AZ Alkmaar vs NAC Breda Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
100%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS No |
35.4%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.3%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
92%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-0 |
-
|
- |
AZ Alkmaar
NAC Breda
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
AZ Alkmaar
51 matches
NAC Breda
33 matches
| AZ Alkmaar | Statistic | NAC Breda |
|---|---|---|
| 25 | Wins | 6 |
| 11 | Draws | 10 |
| 15 | Losses | 17 |
| 92 | Goals For | 32 |
| 67 | Goals Against | 55 |
| 1.8 | Avg Goals Scored | 0.97 |
| 1.31 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.67 |
| 26 | BTTS Yes | 15 |
| 41 | Over 1.5 | 23 |
| 33 | Over 2.5 | 16 |
| 22 | Over 3.5 | 8 |
| 19 | Clean Sheets | 6 |
| 8 | Failed To Score | 14 |
| 5.92 | Shots On Goal | 4 |
| 15.78 | Total Shots | 14.03 |
| 5.75 | Corners | 5.76 |
| 54% | Ball Possession | 49% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by AZ Alkmaar's more proactive style and NAC Breda's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. AZ Alkmaar arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 6 with 51 points compared to NAC Breda in 17 on 28, which underlines the gap in season consistency. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring NAC Breda.
From their first 33 matches, AZ Alkmaar have collected 51 points and now occupy 6 place in the table. Across the campaign, they have posted 14 wins, 9 draws, and 10 losses, while the 55:48 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form and have been stuck in a sequence of draws. Going forward they rely heavily on T. Parrott (17 goals), S. Mijnans (10 goals), S. Resink (6 goals), with creative support from Mees de Wit (6 assists), S. Mijnans (5 assists), S. Resink (5 assists), and defensively they have been quite vulnerable. At home, they have returned 8 wins, 6 draws, and 2 losses, a split that suggests a very strong split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.
NAC Breda approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 17 with 28 points from 33 matches. The overall return of 6 wins, 10 draws, and 17 defeats with a 32:55 goal balance points toward poor form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on Boy Kemper (5 goals), Mohamed Nassoh (5 goals), Sydney van Hooijdonk (5 goals), with creative support from L. Holtby (5 assists), C. Brym (4 assists), Boy Kemper (3 assists), while defensively they have looked quite vulnerable. Away from home, the split record of 1 wins, 5 draws, and 10 losses points to a weak split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, AZ Alkmaar won 9 times, NAC Breda won 4 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 29:18 from AZ Alkmaar's perspective. 11 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 3.13 goals per game.
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 34 | 27 | 3 | 4 | 101:45 | 56 | 84 |
W
W
D
W
W
|
|
| 2 | 34 | 19 | 8 | 7 | 70:44 | 26 | 65 |
W
D
W
W
D
|
|
| 3 | 34 | 16 | 11 | 7 | 77:53 | 24 | 59 |
W
L
D
D
D
|
|
| 4 | 34 | 15 | 13 | 6 | 59:40 | 19 | 58 |
L
W
D
D
W
|
|
| 5 | 34 | 14 | 14 | 6 | 62:41 | 21 | 56 |
D
L
D
W
W
|
|
| 6 | 34 | 15 | 8 | 11 | 55:42 | 13 | 53 |
W
W
W
L
W
|
|
| 7 |
AZ Alkmaar
Home
|
34 | 14 | 10 | 10 | 58:51 | 7 | 52 |
D
D
D
D
W
|
| 8 | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 57:53 | 4 | 51 |
D
L
W
W
L
|
|
| 9 | 34 | 14 | 6 | 14 | 49:45 | 4 | 48 |
W
W
L
L
D
|
|
| 10 | 34 | 12 | 7 | 15 | 40:62 | -22 | 43 |
L
L
D
L
L
|
|
| 11 | 34 | 11 | 6 | 17 | 49:63 | -14 | 39 |
L
W
L
L
D
|
|
| 12 | 34 | 8 | 14 | 12 | 54:53 | 1 | 38 |
L
L
D
D
D
|
|
| 13 | 34 | 10 | 8 | 16 | 43:56 | -13 | 38 |
W
D
W
W
D
|
|
| 14 | 34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 49:55 | -6 | 37 |
W
W
D
W
L
|
|
| 15 | 34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 44:71 | -27 | 37 |
L
L
W
L
D
|
|
| 16 | 34 | 8 | 8 | 18 | 35:55 | -20 | 32 |
L
D
L
W
L
|
|
| 17 |
NAC Breda
Away
|
34 | 6 | 11 | 17 | 35:58 | -23 | 29 |
D
W
L
L
D
|
| 18 | 34 | 5 | 4 | 25 | 35:85 | -50 | 19 |
L
L
L
L
L
|