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BRAZIL › SERIE A
--.--.---- --:--
Bahia
FT
1 - 2
Palmeiras
Arena Fonte Nova
Referee: L. Casagrande
Bahia
Match Timeline
Palmeiras
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
-5'
Gabriel Xavier
Bahia
🟨
40'
Luciano Juba
Bahia
⚽
42'
J. Arias · Assist: J. Lopez
Palmeiras
🟨
50'
Jhon Arias
Palmeiras
🟨
55'
Agustín Giay
Palmeiras
⚽
58'
David Duarte · Assist: Everton Ribeiro
Bahia
🔄
60'
J. Arias ↔ R. Sosa
Palmeiras
🔄
60'
Mauricio ↔ Lucas Evangelista
Palmeiras
🔄
60'
J. Lopez ↔ Luighi
Palmeiras
🔄
64'
Allan Elias ↔ Felipe Anderson
Palmeiras
🔄
69'
Everaldo ↔ Willian Jose
Bahia
🔄
69'
C. Olivera ↔ Ademir
Bahia
🔄
69'
Caio Alexandre ↔ Erick
Bahia
🔄
74'
Everton Ribeiro ↔ Michel Araujo
Bahia
🔄
81'
Arthur Gabriel ↔ Khellven
Palmeiras
🟨
85'
Khellven
Palmeiras
🔄
85'
Erick Pulga ↔ Dell
Bahia
⚽
88'
S. Ramos
Palmeiras
🟨
90+2'
Luighi Hanri
Palmeiras

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
Probability Distribution
Bahia Win 0%
Draw 0%
Palmeiras Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Bahia1.24
Palmeiras1.63
Recent Form (Last 5)
Bahia Bahia
WWDLW
14 GF / 9 GA
Palmeiras Palmeiras
WLDWL
19 GF / 9 GA
Key Stats
1.4
Average Goals Scored
2.11
0.9
Average Goals Conceded
1
5
BTTS Yes
7
4
Over 2.5
7
4.4
Shots on Goal
5.22

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Bahia Bahia 10 matches
Palmeiras Palmeiras 9 matches
Bahia Statistic Palmeiras
6 Wins 7
2 Draws 1
2 Losses 1
14 Goals For 19
9 Goals Against 9
1.4 Avg Goals Scored 2.11
0.9 Avg Goals Conceded 1
5 BTTS Yes 7
7 Over 1.5 7
4 Over 2.5 7
1 Over 3.5 3
4 Clean Sheets 2
1 Failed To Score 0
4.4 Shots On Goal 5.22
11.1 Total Shots 12.78
5.3 Corners 4.89
53.7% Ball Possession 47%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Bahia won 3 times, Palmeiras won 7 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 12:19 from Bahia's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2.07 goals per game.

