FRANCE LIGUE 1
--.--.---- --:--
Stade de l'Abbé Deschamps
Referee: F. Letexier
Auxerre
Match Timeline
Nice
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
9'
S. Diop
Nice
🔄
13'
B. Okoh ↔ C. Akpa
Auxerre
27'
S. Mara
Auxerre
🔄
59'
M. Bard ↔ A. Abdi
Nice
🔄
59'
S. Abdul Samed ↔ T. Louchet
Nice
70'
L. Sinayoko · Assist: N. Ahamada
Auxerre
🔄
71'
L. Sy ↔ M. Senaya
Auxerre
🔄
76'
M. Sanson ↔ Kevin
Nice
🔄
76'
M. Cho ↔ E. Wahi
Nice
🔄
81'
S. Diop ↔ I. Jansson
Nice
🔄
86'
S. Mara ↔ J. Casimir
Auxerre
🔄
86'
D. Namaso ↔ L. Coulibaly
Auxerre
🟨
90+5'
Josué Casimir
Auxerre

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 78.7%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 21.6%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 47.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
78.7%
-
BTTS BTTS No
21.6%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
47.2%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
81.6%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-0
-
-
Probability Distribution
Auxerre Win 39%
Draw 21.3%
Nice Win 39.7%
Expected Goals (xG)
Auxerre1.25
Nice1.2
Recent Form (Last 5)
Auxerre Auxerre
WWDLW
31 GF / 45 GA
Nice Nice
WLDWL
51 GF / 81 GA
Key Stats
0.94
Average Goals Scored
1.09
1.36
Average Goals Conceded
1.72
14
BTTS Yes
27
15
Over 2.5
24
3.55
Shots on Goal
3.6

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Auxerre Auxerre 33 matches
Nice Nice 47 matches
Auxerre Statistic Nice
6 Wins 11
10 Draws 12
17 Losses 24
31 Goals For 51
45 Goals Against 81
0.94 Avg Goals Scored 1.09
1.36 Avg Goals Conceded 1.72
14 BTTS Yes 27
20 Over 1.5 37
15 Over 2.5 24
9 Over 3.5 17
8 Clean Sheets 7
16 Failed To Score 16
3.55 Shots On Goal 3.6
10.94 Total Shots 11.17
4.76 Corners 5.3
44.1% Ball Possession 45.8%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

There is very little separating these two teams on paper, and two sides with a fairly similar football identity points toward a competitive game. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Nice. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Auxerre expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Nice in 5-4-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Nice having the stronger overall control. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns.

Auxerre Analysis

Auxerre approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 16 with 28 points from 32 matches. Their record of 6 wins, 10 draws, and 16 losses, together with goals at 30:43, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through L. Sinayoko (9 goals), Bryan Okoh (3 goals), D. Namaso (3 goals), with creative support from L. Sinayoko (4 assists), D. Namaso (3 assists), S. Mara (2 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been quite vulnerable. At home, they have managed 5 wins, 4 draws, and 7 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

