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BRAZIL › SERIE B
18.04.2026 23:30
Estádio da Ressacada
Referee: Marcelo de Lima Henrique, Brazil
Avai
Match Timeline
Ponte Preta
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
34'
Luiz Henrique
Avai
⚽
38'
Jean Lucas · Assist: Thayllon
Avai
⚽
45'
Willian Pottker
Ponte Preta
🔄
46'
Romildo Del Piage ↔ Cristiano
Avai
🔄
46'
R. A. Saravia Salvia ↔ Luis Phelipe
Ponte Preta
🔄
57'
Walace Franca ↔ F. Avenatti
Avai
⚽
60'
William Pottker
Ponte Preta
⚽
60'
Diego Tavares
Ponte Preta
🔄
62'
Jean Lucas ↔ Sorriso
Avai
🟨
69'
Bryan Borges
Ponte Preta
🔄
75'
Willian Pottker ↔ Rodriguinho
Ponte Preta
🟨
77'
Thayllon Roberth
Avai
🔄
77'
Thayllon ↔ Isaias
Avai
🔄
77'
Luiz Henrique ↔ Jamerson
Avai
🟨
79'
Sorriso
Avai
🟨
82'
Thalys
Ponte Preta
🔄
84'
Diego Tavares ↔ Brandao
Ponte Preta
🔄
85'
Bryan Borges ↔ Rodrigo Souza
Ponte Preta
🔄
89'
Kevyson ↔ Danilo Barcelos
Ponte Preta
🟨
90+5'
Wallison
Avai

Avai vs Ponte Preta Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 90.9%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 52%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 78%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
90.9%
- ▥
BTTS BTTS No
52%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
78%
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Avai Win 90.9%
Draw 0%
Ponte Preta Win 9.1%
Expected Goals (xG)
Avai1.25
Ponte Preta0.5
Recent Form (Last 5)
Avai Avai
WWDLW
5 GF / 2 GA
Ponte Preta Ponte Preta
WLDWL
2 GF / 5 GA
Key Stats
1.25
Average Goals Scored
0.5
0.5
Average Goals Conceded
1.25
1
BTTS Yes
2
1
Over 2.5
1
4
Shots on Goal
4

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Avai Avai 4 matches
Ponte Preta Ponte Preta 4 matches
Avai Statistic Ponte Preta
2 Wins 0
2 Draws 1
0 Losses 3
5 Goals For 2
2 Goals Against 5
1.25 Avg Goals Scored 0.5
0.5 Avg Goals Conceded 1.25
1 BTTS Yes 2
2 Over 1.5 2
1 Over 2.5 1
1 Over 3.5 0
3 Clean Sheets 0
1 Failed To Score 2
4 Shots On Goal 4
15 Total Shots 10
6.25 Corners 4.75
43.8% Ball Possession 48.8%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by Avai's more proactive style and Ponte Preta's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Ponte Preta. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Ponte Preta arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. Avai arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 1 with 8 points compared to Ponte Preta in 19 on 1, which underlines the gap in season consistency. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself.

Avai Analysis

Avai arrive from the upper part of the table, holding 1 place with 8 points after 4 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 2 wins, 2 draws, and 0 losses, while the 5:2 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on Walace Franca (2 goals), F. Avenatti (1 goals), Luiz Henrique (1 goals), with creative support from Allyson (1 assists), Thayllon (1 assists), Zé Ricardo (1 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. At home, they have returned 1 wins, 1 draws, and 0 losses, a split that suggests a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

Ponte Preta Analysis

Ponte Preta sit 19 with 1 points after 4 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Their record of 0 wins, 1 draws, and 3 losses, together with goals at 2:5, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through Bryan Borges (1 goals), Luis Phelipe (1 goals), with creative support from Brandao (1 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. Away from home, they have managed 0 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Avai won 6 times, Ponte Preta won 4 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 14:11 from Avai's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 1.67 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (100%)
Predicted formations: Avai 4-2-3-1 / Ponte Preta 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Avai wins 6, draws 5, Ponte Preta wins 4

Standings

Serie B
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 33 18 7 8 46:31 15 61
W D W W W
2 33 17 9 7 59:28 31 60
W W W D L
3 33 17 9 7 39:21 18 60
D W W W L
4 33 15 12 6 39:29 10 57
D W D D W
5 33 16 8 9 34:28 6 56
W L W W L
6 33 14 11 8 41:31 10 53
D L W W L
7 33 15 7 11 51:47 4 52
D W L W L
8 33 13 12 8 45:35 10 51
D W W L W
9 33 14 6 13 34:40 -6 48
W W L L W
10 33 13 9 11 44:45 -1 48
L L L D W
11 33 11 14 8 32:26 6 47
L D W L W
12 33 12 10 11 46:36 10 46
D L W D W
13 33 11 9 13 39:42 -3 42
L L D W L
14 33 11 9 13 35:40 -5 42
L W W D W
15 32 10 12 10 38:37 1 42
L L D D W
16 33 11 8 14 37:38 -1 41
W W L W D
17
Avai Home
33 10 6 17 33:43 -10 36
W W L L L
18 32 7 7 18 40:47 -7 28
L L L L W
19 33 4 5 24 21:54 -33 17
L L L L L
20 33 3 4 26 18:73 -55 13
L L L L W
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