Predicted formations: Bahia 3-4-2-1 / Palmeiras 4-2-3-1
Missing players: Bahia 4, Palmeiras 5
H2H summary: Bahia wins 3, draws 5, Palmeiras wins 7
Stats
Bahia Bahia
Palmeiras Palmeiras
Shots on Goal
6
Shots on Goal
5
Shots off Goal
10
Shots off Goal
0
Blocked Shots
3
Blocked Shots
3
7 Corner Kicks 5
18 Fouls 17
3 Offsides 3
59% Ball Possession 41%
19 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Goal 5
10 Shots off Goal 0
3 Blocked Shots 3
12 Shots insidebox 4
7 Shots outsidebox 4
4 Goalkeeper Saves 4
490 Total passes 347
426 Passes accurate 280
1.21 expected_goals 0.29
🟨 2 Yellow Cards 4 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Bahia
Formation
Palmeiras
Leo Vieira
Leo Vieira
Nicolas Acevedo
Nicolas Acevedo
David Duarte
⚽
David Duarte
S. Ramos
⚽
S. Ramos
C. Olivera
↓
C. Olivera
Caio Alexandre
↓
Caio Alexandre
Jean Lucas
Jean Lucas
Luciano Juba
Luciano Juba
Everton Ribeiro
🎯 ↓
Everton Ribeiro
Erick Pulga
↓
Erick Pulga
Everaldo
↓
Everaldo
Carlos Miguel
Carlos Miguel
A. Giay
A. Giay
G. Gomez
G. Gomez
Murilo
Murilo
Arthur Gabriel
↓
Arthur Gabriel
Andreas Pereira
Andreas Pereira
Marlon Freitas
Marlon Freitas
Allan Elias
↓
Allan Elias
Mauricio
↓
Mauricio
J. Arias
⚽ ↓
J. Arias
J. Lopez
🎯 ↓
J. Lopez
Bahia 3-4-2-1
Starting XI
22
Leo Vieira
G
5
Nicolas Acevedo
D
33
David Duarte
⚽ 58'
D
21
S. Ramos
⚽ 88'
D
99
C. Olivera
↓ 69'
M
8
Caio Alexandre
↓ 69'
M
6
Jean Lucas
M
46
Luciano Juba
🟨 40'
M
10
Everton Ribeiro
🎯 58' ↓ 74'
F
16
Erick Pulga
↓ 85'
F
27
Everaldo
↓ 69'
F
Substitutes
34
Joao Paulo
G
12
Willian Jose
↑ 69'
F
7
Ademir
↑ 69'
F
15
Michel Araujo
↑ 74'
M
31
R. Gomez
D
2
Gilberto
D
25
Iago Borduchi
D
14
Erick
↑ 69'
M
11
Rodrigo
M
3
Gabriel Xavier
🟨 -5'
D
43
Luiz Gustavo
D
89
Dell
↑ 85'
F
Palmeiras 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
1
Carlos Miguel
G
4
A. Giay
🟨 55'
D
15
G. Gomez
D
26
Murilo
D
56
Arthur Gabriel
↓ 81'
D
8
Andreas Pereira
M
17
Marlon Freitas
M
40
Allan Elias
↓ 64'
M
18
Mauricio
↓ 60'
M
11
J. Arias
⚽ 42' ↓ 60' 🟨 50'
M
42
J. Lopez
🎯 42' ↓ 60'
F
Substitutes
14
Marcelo Lomba
G
7
Felipe Anderson
↑ 64'
M
3
Bruno Fuchs
D
32
E. Martinez
M
19
R. Sosa
↑ 60'
F
37
Riquelme Fillipi
50
Luis Pacheco
M
30
Lucas Evangelista
↑ 60'
M
12
Khellven
↑ 81' 🟨 85'
D
31
Luighi
↑ 60' 🟨 90+2'
F
43
Benedetti
D
48
Larson
M
Last matches: Bahia
30.05.26
Ser
Bahia
Botafogo
2
1
W
25.05.26
Ser
Bahia
Coritiba
2
3
L
17.05.26
Ser
Bahia
Gremio
1
1
D
10.05.26
Ser
Bahia
Cruzeiro
1
2
L
03.05.26
Ser
Bahia
Sao Paulo
2
2
D
25.04.26
Ser
Bahia
Santos
2
2
D
19.04.26
Ser
Bahia
Flamengo
0
2
L
11.04.26
Ser
Bahia
Mirassol
2
1
W
01.04.26
Ser
Bahia
Atletico Paranaense
3
0
W
22.03.26
Ser
Bahia
Remo
1
4
L
18.03.26
Ser
Bahia
RB Bragantino
2
0
W
15.03.26
Ser
Bahia
Internacional
1
0
W
11.03.26
Ser
Bahia
Vitoria
1
1
D
25.02.26
CON
Bahia
O'Higgins
2
1
W
18.02.26
CON
Bahia
O'Higgins
0
1
L
12.02.26
Ser
Bahia
Vasco DA Gama
1
0
W
05.02.26
Ser
Bahia
Fluminense
1
1
D
28.01.26
Ser
Bahia
Corinthians
2
1
W
Last matches: Palmeiras
31.05.26
Ser
Palmeiras
Chapecoense-sc
1
0
W
28.05.26
CON
Palmeiras
Junior
4
1
W
24.05.26
Ser
Palmeiras
Flamengo
3
0
W
21.05.26
CON
Palmeiras
Cerro Porteno
0
1
L
17.05.26
Ser
Palmeiras
Cruzeiro
1
1
D
10.05.26
Ser
Palmeiras
Remo
1
1
D
05.05.26
CON
Palmeiras
Sporting Cristal
2
0
W
02.05.26
Ser
Palmeiras
Santos
1
1
D
30.04.26
CON
Palmeiras
Cerro Porteno
1
1
D
26.04.26
Ser
Palmeiras
RB Bragantino
1
0
W
19.04.26
Ser
Palmeiras
Atletico Paranaense
1
0
W
16.04.26
CON
Palmeiras
Sporting Cristal
2
1
W
12.04.26
Ser
Palmeiras
Corinthians
0
0
D
09.04.26
CON
Palmeiras
Junior
1
1
D
03.04.26
Ser
Palmeiras
Gremio
2
1
W
22.03.26
Ser
Palmeiras
Sao Paulo
1
0
W
18.03.26
Ser
Palmeiras
Botafogo
2
1
W
15.03.26
Ser
Palmeiras
Mirassol
1
0
W
12.03.26
Ser
Palmeiras
Vasco DA Gama
1
2
L
26.02.26
Ser
Palmeiras
Fluminense
2
1
W
H2H: Bahia vs Palmeiras
05.04.26
H2H
Bahia
Palmeiras
1
2
L
28.09.25
H2H
Bahia
Palmeiras
1
0
W
27.04.25
H2H
Palmeiras
Bahia
0
1
W
20.11.24
H2H
Bahia
Palmeiras
1
2
L
07.07.24
H2H
Palmeiras
Bahia
2
0
L
28.10.23
H2H
Palmeiras
Bahia
1
0
L
22.06.23
H2H
Bahia
Palmeiras
1
0
W
13.10.21
H2H
Bahia
Palmeiras
0
0
D
27.06.21
H2H
Palmeiras
Bahia
3
2
L
12.12.20
H2H
Palmeiras
Bahia
3
0
L
30.08.20
H2H
Bahia
Palmeiras
1
1
D
17.11.19
H2H
Bahia
Palmeiras
1
1
D
11.08.19
H2H
Palmeiras
Bahia
2
2
D
16.09.18
H2H
Bahia
Palmeiras
1
1
D
16.08.18
H2H
Palmeiras
Bahia
1
0
L
Last matches: Bahia
30.05.26
Ser
Bahia
Botafogo
2
1
W
17.05.26
Ser
Bahia
Gremio
1
1
D
10.05.26
Ser
Bahia
Cruzeiro
1
2
L
25.04.26
Ser
Bahia
Santos
2
2
D
01.04.26
Ser
Bahia
Atletico Paranaense
3
0
W
18.03.26
Ser
Bahia
RB Bragantino
2
0
W
11.03.26
Ser
Bahia
Vitoria
1
1
D
25.02.26
CON
Bahia
O'Higgins
2
1
W
05.02.26
Ser
Bahia
Fluminense
1
1
D
H2H at home: Bahia
05.04.26
H2H
Bahia
Palmeiras
1
2
L
28.09.25
H2H
Bahia
Palmeiras
1
0
W
20.11.24
H2H
Bahia
Palmeiras
1
2
L
22.06.23
H2H
Bahia
Palmeiras
1
0
W
13.10.21
H2H
Bahia
Palmeiras
0
0
D
30.08.20
H2H
Bahia
Palmeiras
1
1
D
17.11.19
H2H
Bahia
Palmeiras
1
1
D
16.09.18
H2H
Bahia
Palmeiras
1
1
D
Last matches: Palmeiras
24.05.26
Ser
Palmeiras
Flamengo
3
0
W
10.05.26
Ser
Palmeiras
Remo
1
1
D
05.05.26
CON
Palmeiras
Sporting Cristal
2
0
W
30.04.26
CON
Palmeiras
Cerro Porteno
1
1
D
26.04.26
Ser
Palmeiras
RB Bragantino
1
0
W
12.04.26
Ser
Palmeiras
Corinthians
0
0
D
09.04.26
CON
Palmeiras
Junior
1
1
D
22.03.26
Ser
Palmeiras
Sao Paulo
1
0
W
12.03.26
Ser
Palmeiras
Vasco DA Gama
1
2
L
13.02.26
Ser
Palmeiras
Internacional
3
1
W
28.01.26
Ser
Palmeiras
Atletico-MG
2
2
D
H2H away: Palmeiras
05.04.26
H2H
Bahia
Palmeiras
1
2
W
28.09.25
H2H
Bahia
Palmeiras
1
0
L
20.11.24
H2H
Bahia
Palmeiras
1
2
W
22.06.23
H2H
Bahia
Palmeiras
1
0
L
13.10.21
H2H
Bahia
Palmeiras
0
0
D
30.08.20
H2H
Bahia
Palmeiras
1
1
D
17.11.19
H2H
Bahia
Palmeiras
1
1
D
16.09.18
H2H
Bahia
Palmeiras
1
1
D