Nice Analysis

Nice approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 15 with 31 points from 32 matches. Across the season they have posted 7 wins, 10 draws, and 15 defeats, and the 36:58 goal record continues to suggest poor form and have been stuck in a sequence of draws. Their attacking burden often falls on Sofiane Diop (7 goals), E. Wahi (5 goals), M. Cho (4 goals), with creative support from J. Clauss (6 assists), M. Cho (3 assists), Sofiane Diop (2 assists), while at the back they have been quite vulnerable. Away from home, they have managed 3 wins, 3 draws, and 10 losses, a return that supports a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 12 head-to-head meetings, Auxerre won 4 times, Nice won 4 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 14:14 from Auxerre's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 2.33 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (78.7%)
Predicted formations: Auxerre 4-2-3-1 / Nice 5-4-1
Missing players: Auxerre 4, Nice 3
H2H summary: Auxerre wins 4, draws 4, Nice wins 4
Stats
Auxerre Auxerre
Nice Nice
Shots on Goal
4
Shots on Goal
6
Shots off Goal
5
Shots off Goal
2
Blocked Shots
3
Blocked Shots
2
10 Corner Kicks 1
15 Fouls 9
0 Offsides 2
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Goal 6
5 Shots off Goal 2
3 Blocked Shots 2
8 Shots insidebox 8
4 Shots outsidebox 2
2 Goalkeeper Saves 2
451 Total passes 429
358 Passes accurate 334
0.84 expected_goals 1.33
🟨 1 Yellow Cards 0 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Auxerre
Formation
Nice
D. Leon
D. Leon
L. Sy
L. Sy
S. Diomande
S. Diomande
B. Okoh
B. Okoh
G. Mensah
G. Mensah
N. Ahamada
🎯
N. Ahamada
E. Owusu
E. Owusu
K. Danois
K. Danois
L. Sinayoko
L. Sinayoko
S. Mara
S. Mara
D. Namaso
D. Namaso
Y. Diouf
Y. Diouf
J. Clauss
J. Clauss
A. Mendy
A. Mendy
J. Bah
J. Bah
K. Peprah
K. Peprah
M. Bard
M. Bard
M. Sanson
M. Sanson
S. Abdul Samed
S. Abdul Samed
H. Boudaoui
H. Boudaoui
S. Diop
S. Diop
M. Cho
M. Cho
Auxerre 4-3-3
Starting XI
16
D. Leon
G
27
L. Sy
↓ 71'
D
20
S. Diomande
D
24
B. Okoh
↓ 13'
D
14
G. Mensah
D
8
N. Ahamada
🎯 70'
M
42
E. Owusu
M
5
K. Danois
M
10
L. Sinayoko
⚽ 70'
F
9
S. Mara
⚽ 27' ↓ 86'
F
19
D. Namaso
↓ 86'
F
Substitutes
40
T. De Percin
G
18
A. Diousse
M
4
F. Sierralta
D
7
J. Casimir
↑ 86' 🟨 90+5'
F
21
L. Coulibaly
↑ 86'
M
92
C. Akpa
↑ 13'
D
29
M. Senaya
↑ 71'
D
13
T. Siwe
D
44
M. Cissokho
F
Nice 5-4-1
Starting XI
80
Y. Diouf
G
92
J. Clauss
D
33
A. Mendy
D
28
J. Bah
D
37
K. Peprah
D
26
M. Bard
↓ 59'
D
8
M. Sanson
↓ 76'
M
99
S. Abdul Samed
↓ 59'
M
6
H. Boudaoui
M
10
S. Diop
⚽ 9' ↓ 81'
M
25
M. Cho
↓ 76'
F
Substitutes
31
M. Dupe
G
4
Dante
D
2
A. Abdi
↑ 59'
D
24
C. Vanhoutte
M
32
K. Boudache
F
21
I. Jansson
↑ 81'
F
90
Kevin
↑ 76'
F
11
E. Wahi
↑ 76'
F
20
T. Louchet
↑ 59'
M
Last matches: Auxerre
17.05.26
Lig
Auxerre
Lille
2
0
W
03.05.26
Lig
Auxerre
Angers
3
1
W
25.04.26
Lig
Auxerre
Lyon
2
3
L
19.04.26
Lig
Auxerre
Monaco
2
2
D
11.04.26
Lig
Auxerre
Nantes
0
0
D
05.04.26
Lig
Auxerre
Le Havre
1
1
D
21.03.26
Lig
Auxerre
Stade Brestois 29
3
0
W
13.03.26
Lig
Auxerre
Marseille
0
1
L
07.03.26
Lig
Auxerre
Strasbourg
0
0
D
01.03.26
Lig
Auxerre
Lorient
2
2
D
22.02.26
Lig
Auxerre
Rennes
0
3
L
