Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
56.4%
|
- | |
| BTTS | Yes |
71.2%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
48.9%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
82.9%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
- |
Atletico Paranaense
Fluminense
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Atletico Paranaense
25 matches
Fluminense
34 matches
| Atletico Paranaense | Statistic | Fluminense |
|---|---|---|
| 12 | Wins | 15 |
| 5 | Draws | 12 |
| 8 | Losses | 7 |
| 32 | Goals For | 52 |
| 23 | Goals Against | 38 |
| 1.28 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.53 |
| 0.92 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.12 |
| 12 | BTTS Yes | 24 |
| 17 | Over 1.5 | 28 |
| 10 | Over 2.5 | 16 |
| 3 | Over 3.5 | 8 |
| 8 | Clean Sheets | 7 |
| 7 | Failed To Score | 6 |
| 4.61 | Shots On Goal | 5.31 |
| 12.09 | Total Shots | 14.72 |
| 4.83 | Corners | 5.16 |
| 47.2% | Ball Possession | 61.4% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
This contest looks finely balanced, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity suggesting a close tactical battle. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Atletico Paranaense expected to line up in 3-4-2-1 and Fluminense in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Fluminense having the stronger overall control. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Fluminense. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns.
Atletico Paranaense approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 3 on 41 points after 23 outings. With 12 wins, 5 draws, and 6 defeats plus a goal balance of 31:20, they continue to show good form over their recent run. Their attacking quality is driven by Kevin Viveros (14 goals), Steven Mendoza (4 goals), Julimar (3 goals), with creative support from Gastón Benavídez (5 assists), João Cruz (4 assists), Lucas Esquivel (3 assists), and at the back they have appeared very solid. At home, their record of 8 wins, 3 draws, and 1 losses points to a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football.
Fluminense come into this match from a strong league position, sitting 4 with 41 points from 24 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 11 wins, 8 draws, and 5 losses, while the 36:29 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on John Kennedy (8 goals), Luciano Acosta (3 goals), Rodrigo Castillo (3 goals), with creative support from Luciano Acosta (3 assists), Agustín Canobbio (2 assists), Guga (2 assists), and defensively they have been fairly stable. Away from home, they have returned 2 wins, 5 draws, and 4 losses, a split that suggests a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Atletico Paranaense won 5 times, Fluminense won 8 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 20:21 from Atletico Paranaense's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 2.73 goals per game.
Atletico Paranaense
RB Bragantino
Atletico Paranaense
Santos
Atletico Paranaense
Corinthians
Atletico Paranaense
Internacional
Atletico Paranaense
Sao Paulo
Atletico Paranaense
RB Bragantino
Atletico Paranaense
Boca Juniors
Atletico Paranaense
Mirassol
Atletico Paranaense
Remo
Atletico Paranaense
Flamengo
Atletico Paranaense
Vasco DA Gama
Atletico Paranaense
Gremio
Atletico Paranaense
Vitoria
Atletico Paranaense
Palmeiras
Atletico Paranaense
Chapecoense-sc
Atletico Paranaense
Atletico-MG
Atletico Paranaense
Bahia
Atletico Paranaense
Botafogo
Atletico Paranaense
Coritiba
Atletico Paranaense
Cruzeiro
Fluminense
Remo
Fluminense
Independ. Rivadavia
Fluminense
Palmeiras
Fluminense
Independ. Rivadavia
Fluminense
Botafogo
Fluminense
Bahia
Fluminense
Gremio
Fluminense
RB Bragantino
Fluminense
Bahia
Fluminense
Nova Iguaçu
Fluminense
Cruzeiro
Fluminense
Deportivo La Guaira
Fluminense
Mirassol
Fluminense
Bolívar
Fluminense
Sao Paulo
Fluminense
Vitoria
Fluminense
Independ. Rivadavia
Fluminense
Internacional
Fluminense
Bolívar
Fluminense
Chapecoense-sc
Atletico Paranaense
RB Bragantino
Atletico Paranaense
Internacional
Atletico Paranaense
Mirassol
Atletico Paranaense
Flamengo
Atletico Paranaense
Gremio
Atletico Paranaense
Vitoria
Atletico Paranaense
Chapecoense-sc
Atletico Paranaense
Botafogo
Atletico Paranaense
Coritiba
Atletico Paranaense
Cruzeiro
Atletico Paranaense
Corinthians
Atletico Paranaense
Santos
Fluminense
Independ. Rivadavia
Fluminense
Botafogo
Fluminense
Gremio
Fluminense
Cruzeiro
Fluminense
Mirassol
Fluminense
Independ. Rivadavia
Fluminense
Internacional
Fluminense
Bolívar
Fluminense
Santos
Fluminense
Deportivo La Guaira
Fluminense
Coritiba
Fluminense
Vasco DA Gama
Fluminense
Remo
Fluminense
Palmeiras
Fluminense
Bahia
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 24 | 15 | 6 | 3 | 44:20 | 24 | 51 |
W
L
D
W
L
|
|
| 2 | 23 | 13 | 6 | 4 | 45:21 | 24 | 45 |
L
W
W
D
D
|
|
| 3 |
Atletico Paranaense
Home
|
23 | 12 | 5 | 6 | 31:20 | 11 | 41 |
D
W
D
W
W
|
| 4 |
Fluminense
Away
|
24 | 11 | 8 | 5 | 36:29 | 7 | 41 |
W
W
D
D
D
|
| 5 | 24 | 11 | 6 | 7 | 34:33 | 1 | 39 |
W
W
W
W
L
|
|
| 6 | 24 | 9 | 10 | 5 | 34:28 | 6 | 37 |
W
D
D
D
D
|
|
| 7 | 23 | 10 | 5 | 8 | 28:23 | 5 | 35 |
W
D
L
D
D
|
|
| 8 | 23 | 9 | 6 | 8 | 30:27 | 3 | 33 |
D
W
D
W
D
|
|
| 9 | 23 | 8 | 8 | 7 | 25:22 | 3 | 32 |
L
W
D
D
W
|
|
| 10 | 23 | 8 | 7 | 8 | 28:30 | -2 | 31 |
D
W
L
D
L
|
|
| 11 | 22 | 8 | 6 | 8 | 35:34 | 1 | 30 |
L
D
W
D
W
|
|
| 12 | 24 | 8 | 5 | 11 | 23:35 | -12 | 29 |
L
W
L
L
L
|
|
| 13 | 22 | 7 | 6 | 9 | 27:26 | 1 | 27 |
D
L
D
L
L
|
|
| 14 | 22 | 6 | 7 | 9 | 32:35 | -3 | 25 |
W
L
D
L
W
|
|
| 15 | 23 | 6 | 7 | 10 | 24:31 | -7 | 25 |
L
L
W
D
L
|
|
| 16 | 24 | 5 | 10 | 9 | 24:28 | -4 | 25 |
D
D
D
D
L
|
|
| 17 | 22 | 6 | 5 | 11 | 25:35 | -10 | 23 |
L
L
W
D
W
|
|
| 18 | 24 | 5 | 8 | 11 | 28:39 | -11 | 23 |
L
D
D
L
W
|
|
| 19 | 23 | 5 | 7 | 11 | 24:38 | -14 | 22 |
L
L
D
D
L
|
|
| 20 | 22 | 1 | 8 | 13 | 23:46 | -23 | 11 |
D
L
D
L
L
|