Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
All Markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|
Probability Distribution
Bahia Win 0%
Draw 0%
Corinthians Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Bahia1.24
Corinthians1.18
Recent Form (Last 5)
Bahia
WWDLW
27 GF / 25 GA
Corinthians
WLDWL
26 GF / 23 GA
Key Stats
1.42
Average Goals Scored
1.08
1.32
Average Goals Conceded
0.96
13
BTTS Yes
11
11
Over 2.5
6
4.95
Shots on Goal
3.88
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Bahia
19 matches
Corinthians
24 matches
| Bahia | Statistic | Corinthians |
|---|---|---|
| 8 | Wins | 9 |
| 5 | Draws | 8 |
| 6 | Losses | 7 |
| 27 | Goals For | 26 |
| 25 | Goals Against | 23 |
| 1.42 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.08 |
| 1.32 | Avg Goals Conceded | 0.96 |
| 13 | BTTS Yes | 11 |
| 16 | Over 1.5 | 17 |
| 11 | Over 2.5 | 6 |
| 4 | Over 3.5 | 4 |
| 4 | Clean Sheets | 10 |
| 2 | Failed To Score | 6 |
| 4.95 | Shots On Goal | 3.88 |
| 13.58 | Total Shots | 12.25 |
| 5.74 | Corners | 4.75 |
| 55.7% | Ball Possession | 56.9% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
H2H Analysis
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Bahia won 6 times, Corinthians won 6 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 21:21 from Bahia's perspective. 10 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 10 matches, with an average of 2.8 goals per game.
Predicted formations: Bahia 4-3-3 / Corinthians 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Bahia wins 6, draws 3, Corinthians wins 6
Last matches: Bahia
30.05.26
Ser
Bahia
Botafogo
2
1
W
25.05.26
Ser
Bahia
Coritiba
2
3
L
17.05.26
Ser
Bahia
Gremio
1
1
D
10.05.26
Ser
Bahia
Cruzeiro
1
2
L
03.05.26
Ser
Bahia
Sao Paulo
2
2
D
25.04.26
Ser
Bahia
Santos
2
2
D
19.04.26
Ser
Bahia
Flamengo
0
2
L
11.04.26
Ser
Bahia
Mirassol
2
1
W
05.04.26
Ser
Bahia
Palmeiras
1
2
L
01.04.26
Ser
Bahia
Atletico Paranaense
3
0
W
22.03.26
Ser
Bahia
Remo
1
4
L
18.03.26
Ser
Bahia
RB Bragantino
2
0
W
15.03.26
Ser
Bahia
Internacional
1
0
W
11.03.26
Ser
Bahia
Vitoria
1
1
D
25.02.26
CON
Bahia
O'Higgins
2
1
W
18.02.26
CON
Bahia
O'Higgins
0
1
L
12.02.26
Ser
Bahia
Vasco DA Gama
1
0
W
05.02.26
Ser
Bahia
Fluminense
1
1
D
28.01.26
Ser
Bahia
Corinthians
2
1
W
Last matches: Corinthians
30.05.26
Ser
Corinthians
Gremio
3
1
W
28.05.26
CON
Corinthians
Platense
0
2
L
24.05.26
Ser
Corinthians
Atletico-MG
1
0
W
22.05.26
CON
Corinthians
Penarol
1
1
D
17.05.26
Ser
Corinthians
Botafogo
1
3
L
10.05.26
Ser
Corinthians
Sao Paulo
3
2
W
07.05.26
CON
Corinthians
Santa Fe
1
1
D
03.05.26
Ser
Corinthians
Mirassol
1
2
L
01.05.26
CON
Corinthians
Penarol
2
0
W
26.04.26
Ser
Corinthians
Vasco DA Gama
1
0
W
18.04.26
Ser
Corinthians
Vitoria
0
0
D
16.04.26
CON
Corinthians
Santa Fe
2
0
W
12.04.26
Ser
Corinthians
Palmeiras
0
0
D
10.04.26
CON
Corinthians
Platense
2
0
W
05.04.26
Ser
Corinthians
Internacional
0
1
L
02.04.26
Ser
Corinthians
Fluminense
1
3
L
22.03.26
Ser
Corinthians
Flamengo
1
1
D
20.03.26
Ser
Corinthians
Chapecoense-sc
0
0
D
15.03.26
Ser
Corinthians
Santos
1
1
D
12.03.26
Ser
Corinthians
Coritiba
0
2
L
H2H: Bahia vs Corinthians
28.01.26
H2H
Corinthians
Bahia
1
2
W
17.08.25
H2H
Corinthians
Bahia
1
2
W
30.03.25
H2H
Bahia
Corinthians
1
1
D
03.12.24
H2H
Corinthians
Bahia
3
0
L
21.07.24
H2H
Bahia
Corinthians
0
1
L
25.11.23
H2H
Corinthians
Bahia
1
5
W
22.07.23
H2H
Bahia
Corinthians
0
0
D
06.10.21
H2H
Corinthians
Bahia
3
1
L
20.06.21
H2H
Bahia
Corinthians
0
0
D
