Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
83.8%
|
- | |
| BTTS | Yes |
58.8%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
19.6%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
72%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
- |
Bahia
Internacional
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Bahia
28 matches
Internacional
24 matches
| Bahia | Statistic | Internacional |
|---|---|---|
| 11 | Wins | 5 |
| 10 | Draws | 10 |
| 7 | Losses | 9 |
| 40 | Goals For | 24 |
| 33 | Goals Against | 28 |
| 1.43 | Avg Goals Scored | 1 |
| 1.18 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.17 |
| 17 | BTTS Yes | 13 |
| 23 | Over 1.5 | 17 |
| 13 | Over 2.5 | 8 |
| 6 | Over 3.5 | 5 |
| 8 | Clean Sheets | 6 |
| 5 | Failed To Score | 8 |
| 4.5 | Shots On Goal | 4.38 |
| 13.69 | Total Shots | 14.29 |
| 5.5 | Corners | 6.21 |
| 53.7% | Ball Possession | 46.7% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by Bahia's more proactive style and Internacional's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Bahia arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 6 with 34 points compared to Internacional in 16 on 24, which underlines the gap in season consistency. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward Internacional. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Bahia expected to line up in 3-1-4-2 and Internacional in 3-4-2-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Internacional having the stronger overall control.
Bahia are currently 6 in the standings with 34 points from 23 matches. The record of 8 wins, 10 draws, and 5 defeats, together with a 32:28 goal balance, points toward poor form and have been stuck in a sequence of draws. Much of their attacking threat comes through Luciano Juba (6 goals), Everaldo (4 goals), David Duarte (3 goals), with creative support from Everton Ribeiro (4 assists), Jean Lucas (2 assists), Luciano Juba (1 assists), while at the back they have looked fairly stable. At home, they have returned 4 wins, 6 draws, and 2 losses, a split that suggests a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.
Internacional sit 16 with 24 points after 23 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Across the season they have posted 5 wins, 9 draws, and 9 defeats, and the 24:28 goal record continues to suggest poor form and have been stuck in a sequence of draws. Their attacking burden often falls on Johan Carbonero (6 goals), Alexandro Bernabei (4 goals), Alerrandro (3 goals), with creative support from Johan Carbonero (3 assists), Alerrandro (3 assists), Vitinho (3 assists), while at the back they have been fairly stable. Away from home, they have managed 2 wins, 5 draws, and 4 losses, a return that supports a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Bahia won 3 times, Internacional won 8 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 15:23 from Bahia's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 9 matches, with an average of 2.53 goals per game.
Bahia
Vitoria
Bahia
Chapecoense-sc
Bahia
Vasco DA Gama
Bahia
Fluminense
Bahia
Corinthians
Bahia
Atletico-MG
Bahia
Chapecoense-sc
Bahia
Fluminense
Bahia
Atletico Torque
Bahia
Botafogo
Bahia
Coritiba
Bahia
Gremio
Bahia
Cruzeiro
Bahia
Sao Paulo
Bahia
Santos
Bahia
Flamengo
Bahia
Mirassol
Bahia
Palmeiras
Bahia
Atletico Paranaense
Bahia
Remo
Internacional
Atletico-MG
Internacional
Remo
Internacional
Palmeiras
Internacional
Flamengo
Internacional
Atletico Paranaense
Internacional
Cruzeiro
Internacional
RB Bragantino
Internacional
Vitoria
Internacional
Vasco DA Gama
Internacional
Coritiba
Internacional
Fluminense
Internacional
Botafogo
Internacional
Mirassol
Internacional
Gremio
Internacional
Corinthians
Internacional
Sao Paulo
Internacional
Chapecoense-sc
Internacional
Santos
Internacional
Bahia
Internacional
Atletico-MG
Bahia
Vasco DA Gama
Bahia
Corinthians
Bahia
Chapecoense-sc
Bahia
Atletico Torque
Bahia
Botafogo
Bahia
Gremio
Bahia
Cruzeiro
Bahia
Santos
Bahia
Palmeiras
Bahia
Atletico Paranaense
Bahia
RB Bragantino
Bahia
Vitoria
Bahia
O'Higgins
Bahia
Fluminense
Internacional
Palmeiras
Internacional
Atletico Paranaense
Internacional
RB Bragantino
Internacional
Vitoria
Internacional
Coritiba
Internacional
Botafogo
Internacional
Corinthians
Internacional
Santos
Internacional
Atletico-MG
Internacional
Remo
Internacional
Flamengo
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 24 | 15 | 6 | 3 | 44:20 | 24 | 51 |
W
L
D
W
L
|
|
| 2 | 23 | 13 | 6 | 4 | 45:21 | 24 | 45 |
L
W
W
D
D
|
|
| 3 | 23 | 12 | 5 | 6 | 31:20 | 11 | 41 |
D
W
D
W
W
|
|
| 4 | 24 | 11 | 8 | 5 | 36:29 | 7 | 41 |
W
W
D
D
D
|
|
| 5 | 24 | 11 | 6 | 7 | 34:33 | 1 | 39 |
W
W
W
W
L
|
|
| 6 |
Bahia
Home
|
24 | 9 | 10 | 5 | 34:28 | 6 | 37 |
W
D
D
D
D
|
| 7 | 23 | 10 | 5 | 8 | 28:23 | 5 | 35 |
W
D
L
D
D
|
|
| 8 | 24 | 9 | 7 | 8 | 30:31 | -1 | 34 |
W
D
W
L
D
|
|
| 9 | 23 | 9 | 6 | 8 | 30:27 | 3 | 33 |
D
W
D
W
D
|
|
| 10 | 24 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 26:24 | 2 | 32 |
L
L
W
D
D
|
|
| 11 | 22 | 8 | 6 | 8 | 35:34 | 1 | 30 |
L
D
W
D
W
|
|
| 12 | 24 | 8 | 5 | 11 | 23:35 | -12 | 29 |
L
W
L
L
L
|
|
| 13 | 23 | 7 | 6 | 10 | 27:27 | 0 | 27 |
L
D
L
D
L
|
|
| 14 | 23 | 6 | 8 | 9 | 33:36 | -3 | 26 |
D
W
L
D
L
|
|
| 15 | 23 | 6 | 7 | 10 | 24:31 | -7 | 25 |
L
L
W
D
L
|
|
| 16 |
Internacional
Away
|
24 | 5 | 10 | 9 | 24:28 | -4 | 25 |
D
D
D
D
L
|
| 17 | 23 | 6 | 6 | 11 | 26:36 | -10 | 24 |
D
L
L
W
D
|
|
| 18 | 24 | 5 | 8 | 11 | 28:39 | -11 | 23 |
L
D
D
L
W
|
|
| 19 | 23 | 5 | 7 | 11 | 24:38 | -14 | 22 |
L
L
D
D
L
|
|
| 20 | 23 | 2 | 8 | 13 | 24:46 | -22 | 14 |
W
D
L
D
L
|