15.02.26
Lig
Auxerre
Metz
3
1
W
08.02.26
Lig
Auxerre
Paris FC
0
0
D
01.02.26
Lig
Auxerre
Toulouse
0
0
D
23.01.26
Lig
Auxerre
Paris Saint Germain
0
1
L
17.01.26
Lig
Auxerre
Lens
0
1
L
04.01.26
Lig
Auxerre
Stade Brestois 29
0
2
L
21.12.25
Cou
Auxerre
Monaco
1
2
L
14.12.25
Lig
Auxerre
Lille
3
4
L
07.12.25
Lig
Auxerre
Metz
3
1
W
Last matches: Nice
29.05.26
Lig
Nice
Saint Etienne
4
1
W
26.05.26
Lig
Nice
Saint Etienne
0
0
D
22.05.26
Cou
Nice
Lens
1
3
L
17.05.26
Lig
Nice
Metz
0
0
D
02.05.26
Lig
Nice
Lens
1
1
D
26.04.26
Lig
Nice
Marseille
1
1
D
22.04.26
Cou
Nice
Strasbourg
2
0
W
18.04.26
Lig
Nice
Lille
0
0
D
12.04.26
Lig
Nice
Le Havre
1
1
D
04.04.26
Lig
Nice
Strasbourg
1
3
L
21.03.26
Lig
Nice
Paris Saint Germain
0
4
L
14.03.26
Lig
Nice
Angers
2
0
W
08.03.26
Lig
Nice
Rennes
0
4
L
04.03.26
Cou
Nice
Lorient
0
0
D
01.03.26
Lig
Nice
Paris FC
0
1
L
22.02.26
Lig
Nice
Lorient
3
3
D
15.02.26
Lig
Nice
Lyon
0
2
L
08.02.26
Lig
Nice
Monaco
0
0
D
04.02.26
Cou
Nice
Montpellier
3
2
W
01.02.26
Lig
Nice
Stade Brestois 29
2
2
D
H2H: Auxerre vs Nice
10.05.26
H2H
Auxerre
Nice
2
1
W
23.08.25
H2H
Nice
Auxerre
3
1
L
14.03.25
H2H
Nice
Auxerre
1
1
D
18.08.24
H2H
Auxerre
Nice
2
1
W
06.01.24
H2H
Nice
Auxerre
0
0
D
03.03.23
H2H
Nice
Auxerre
1
1
D
16.10.22
H2H
Auxerre
Nice
1
1
D
31.10.18
H2H
Nice
Auxerre
3
2
L
21.04.12
H2H
Nice
Auxerre
1
0
L
11.12.11
H2H
Auxerre
Nice
2
1
W
12.03.11
H2H
Nice
Auxerre
1
0
L
30.10.10
H2H
Auxerre
Nice
2
0
W
Last matches: Auxerre
03.05.26
Lig
Auxerre
Angers
3
1
W
11.04.26
Lig
Auxerre
Nantes
0
0
D
21.03.26
Lig
Auxerre
Stade Brestois 29
3
0
W
07.03.26
Lig
Auxerre
Strasbourg
0
0
D
22.02.26
Lig
Auxerre
Rennes
0
3
L
08.02.26
Lig
Auxerre
Paris FC
0
0
D
23.01.26
Lig
Auxerre
Paris Saint Germain
0
1
L
21.12.25
Cou
Auxerre
Monaco
1
2
L
14.12.25
Lig
Auxerre
Lille
3
4
L
07.12.25
Lig
Auxerre
Metz
3
1
W
23.11.25
Lig
Auxerre
Lyon
0
0
D
01.11.25
Lig
Auxerre
Marseille
0
1
L
26.10.25
Lig
Auxerre
Le Havre
0
1
L
04.10.25
Lig
Auxerre
Lens
1
2
L
21.09.25
Lig
Auxerre
Toulouse
1
0
W
13.09.25
Lig
Auxerre
Monaco
1
2
L
17.08.25
Lig
Auxerre
Lorient
1
0
W
10.05.25
Lig
Auxerre
Nantes
1
1
D
04.05.25
Lig
Auxerre
Le Havre
1
2
L
13.04.25
Lig
Auxerre
Lyon
1
3
L
H2H at home: Auxerre
10.05.26
H2H
Auxerre
Nice
2
1
W
18.08.24
H2H
Auxerre
Nice
2
1
W
16.10.22
H2H
Auxerre
Nice
1
1
D
11.12.11
H2H
Auxerre
Nice
2
1
W
30.10.10
H2H
Auxerre
Nice
2
0
W
Last matches: Nice
26.05.26
Lig
Nice
Saint Etienne
0
0
D
22.05.26
Cou
Nice
Lens
1
3
L
26.04.26
Lig
Nice
Marseille
1
1
D
22.04.26
Cou
Nice
Strasbourg
2
0
W
18.04.26
Lig
Nice
Lille
0
0
D
04.04.26
Lig
Nice
Strasbourg
1
3
L
14.03.26
Lig
Nice
Angers
2
0
W
04.03.26
Cou
Nice
Lorient
0
0
D
01.03.26
Lig
Nice
Paris FC
0
1
L
15.02.26
Lig
Nice
Lyon
0
2
L
29.01.26
UEF
Nice
Ludogorets
0
1
L
25.01.26
Lig
Nice
Nantes
4
1
W
17.01.26
Lig
Nice
Toulouse
1
5
L
11.01.26
Cou
Nice
Nantes
1
1
D
14.12.25
Lig
Nice
Lens
0
2
L
30.11.25
Lig
Nice
Lorient
1
3
L
27.11.25
UEF
Nice
FC Porto
0
3
L
09.11.25
Lig
Nice
Metz
1
2
L
01.11.25
Lig
Nice
Paris Saint Germain
0
1
L
26.10.25
Lig
Nice
Rennes
2
1
W
H2H away: Nice
10.05.26
H2H
Auxerre
Nice
2
1
L
18.08.24
H2H
Auxerre
Nice
2
1
L
16.10.22
H2H
Auxerre
Nice
1
1
D
11.12.11
H2H
Auxerre
Nice
2
1
L
30.10.10
H2H
Auxerre
Nice
2
0
L

