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FRANCE › LIGUE 3
14.08.2026 17:00
Stade de Lattre-de-Tassigny
Aubagne
Match Timeline
Bastia
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
28'
J. Sebas · Assist: J. Eickmayer
Bastia
🟨
31'
A. Bellebrahim
Aubagne
🟨
44'
I. Monnier
Bastia
🔄
46'
W. Bouaziz ↔ J. Sahraoui
Aubagne
🟨
50'
A. Tafni
Aubagne
🟨
55'
K. Cisse
Aubagne
🔄
60'
A. Sadi ↔ S. Ahamada
Aubagne
🟨
63'
C. Melieres
Bastia
🔄
68'
C. Melieres ↔ E. Garnier
Bastia
🔄
69'
J. Sebas ↔ J. Janneh
Bastia
🟨
70'
S. Ahamada
Aubagne
🔄
72'
Y. Zemoura ↔ S. Hattab
Aubagne
🔄
74'
C. Rodrigues ↔ A. Zaouai
Bastia
🔄
83'
A. Tafni ↔ B. Benosmane
Aubagne
🔄
83'
A. Faiz ↔ M. Ahamadi
Aubagne
🟨
88'
A. Zaouai
Bastia
🟨
90+1'
R. Valme
Aubagne

Aubagne vs Bastia Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away or Draw
Probability 68.5%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 86%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 61.1%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away or Draw
68.5%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
86%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
61.1%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
- ▥
Correct Score 1-2
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Aubagne Win 31.5%
Draw 18.5%
Bastia Win 50%
Expected Goals (xG)
Aubagne1.67
Bastia1.73
Recent Form (Last 5)
Aubagne Aubagne
WWDLW
3 GF / 7 GA
Bastia Bastia
WLDWL
4 GF / 8 GA
Key Stats
1
Average Goals Scored
1.33
2.33
Average Goals Conceded
2.67
2
BTTS Yes
2
2
Over 2.5
1
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Aubagne Aubagne 3 matches
Bastia Bastia 3 matches
Aubagne Statistic Bastia
0 Wins 0
1 Draws 1
2 Losses 2
3 Goals For 4
7 Goals Against 8
1 Avg Goals Scored 1.33
2.33 Avg Goals Conceded 2.67
2 BTTS Yes 2
3 Over 1.5 3
2 Over 2.5 1
1 Over 3.5 1
0 Clean Sheets 0
1 Failed To Score 1
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 2 head-to-head meetings, Aubagne won 0 times, Bastia won 1 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 1:2 from Aubagne's perspective. 0 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 1.5 goals per game.

1X2: Away or Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (81.5%)
H2H summary: Aubagne wins 0, draws 1, Bastia wins 1

Standings

National
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 9 6 3 0 15:8 7 21
W W W D D
2 9 6 2 1 17:5 12 20
W L W W D
3 9 4 4 1 12:8 4 16
W D W W D
4 9 5 1 3 13:12 1 16
W W D W L
5 9 4 3 2 12:3 9 15
W D W D W
6 9 3 6 0 11:4 7 15
W D D D W
7 9 5 0 4 17:12 5 15
L W L W W
8 9 4 1 4 11:9 2 13
W L W L D
9 9 3 3 3 14:14 0 12
L L D L D
10 9 3 3 3 15:12 3 12
W L D W W
11 9 3 3 3 7:9 -2 12
L W D L D
12 9 3 2 4 7:11 -4 11
D L D W L
13 9 2 4 3 8:12 -4 10
L D D W D
14 9 2 3 4 7:11 -4 9
D D L L D
15 9 2 2 5 9:14 -5 8
L W L L D
16 9 2 1 6 6:12 -6 7
L W L L D
17 9 1 2 6 5:15 -10 5
L D D L L
18 9 1 1 7 7:22 -15 4
L L L D L
Promotion - Ligue 2
Promotion - Ligue 2 (Promotion)
Relegation