28.01.21
H2H
Bahia
Corinthians
2
1
W
17.09.20
H2H
Corinthians
Bahia
3
2
L
21.09.19
H2H
Corinthians
Bahia
2
1
L
28.04.19
H2H
Bahia
Corinthians
3
2
W
27.10.18
H2H
Corinthians
Bahia
2
1
L
14.06.18
H2H
Bahia
Corinthians
1
0
W
Last matches: Bahia
30.05.26
Ser
Bahia
Botafogo
2
1
W
17.05.26
Ser
Bahia
Gremio
1
1
D
10.05.26
Ser
Bahia
Cruzeiro
1
2
L
25.04.26
Ser
Bahia
Santos
2
2
D
05.04.26
Ser
Bahia
Palmeiras
1
2
L
01.04.26
Ser
Bahia
Atletico Paranaense
3
0
W
18.03.26
Ser
Bahia
RB Bragantino
2
0
W
11.03.26
Ser
Bahia
Vitoria
1
1
D
25.02.26
CON
Bahia
O'Higgins
2
1
W
05.02.26
Ser
Bahia
Fluminense
1
1
D
H2H at home: Bahia
30.03.25
H2H
Bahia
Corinthians
1
1
D
21.07.24
H2H
Bahia
Corinthians
0
1
L
22.07.23
H2H
Bahia
Corinthians
0
0
D
20.06.21
H2H
Bahia
Corinthians
0
0
D
28.01.21
H2H
Bahia
Corinthians
2
1
W
28.04.19
H2H
Bahia
Corinthians
3
2
W
14.06.18
H2H
Bahia
Corinthians
1
0
W
Last matches: Corinthians
30.05.26
Ser
Corinthians
Gremio
3
1
W
22.05.26
CON
Corinthians
Penarol
1
1
D
17.05.26
Ser
Corinthians
Botafogo
1
3
L
07.05.26
CON
Corinthians
Santa Fe
1
1
D
03.05.26
Ser
Corinthians
Mirassol
1
2
L
18.04.26
Ser
Corinthians
Vitoria
0
0
D
10.04.26
CON
Corinthians
Platense
2
0
W
02.04.26
Ser
Corinthians
Fluminense
1
3
L
20.03.26
Ser
Corinthians
Chapecoense-sc
0
0
D
15.03.26
Ser
Corinthians
Santos
1
1
D
25.02.26
Ser
Corinthians
Cruzeiro
1
1
D
19.02.26
Ser
Corinthians
Atletico Paranaense
1
0
W
H2H away: Corinthians
30.03.25
H2H
Bahia
Corinthians
1
1
D
21.07.24
H2H
Bahia
Corinthians
0
1
W
22.07.23
H2H
Bahia
Corinthians
0
0
D
20.06.21
H2H
Bahia
Corinthians
0
0
D
28.01.21
H2H
Bahia
Corinthians
2
1
L
28.04.19
H2H
Bahia
Corinthians
3
2
L
14.06.18
H2H
Bahia
Corinthians
1
0
L
Standings
Serie A
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 18 | 12 | 5 | 1 | 30:13 | 17 | 41 |
?
|
|
| 2 | 17 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 31:16 | 15 | 34 |
?
|
|
| 3 | 18 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 28:23 | 5 | 31 |
?
|
|
| 4 | 18 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 24:18 | 6 | 30 |
?
|
|
| 5 | 18 | 9 | 2 | 7 | 25:19 | 6 | 29 |
?
|
|
| 6 |
Bahia
Home
|
17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 25:23 | 2 | 26 |
?
|
| 7 | 18 | 7 | 5 | 6 | 24:24 | 0 | 26 |
?
|
|
| 8 | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 23:20 | 3 | 25 |
?
|
|
| 9 | 18 | 7 | 3 | 8 | 22:23 | -1 | 24 |
?
|
|
| 10 |
Corinthians
Away
|
18 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 18:19 | -1 | 24 |
?
|
| 11 | 18 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 24:28 | -4 | 24 |
?
|
|
| 12 | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 31:31 | 0 | 22 |
?
|
|
| 13 | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 21:25 | -4 | 22 |
?
|
|
| 14 | 18 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 21:22 | -1 | 21 |
?
|
|
| 15 | 18 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 26:29 | -3 | 21 |
?
|
|
| 16 | 18 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 20:23 | -3 | 21 |
?
|
|
| 17 | 18 | 5 | 5 | 8 | 22:29 | -7 | 20 |
?
|
|
| 18 | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 21:29 | -8 | 18 |
?
|
|
| 19 | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 18:24 | -6 | 16 |
?
|
|
| 20 | 17 | 1 | 6 | 10 | 17:33 | -16 | 9 |
?
|
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Group Stage)
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Qualification)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage)
Relegation - Serie B