Standings

Ligue 1
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 34 24 4 6 74:29 45 76
L W W D W
2 34 22 4 8 66:35 31 70
W L W D D
3 34 18 7 9 52:37 15 61
L W D W D
4 34 18 6 10 53:40 13 60
L L W W W
5 34 18 5 11 63:45 18 59
W W L D L
6 34 17 8 9 59:50 9 59
L W L W W
7 34 16 6 12 60:54 6 54
L L W D D
8 34 15 8 11 58:47 11 53
W W D L W
9 34 11 12 11 48:51 -3 45
L W D L W
10 33 12 8 13 47:46 1 44
W W D L L
11 34 11 11 12 47:50 -3 44
W L W L W
12 34 10 9 15 43:55 -12 39
D L L L D
13 34 9 9 16 29:48 -19 36
D D L L D
14 34 7 14 13 32:44 -12 35
W L D D D
15 34 8 10 16 34:44 -10 34
W W W L D
16
Nice Away
34 7 11 16 37:60 -23 32
W D D L D
17 33 5 8 20 29:52 -23 23
L W L L D
18 34 3 8 23 32:76 -44 17
D L L D L
Champions League
Champions League Qualification
UEFA Europa League
Conference League Qualification
Relegation Playoffs
Relegation

Missing Players

Auxerre 4 missing
-
N. Buayi-Kiala
Missing Fixture Knee Injury
OUT
-
O. El Azzouzi
Missing Fixture Knee Injury
OUT
-
F. Oppegard
Missing Fixture Injury
OUT
-
R. Faivre
Missing Fixture Injury
OUT
Nice 3 missing
-
M. Bombito
Missing Fixture Leg Injury
OUT
-
E. Pereira
Missing Fixture Ankle Injury
OUT
-
M. Abdelmonem
Missing Fixture Injury
OUT