Avellino vs Sampdoria Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
70.1%
|
2.81 | |
| BTTS | Yes |
82.5%
|
1.75 | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
70.3%
|
2.07 | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
84.8%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
4.33 | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
10.00 |
Avellino
Sampdoria
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Avellino
10 matches
Sampdoria
10 matches
| Avellino | Statistic | Sampdoria |
|---|---|---|
| 4 | Wins | 3 |
| 2 | Draws | 2 |
| 4 | Losses | 5 |
| 19 | Goals For | 10 |
| 17 | Goals Against | 13 |
| 1.9 | Avg Goals Scored | 1 |
| 1.7 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.3 |
| 6 | BTTS Yes | 5 |
| 9 | Over 1.5 | 9 |
| 7 | Over 2.5 | 4 |
| 4 | Over 3.5 | 1 |
| 3 | Clean Sheets | 3 |
| 1 | Failed To Score | 3 |
| 3.83 | Shots On Goal | 5.17 |
| 10 | Total Shots | 14.67 |
| 2.33 | Corners | 5.33 |
| 44.5% | Ball Possession | 50.5% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by Avellino's more proactive style and Sampdoria's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Avellino expected to line up in 3-5-2 and Sampdoria in 4-3-3, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Sampdoria having the stronger overall control. Sampdoria arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Sampdoria. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Avellino arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 9 with 7 points compared to Sampdoria in 17 on 4, which underlines the gap in season consistency.
So far, Avellino have built a campaign that leaves them 9 in the table on 7 points from 5 matches. The record of 2 wins, 1 draws, and 2 defeats, together with a 7:6 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through R. Russo (1 goals), M. Besaggio (1 goals), W. Cheddira (1 goals), with creative support from R. Russo (1 assists), M. Palumbo (1 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. At home, they have returned 1 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses, a split that suggests a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.
Sampdoria sit 17 with 4 points after 5 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Their record of 1 wins, 1 draws, and 3 losses, together with goals at 5:9, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through L. Insigne (2 goals), G. Tutino (1 goals), L. Henderson (1 goals), with creative support from S. Gartenmann (1 assists), Y. Verschaeren (1 assists), T. Lauritsen (1 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. Away from home, they have returned 0 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses, which indicates a fairly balanced split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.
Across those 2 head-to-head meetings, Avellino won 1 times, Sampdoria won 1 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 3:3 from Avellino's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 3 goals per game.
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 10:5 | 5 | 13 |
W
D
W
W
W
|
|
| 2 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 9:3 | 6 | 11 |
W
D
W
D
W
|
|
| 3 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 10:5 | 5 | 11 |
D
W
D
W
W
|
|
| 4 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8:4 | 4 | 10 |
W
D
L
W
W
|
|
| 5 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 7:4 | 3 | 10 |
W
L
W
D
W
|
|
| 6 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5:6 | -1 | 7 |
L
W
L
D
W
|
|
| 7 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 6:5 | 1 | 7 |
W
W
L
D
L
|
|
| 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 10:7 | 3 | 7 |
W
L
W
D
L
|
|
| 9 |
Avellino
Home
|
5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7:6 | 1 | 7 |
L
D
W
W
L
|
| 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 7:6 | 1 | 7 |
D
D
D
W
D
|
|
| 11 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 8:8 | 0 | 7 |
D
L
W
W
L
|
|
| 12 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 6:13 | -7 | 6 |
L
W
L
L
W
|
|
| 13 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 4:6 | -2 | 6 |
L
L
W
L
W
|
|
| 14 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 7:6 | 1 | 5 |
D
W
D
L
L
|
|
| 15 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5:7 | -2 | 5 |
D
D
W
L
L
|
|
| 16 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 7:10 | -3 | 5 |
L
D
D
L
W
|
|
| 17 |
Sampdoria
Away
|
5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5:9 | -4 | 4 |
W
L
L
L
D
|
| 18 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 5:9 | -4 | 3 |
L
W
L
L
L
|
|
| 19 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4:7 | -3 | 1 |
D
D
L
W
L
|
|
| 20 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2:6 | -4 | 1 |
L
L
L
D
L
|