Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
92.6%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS No |
50.9%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
43.2%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
82.1%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-0 |
-
|
- |
Atletico Paranaense
Gremio
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Atletico Paranaense
13 matches
Gremio
13 matches
| Atletico Paranaense | Statistic | Gremio |
|---|---|---|
| 7 | Wins | 4 |
| 1 | Draws | 4 |
| 5 | Losses | 5 |
| 20 | Goals For | 15 |
| 15 | Goals Against | 16 |
| 1.54 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.15 |
| 1.15 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.23 |
| 7 | BTTS Yes | 7 |
| 10 | Over 1.5 | 10 |
| 7 | Over 2.5 | 5 |
| 3 | Over 3.5 | 1 |
| 3 | Clean Sheets | 4 |
| 3 | Failed To Score | 4 |
| 4.85 | Shots On Goal | 4.08 |
| 11.77 | Total Shots | 12.77 |
| 4.46 | Corners | 4 |
| 49.2% | Ball Possession | 51.7% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
From a tactical perspective, this fixture features Atletico Paranaense's more proactive style and Gremio's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Atletico Paranaense have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Atletico Paranaense expected to line up in 3-4-2-1 and Gremio in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Gremio having the stronger overall control. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Gremio. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day.
Atletico Paranaense sit 5 with 22 points after 13 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Across the season they have posted 7 wins, 1 draws, and 5 defeats, and the 20:15 goal record continues to suggest mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on K. Viveros (8 goals), S. Mendoza (4 goals), Julimar (3 goals), with creative support from G. Benavidez (4 assists), L. Esquivel (3 assists), Joao Cruz (2 assists), while at the back they have been very solid. At home, they have managed 6 wins, 0 draws, and 1 losses, a return that supports a very strong split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms they often show balanced attacking football.
Gremio sit 11 with 16 points after 13 league matches. Their overall return of 4 wins, 4 draws, and 5 losses with goals at 15:16 reflects poor form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by Carlos Vinicius (7 goals), Edenilson (4 goals), Camutanga (1 goals), with creative support from Edenilson (2 assists), F. Amuzu (2 assists), Gustavo Martins (2 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. Away from home, the record of 0 wins, 2 draws, and 5 losses points toward a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Atletico Paranaense won 6 times, Gremio won 7 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 16:17 from Atletico Paranaense's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 2.2 goals per game.
Atletico Paranaense
5
0
6
5
0
2
Lineups
Atletico Paranaense
Mirassol
Atletico Paranaense
Remo
Atletico Paranaense
Flamengo
Atletico Paranaense
Vasco DA Gama
Atletico Paranaense
Vitoria
Atletico Paranaense
Palmeiras
Atletico Paranaense
Chapecoense-sc
Atletico Paranaense
Atletico-MG
Atletico Paranaense
Bahia
Atletico Paranaense
Botafogo
Atletico Paranaense
Coritiba
Atletico Paranaense
Cruzeiro
Atletico Paranaense
Fluminense
Atletico Paranaense
RB Bragantino
Atletico Paranaense
Corinthians
Atletico Paranaense
Santos
Atletico Paranaense
Internacional
Gremio
Cascavel
Gremio
Corinthians
Gremio
Santos
Gremio
Bahia
Gremio
Flamengo
Gremio
Coritiba
Gremio
Cruzeiro
Gremio
Internacional
Gremio
Remo
Gremio
Palmeiras
Gremio
Vasco DA Gama
Gremio
Vitoria
Gremio
Chapecoense-sc
Gremio
RB Bragantino
Gremio
Atletico-MG
Gremio
Sao Paulo
Gremio
Botafogo
Gremio
Fluminense
Atletico Paranaense
Mirassol
Atletico Paranaense
Flamengo
Atletico Paranaense
Vitoria
Atletico Paranaense
Chapecoense-sc
Atletico Paranaense
Botafogo
Atletico Paranaense
Coritiba
Atletico Paranaense
Cruzeiro
Atletico Paranaense
Corinthians
Atletico Paranaense
Santos
Gremio
Cascavel
Gremio
Bahia
Gremio
Cruzeiro
Gremio
Internacional
Gremio
Palmeiras
Gremio
Vasco DA Gama
Gremio
Chapecoense-sc
Gremio
Sao Paulo
Gremio
Fluminense
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 18 | 12 | 5 | 1 | 30:13 | 17 | 41 |
?
|
|
| 2 | 17 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 31:16 | 15 | 34 |
?
|
|
| 3 | 18 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 28:23 | 5 | 31 |
?
|
|
| 4 |
Atletico Paranaense
Home
|
18 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 24:18 | 6 | 30 |
?
|
| 5 | 18 | 9 | 2 | 7 | 25:19 | 6 | 29 |
?
|
|
| 6 | 17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 25:23 | 2 | 26 |
?
|
|
| 7 | 18 | 7 | 5 | 6 | 24:24 | 0 | 26 |
?
|
|
| 8 | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 23:20 | 3 | 25 |
?
|
|
| 9 | 18 | 7 | 3 | 8 | 22:23 | -1 | 24 |
?
|
|
| 10 | 18 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 18:19 | -1 | 24 |
?
|
|
| 11 | 18 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 24:28 | -4 | 24 |
?
|
|
| 12 | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 31:31 | 0 | 22 |
?
|
|
| 13 | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 21:25 | -4 | 22 |
?
|
|
| 14 | 18 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 21:22 | -1 | 21 |
?
|
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| 15 | 18 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 26:29 | -3 | 21 |
?
|
|
| 16 |
Gremio
Away
|
18 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 20:23 | -3 | 21 |
?
|
| 17 | 18 | 5 | 5 | 8 | 22:29 | -7 | 20 |
?
|
|
| 18 | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 21:29 | -8 | 18 |
?
|
|
| 19 | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 18:24 | -6 | 16 |
?
|
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| 20 | 17 | 1 | 6 | 10 | 17:33 | -16 | 9 |
?
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