ARGENTINA › PRIMERA NACIONAL
11.10.2026 20:00
Estadio Aurinegro

Atletico Mitre vs Colon Santa Fe Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 49.7%
Odds -
BTTS
No
Probability 71.7%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 72.8%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
49.7%
- ▥
BTTS No
71.7%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
72.8%
- ▥
Corners O/U Under 7.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
- ▥
Correct Score 0-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Atletico Mitre Win 32.9%
Draw 17.4%
Colon Santa Fe Win 49.7%
Expected Goals (xG)
Atletico Mitre0.86
Colon Santa Fe1.22
Recent Form (Last 5)
Atletico Mitre Atletico Mitre
WWDLW
29 GF / 39 GA
Colon Santa Fe Colon Santa Fe
WLDWL
39 GF / 25 GA
Key Stats
0.91
Average Goals Scored
1.22
1.22
Average Goals Conceded
0.78
14
BTTS Yes
12
12
Over 2.5
11
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Atletico Mitre Atletico Mitre 32 matches
Colon Santa Fe Colon Santa Fe 32 matches
Atletico Mitre Statistic Colon Santa Fe
7 Wins 14
14 Draws 10
11 Losses 8
29 Goals For 39
39 Goals Against 25
0.91 Avg Goals Scored 1.22
1.22 Avg Goals Conceded 0.78
14 BTTS Yes 12
23 Over 1.5 21
12 Over 2.5 11
7 Over 3.5 3
12 Clean Sheets 14
12 Failed To Score 10
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around Colon Santa Fe's more proactive style and Atletico Mitre's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Colon Santa Fe carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 5 with 52 points while Atletico Mitre sit 13 on 35, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Colon Santa Fe having the stronger overall control. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward Colon Santa Fe. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely.

Atletico Mitre Analysis

Atletico Mitre sit 13 with 35 points after 32 league matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 7 wins, 14 draws, and 11 losses, while the 29:39 goal ratio supports the view of poor form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on their main attacking players, and defensively they have been fairly stable. At home, their split return of 5 wins, 6 draws, and 5 losses fits a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.

Colon Santa Fe Analysis

Placed 5 with 52 points from 32 outings, Colon Santa Fe continue to operate from a strong competitive position. Across the campaign, they have posted 14 wins, 10 draws, and 8 losses, while the 39:25 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on their main attacking players, and defensively they have been very solid. Away from home, the record of 4 wins, 6 draws, and 6 losses points toward a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 5 head-to-head meetings, Atletico Mitre won 2 times, Colon Santa Fe won 1 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 6:5 from Atletico Mitre's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 matches, with an average of 2.2 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (82.6%)
H2H summary: Atletico Mitre wins 2, draws 2, Colon Santa Fe wins 1

Standings

Group 1
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 32 18 7 7 36:27 9 61
L W W D D
2 32 17 7 8 51:32 19 58
W L L W W
3 32 16 8 8 42:29 13 56
W D W W W
4 32 14 11 7 46:28 18 53
W D W L W
5 32 14 10 8 39:25 14 52
W D W L L
6 32 12 10 10 25:21 4 46
L L L D D
7 32 12 9 11 29:27 2 45
L W W W L
8 32 11 12 9 27:28 -1 45
W W L D L
9 32 9 13 10 25:23 2 40
L W L D D
10 32 9 10 13 30:33 -3 37
D L W D W
11 32 8 13 11 25:29 -4 37
D L W W D
12 32 9 10 13 28:36 -8 37
W W L W D
13 32 9 10 13 29:39 -10 37
D D L L L
14 32 7 14 11 29:39 -10 35
W L L D D
15 32 6 15 11 20:29 -9 33
D D L D D
16 32 6 15 11 18:28 -10 33
L D D L W
17 32 6 13 13 25:38 -13 31
L L D D L
18 32 7 8 17 22:35 -13 29
L W W L L
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Super final)
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation