 2 5 1 8:7 1 11
D D D W W
11 8 2 4 2 12:5 7 10
L D W L D
12 8 2 4 2 10:13 -3 10
D D W L D
13 8 2 3 3 12:12 0 9
L D L L D
14 8 1 5 2 7:6 1 8
D W L D D
15 8 1 5 2 9:11 -2 8
D D W D L
16 8 1 3 4 6:9 -3 6
W L L L D
17 8 0 5 3 4:10 -6 5
L D L D L
18 8 1 2 5 7:19 -12 5
W L L L D
19 8 1 3 4 8:17 -9 4
L D D L D
20 8 0 1 7 3:20 -17 1
L D L L L
Promotion - Super Lig
Promotion - 1. Lig (Play Offs: Final)
Promotion - 1. Lig (Play Offs: Quarter-finals)
Relegation