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04.10.2026 13:00
Bakcell Arena
Referee: Gustavo Correia, Portugal
Azerbaijan
Match Timeline
Lithuania
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
25'
Abdulakh Khaybulaev · Assist: Toral Bayramov
Azerbaijan
🟨
33'
Abdulakh Khaybulaev
Azerbaijan
🟨
43'
Modestas Vorobjovas
Lithuania
🔄
46'
Toral Bayramov ↔ Vüsal İsgändärli
Azerbaijan
🔄
46'
Edgaras Utkus ↔ Kipras Kazukolovas
Lithuania
🔄
46'
Modestas Vorobjovas ↔ Lukas Michelbrink
Lithuania
VAR
53'
Abdulakh Khaybulaev
Azerbaijan
🟨
54'
Artur Dolznikov
Lithuania
🟨
57'
Vüsal İsgändärli
Azerbaijan
🔄
64'
Oruc Mammadov ↔ Emil Safarov
Azerbaijan
🔄
64'
Abdulakh Khaybulaev ↔ Renat Dadaşov
Azerbaijan
🔄
67'
Vykintas Slivka ↔ Eligijus Jankauskas
Lithuania
🔄
67'
Adrian Lickunas ↔ Motiejus Burba
Lithuania
🔄
80'
Aleksey Isayev ↔ Ceyhun Nuriyev
Azerbaijan
🔄
83'
Rokas Lekiatas ↔ Ignas Venckus
Lithuania
🔄
88'
Tellur Mutallimov ↔ Elvin Badalov
Azerbaijan
🟨
90+2'
Elvin Badalov
Azerbaijan
🟨
90+7'
Eligijus Jankauskas
Lithuania
🟥
90+7'
Armandas Kučys
Lithuania

Azerbaijan vs Lithuania Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away or Draw
Probability 69.5%
Odds 1.57
BTTS
No
Probability 56%
Odds 1.62
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 52.4%
Odds 2.74
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away or Draw
69.5%
1.57 ▥
BTTS No
56%
1.62 ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
52.4%
2.74 ▥
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
89.1%
1.10 ▥
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
6.50 ▥
Correct Score 0-3
-
34.00 ▥
Probability Distribution
Azerbaijan Win 30.5%
Draw 28.4%
Lithuania Win 41.2%
Expected Goals (xG)
Azerbaijan0.72
Lithuania1.28
Recent Form (Last 5)
Azerbaijan Azerbaijan
WWDLW
4 GF / 4 GA
Lithuania Lithuania
WLDWL
8 GF / 3 GA
Key Stats
0.8
Average Goals Scored
1.6
0.8
Average Goals Conceded
0.6
2
BTTS Yes
1
1
Over 2.5
1
2.6
Shots on Goal
2

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Azerbaijan Azerbaijan 5 matches
Lithuania Lithuania 5 matches
Azerbaijan Statistic Lithuania
2 Wins 3
2 Draws 1
1 Losses 1
4 Goals For 8
4 Goals Against 3
0.8 Avg Goals Scored 1.6
0.8 Avg Goals Conceded 0.6
2 BTTS Yes 1
3 Over 1.5 5
1 Over 2.5 1
0 Over 3.5 0
2 Clean Sheets 3
2 Failed To Score 1
2.6 Shots On Goal 2
6.8 Total Shots 5
2.4 Corners 1.6
34.2% Ball Possession 24.6%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 1 head-to-head meetings, Azerbaijan won 0 times, Lithuania won 0 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 0:0 from Azerbaijan's perspective. 0 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 0 matches, with an average of 0 goals per game.

1X2: Away or Draw
BTTS: No
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (71.6%)
Predicted formations: Azerbaijan 3-4-3 / Lithuania 3-4-3
H2H summary: Azerbaijan wins 0, draws 1, Lithuania wins 0

Standings

League D - Group B
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 3 1 2 0 2:1 1 5
W D D
2 3 1 1 1 3:2 1 4
L D W
3 2 0 1 1 0:2 -2 1
D L
Promotion