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19.08.2026 23:00
TD Place Stadium
Referee: M. Marcotte
Atlético Ottawa
Match Timeline
Vancouver FC
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
13'
J. Assi · Assist: N. Fleuriau Chateau
Atlético Ottawa
🔄
29'
M. Polisi ↔ A. Ouattara
Vancouver FC
🟨
39'
Nicolás Mezquida
Vancouver FC
🔄
46'
N. Mezquida ↔ L. Toomey
Vancouver FC
🟨
51'
Emiliano García
Atlético Ottawa
VAR
59'
Jean-Aniel Assi
Atlético Ottawa
⚽
59'
J. Assi · Assist: K. Habibullah
Atlético Ottawa
⚽
63'
N. Fleuriau Chateau
Atlético Ottawa
🔄
68'
D. Pecile ↔ B. Lee
Vancouver FC
🔄
68'
M. Amissi ↔ A. Traore
Vancouver FC
🔄
71'
D. Aguilar ↔ J. Coulanges
Atlético Ottawa
🔄
71'
N. Fleuriau Chateau ↔ R. Abraham
Atlético Ottawa
VAR
73'
Emiliano García
Atlético Ottawa
⚽
73'
E. Garcia · Assist: K. Habibullah
Atlético Ottawa
🔄
78'
T. Field ↔ K. Proctor
Vancouver FC
🔄
83'
K. Habibullah ↔ B. Tabla
Atlético Ottawa
🔄
84'
E. Garcia ↔ J. Castro
Atlético Ottawa
🔄
84'
T. Arnaud ↔ R. Khoury
Atlético Ottawa
🟨
90+3'
Abdoulaye Ouattara
Vancouver FC

Atlético Ottawa vs Vancouver FC Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away or Draw
Probability 61.1%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 71.2%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 77.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away or Draw
61.1%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
71.2%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
77.2%
- ▥
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
- ▥
Correct Score 1-2
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Atlético Ottawa Win 38.9%
Draw 19.3%
Vancouver FC Win 41.8%
Expected Goals (xG)
Atlético Ottawa1.38
Vancouver FC1.6
Recent Form (Last 5)
Atlético Ottawa Atlético Ottawa
WWDLW
27 GF / 37 GA
Vancouver FC Vancouver FC
WLDWL
26 GF / 25 GA
Key Stats
1.42
Average Goals Scored
1.37
1.95
Average Goals Conceded
1.32
13
BTTS Yes
9
13
Over 2.5
9
1.79
Shots on Goal
1.74

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Atlético Ottawa Atlético Ottawa 19 matches
Vancouver FC Vancouver FC 19 matches
Atlético Ottawa Statistic Vancouver FC
8 Wins 8
3 Draws 3
8 Losses 8
27 Goals For 26
37 Goals Against 25
1.42 Avg Goals Scored 1.37
1.95 Avg Goals Conceded 1.32
13 BTTS Yes 9
17 Over 1.5 13
13 Over 2.5 9
8 Over 3.5 6
2 Clean Sheets 3
4 Failed To Score 7
1.79 Shots On Goal 1.74
5.26 Total Shots 5.47
2 Corners 1.89
30.8% Ball Possession 18.5%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This contest looks finely balanced, with Vancouver FC's more proactive style and Atlético Ottawa's more cautious structure suggesting a close tactical battle. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Vancouver FC. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Atlético Ottawa expected to line up in 4-4-2 and Vancouver FC in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Vancouver FC having the stronger overall control. Vancouver FC look sharper on recent form, and that momentum could be important in key phases of the match.

Atlético Ottawa Analysis

Placed 4 with 24 points from 16 outings, Atlético Ottawa continue to operate from a strong competitive position. Across the campaign, they have posted 7 wins, 3 draws, and 6 losses, while the 25:29 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on their main attacking players, and defensively they have been fairly stable. At home, they have returned 5 wins, 2 draws, and 1 losses, a split that suggests a very strong split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.

Vancouver FC Analysis

Vancouver FC approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 3 on 26 points after 16 outings. The return of 8 wins, 2 draws, and 6 defeats, together with goals at 25:16, reflects very strong form and are on a winning streak. Much of their attacking edge comes through their main attacking players, while their defending has remained very solid. Away from home, their record of 3 wins, 1 draws, and 3 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Atlético Ottawa won 6 times, Vancouver FC won 4 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 24:16 from Atlético Ottawa's perspective. 9 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 9 matches, with an average of 2.67 goals per game.

1X2: Away or Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (80.7%)
Predicted formations: Atlético Ottawa 4-4-2 / Vancouver FC 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Atlético Ottawa wins 6, draws 5, Vancouver FC wins 4

Standings

Canadian Premier League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 25 16 5 4 51:19 32 53
L L W D W
2 24 14 6 4 38:20 18 48
D D D W D
3 25 12 4 9 38:41 -3 40
W W L L D
4 25 9 6 10 35:33 2 33
D D D L W
5 25 9 4 12 38:45 -7 31
W W L W L
6 25 7 6 12 38:42 -4 27
D L W W L
7 25 6 9 10 40:56 -16 27
L W L D L
8 24 2 8 14 30:52 -22 14
L W D L D