Avai vs Ceara Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
49.6%
|
2.44 | |
| BTTS | Yes |
75.1%
|
2.00 | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
64.5%
|
2.57 | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
92%
|
1.19 | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
4.33 | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
11.00 |
Avai
Ceara
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Avai
30 matches
Ceara
30 matches
| Avai | Statistic | Ceara |
|---|---|---|
| 8 | Wins | 9 |
| 6 | Draws | 9 |
| 16 | Losses | 12 |
| 30 | Goals For | 33 |
| 41 | Goals Against | 39 |
| 1 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.1 |
| 1.37 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.3 |
| 15 | BTTS Yes | 17 |
| 21 | Over 1.5 | 23 |
| 14 | Over 2.5 | 12 |
| 5 | Over 3.5 | 4 |
| 7 | Clean Sheets | 5 |
| 10 | Failed To Score | 10 |
| 3.1 | Shots On Goal | 4.2 |
| 10.8 | Total Shots | 13.6 |
| 3.63 | Corners | 5.6 |
| 46.2% | Ball Possession | 51.2% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
This contest looks finely balanced, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity suggesting a close tactical battle. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Even if this develops into a close game, the analytical lean still edges toward Away Win, with a cautious clean-sheet angle toward Ceara. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Avai have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns.
With 30 points from 29 games and a place of 17, Avai still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. The overall return of 8 wins, 6 draws, and 15 defeats with a 30:38 goal balance points toward poor form with results showing a clear downward trend. Going forward they depend heavily on Daniel Penha (5 goals), Walace dos Santos França (3 goals), Jean Lucas (2 goals), with creative support from Jean Lucas (5 assists), Thayllon Roberth (2 assists), Daniel Penha (1 assists), while defensively they have looked fairly stable. At home, they have managed 5 wins, 4 draws, and 5 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.
Ceara sit 15 with 35 points after 29 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Their record of 9 wins, 8 draws, and 12 losses, together with goals at 31:37, reflects mixed form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through Melk (4 goals), Richard (4 goals), Lucas Lima (3 goals), with creative support from Melk (3 assists), Giulio (3 assists), Matheus Araújo (2 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been fairly stable. Away from home, they have returned 2 wins, 5 draws, and 7 losses, which indicates a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Avai won 3 times, Ceara won 7 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 14:17 from Avai's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2.07 goals per game.
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 31 | 17 | 6 | 8 | 44:31 | 13 | 57 |
W
W
W
D
W
|
|
| 2 | 31 | 16 | 8 | 7 | 35:19 | 16 | 56 |
W
W
L
L
W
|
|
| 3 | 31 | 15 | 9 | 7 | 52:27 | 25 | 54 |
W
D
L
D
W
|
|
| 4 | 31 | 15 | 8 | 8 | 33:27 | 6 | 53 |
W
W
L
L
L
|
|
| 5 | 31 | 14 | 11 | 6 | 36:27 | 9 | 53 |
D
D
W
D
W
|
|
| 6 | 31 | 14 | 10 | 7 | 39:27 | 12 | 52 |
W
W
L
W
W
|
|
| 7 | 31 | 14 | 6 | 11 | 46:44 | 2 | 48 |
L
W
L
W
L
|
|
| 8 | 31 | 13 | 9 | 9 | 43:41 | 2 | 48 |
L
D
W
D
W
|
|
| 9 | 31 | 12 | 11 | 8 | 42:33 | 9 | 47 |
W
L
W
L
W
|
|
| 10 | 31 | 11 | 13 | 7 | 32:25 | 7 | 46 |
W
L
W
D
W
|
|
| 11 | 31 | 12 | 9 | 10 | 43:32 | 11 | 45 |
W
D
W
W
L
|
|
| 12 | 31 | 12 | 6 | 13 | 30:39 | -9 | 42 |
L
L
W
W
L
|
|
| 13 | 31 | 11 | 9 | 11 | 39:38 | 1 | 42 |
D
W
L
D
L
|
|
| 14 | 31 | 10 | 12 | 9 | 37:35 | 2 | 42 |
L
D
D
W
L
|
|
| 15 |
Ceara
Away
|
31 | 10 | 9 | 12 | 34:39 | -5 | 39 |
W
D
W
D
L
|
| 16 | 31 | 9 | 8 | 14 | 34:37 | -3 | 35 |
L
W
D
L
L
|
|
| 17 |
Avai
Home
|
31 | 8 | 6 | 17 | 30:42 | -12 | 30 |
L
L
L
D
L
|
| 18 | 31 | 7 | 7 | 17 | 39:45 | -6 | 28 |
L
L
L
W
W
|
|
| 19 | 31 | 4 | 5 | 22 | 21:52 | -31 | 17 |
L
L
L
L
W
|
|
| 20 | 31 | 3 | 4 | 24 | 17:66 | -49 | 13 |
L
L
W
L
L
|