Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | No Draw |
92.2%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS Yes |
69.4%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
74.1%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
92%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
- |
AZ Alkmaar
Twente
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
AZ Alkmaar
49 matches
Twente
31 matches
| AZ Alkmaar | Statistic | Twente |
|---|---|---|
| 25 | Wins | 14 |
| 9 | Draws | 12 |
| 15 | Losses | 5 |
| 89 | Goals For | 52 |
| 64 | Goals Against | 33 |
| 1.82 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.68 |
| 1.31 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.06 |
| 24 | BTTS Yes | 20 |
| 39 | Over 1.5 | 26 |
| 32 | Over 2.5 | 14 |
| 21 | Over 3.5 | 8 |
| 19 | Clean Sheets | 7 |
| 8 | Failed To Score | 6 |
| 6.02 | Shots On Goal | 6.48 |
| 15.8 | Total Shots | 17.81 |
| 5.84 | Corners | 5.19 |
| 53.8% | Ball Possession | 54.6% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
This contest looks finely balanced, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity suggesting a close tactical battle. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Twente. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with AZ Alkmaar expected to line up in 3-4-3 and Twente in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Twente having the stronger overall control.
From their first 31 matches, AZ Alkmaar have collected 49 points and now occupy 6 place in the table. Across the campaign, they have posted 14 wins, 7 draws, and 10 losses, while the 52:45 goal ratio supports the view of good form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on T. Parrott (16 goals), S. Mijnans (10 goals), S. Resink (6 goals), with creative support from Mees de Wit (6 assists), S. Mijnans (5 assists), S. Resink (5 assists), and defensively they have been quite vulnerable. At home, the record of 8 wins, 5 draws, and 2 losses points toward a very strong split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.
Twente come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 5 place with 54 points after 31 matches. The return of 14 wins, 12 draws, and 5 defeats, together with goals at 52:33, reflects good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking edge comes through K. Hlynsson (9 goals), D. Rots (8 goals), Ricky van Wolfswinkel (8 goals), with creative support from S. Lammers (7 assists), S. Orjasaeter (6 assists), D. Rots (4 assists), while their defending has remained fairly stable. Away from home, their record of 6 wins, 7 draws, and 2 losses points to a very strong split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football.
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, AZ Alkmaar won 8 times, Twente won 5 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 26:21 from AZ Alkmaar's perspective. 11 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 12 matches, with an average of 3.13 goals per game.
AZ Alkmaar
4
2
7
3
7
4
Lineups
AZ Alkmaar
NAC Breda
AZ Alkmaar
Feyenoord
AZ Alkmaar
GO Ahead Eagles
AZ Alkmaar
Shakhtar Donetsk
AZ Alkmaar
Heerenveen
AZ Alkmaar
Shakhtar Donetsk
AZ Alkmaar
Fortuna Sittard
AZ Alkmaar
Groningen
AZ Alkmaar
Sparta Praha
AZ Alkmaar
Heracles
AZ Alkmaar
Sparta Praha
AZ Alkmaar
PSV Eindhoven
AZ Alkmaar
Utrecht
AZ Alkmaar
FC Noah
AZ Alkmaar
Sparta Rotterdam
AZ Alkmaar
FC Noah
AZ Alkmaar
Excelsior
AZ Alkmaar
Ajax
AZ Alkmaar
NEC Nijmegen
AZ Alkmaar
Telstar
Twente
PSV Eindhoven
Twente
Sparta Rotterdam
Twente
NEC Nijmegen
Twente
Ajax
Twente
FC Volendam
Twente
Ajax
Twente
Fortuna Sittard
Twente
Utrecht
Twente
GO Ahead Eagles
Twente
Feyenoord
Twente
Groningen
Twente
Telstar
Twente
Heerenveen
Twente
NAC Breda
Twente
Excelsior
Twente
Heracles
Twente
PEC Zwolle
Twente
Feyenoord
Twente
GO Ahead Eagles
Twente
Utrecht
AZ Alkmaar
NAC Breda
AZ Alkmaar
Shakhtar Donetsk
AZ Alkmaar
Heerenveen
AZ Alkmaar
Fortuna Sittard
AZ Alkmaar
Heracles
AZ Alkmaar
Sparta Praha
AZ Alkmaar
FC Noah
AZ Alkmaar
Sparta Rotterdam
AZ Alkmaar
Ajax
AZ Alkmaar
NEC Nijmegen
AZ Alkmaar
Excelsior
AZ Alkmaar
FC Volendam
AZ Alkmaar
Jagiellonia
AZ Alkmaar
GO Ahead Eagles
AZ Alkmaar
Shelbourne
AZ Alkmaar
PSV Eindhoven
AZ Alkmaar
Utrecht
AZ Alkmaar
Slovan Bratislava
AZ Alkmaar
Telstar
AZ Alkmaar
PEC Zwolle
Twente
PSV Eindhoven
Twente
Ajax
Twente
Ajax
Twente
Fortuna Sittard
Twente
GO Ahead Eagles
Twente
Telstar
Twente
NAC Breda
Twente
Heracles
Twente
Feyenoord
Twente
Utrecht
Twente
FC Volendam
Twente
Groningen
Twente
NEC Nijmegen
Twente
Sparta Rotterdam
Twente
Excelsior
Twente
Heerenveen
Twente
PEC Zwolle
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 34 | 27 | 3 | 4 | 101:45 | 56 | 84 |
W
W
D
W
W
|
|
| 2 | 34 | 19 | 8 | 7 | 70:44 | 26 | 65 |
W
D
W
W
D
|
|
| 3 | 34 | 16 | 11 | 7 | 77:53 | 24 | 59 |
W
L
D
D
D
|
|
| 4 |
Twente
Away
|
34 | 15 | 13 | 6 | 59:40 | 19 | 58 |
L
W
D
D
W
|
| 5 | 34 | 14 | 14 | 6 | 62:41 | 21 | 56 |
D
L
D
W
W
|
|
| 6 | 34 | 15 | 8 | 11 | 55:42 | 13 | 53 |
W
W
W
L
W
|
|
| 7 |
AZ Alkmaar
Home
|
34 | 14 | 10 | 10 | 58:51 | 7 | 52 |
D
D
D
D
W
|
| 8 | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 57:53 | 4 | 51 |
D
L
W
W
L
|
|
| 9 | 34 | 14 | 6 | 14 | 49:45 | 4 | 48 |
W
W
L
L
D
|
|
| 10 | 34 | 12 | 7 | 15 | 40:62 | -22 | 43 |
L
L
D
L
L
|
|
| 11 | 34 | 11 | 6 | 17 | 49:63 | -14 | 39 |
L
W
L
L
D
|
|
| 12 | 34 | 8 | 14 | 12 | 54:53 | 1 | 38 |
L
L
D
D
D
|
|
| 13 | 34 | 10 | 8 | 16 | 43:56 | -13 | 38 |
W
D
W
W
D
|
|
| 14 | 34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 49:55 | -6 | 37 |
W
W
D
W
L
|
|
| 15 | 34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 44:71 | -27 | 37 |
L
L
W
L
D
|
|
| 16 | 34 | 8 | 8 | 18 | 35:55 | -20 | 32 |
L
D
L
W
L
|
|
| 17 | 34 | 6 | 11 | 17 | 35:58 | -23 | 29 |
D
W
L
L
D
|
|
| 18 | 34 | 5 | 4 | 25 | 35:85 | -50 | 19 |
L
L
L
L
L
|