Standings

Serie A
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1
Palmeiras Away
18 12 5 1 30:13 17 41
?
2
Flamengo
17 10 4 3 31:16 15 34
?
3
Fluminense
18 9 4 5 28:23 5 31
?
4
Atletico Paranaense
18 9 3 6 24:18 6 30
?
5
RB Bragantino
18 9 2 7 25:19 6 29
?
6
Bahia Home
17 7 5 5 25:23 2 26
?
7
Coritiba
18 7 5 6 24:24 0 26
?
8
Sao Paulo
18 7 4 7 23:20 3 25
?
9
Atletico-MG
18 7 3 8 22:23 -1 24
?
10
Corinthians
18 6 6 6 18:19 -1 24
?
11
Cruzeiro
18 6 6 6 24:28 -4 24
?
12
Botafogo
17 6 4 7 31:31 0 22
?
13
Vitoria
17 6 4 7 21:25 -4 22
?
14
Internacional
18 5 6 7 21:22 -1 21
?
15
Santos
18 5 6 7 26:29 -3 21
?
16
Gremio
18 5 6 7 20:23 -3 21
?
17
Vasco DA Gama
18 5 5 8 22:29 -7 20
?
18
Remo
18 4 6 8 21:29 -8 18
?
19
Mirassol
17 4 4 9 18:24 -6 16
?
20
Chapecoense-sc
17 1 6 10 17:33 -16 9
?
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Group Stage)
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Qualification)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage)
Relegation - Serie B

Missing Players

Bahia 4 missing
-
Kanu
Missing Fixture Hamstring Injury
OUT
-
Ruan Pablo
Missing Fixture Ankle Injury
OUT
-
Ronaldo Strada
Missing Fixture Injury
OUT
-
M. Sanabria
Questionable Inactive
OUT
Palmeiras 5 missing
-
Figueiredo
Missing Fixture Injury
OUT
-
Paulinho
Missing Fixture Leg Injury
OUT
-
J. Piquerez
Missing Fixture Injury
OUT
-
Jefte
Missing Fixture Inactive
OUT
-
Vitor Roque
Questionable Inactive
OUT