Atletico-MG vs Vasco DA Gama Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
All Markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|
Probability Distribution
Atletico-MG Win 0%
Draw 0%
Vasco DA Gama Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Atletico-MG1.4
Vasco DA Gama1.21
Recent Form (Last 5)
Atletico-MG
WWDLW
41 GF / 35 GA
Vasco DA Gama
WLDWL
36 GF / 42 GA
Key Stats
1.37
Average Goals Scored
1.24
1.17
Average Goals Conceded
1.45
15
BTTS Yes
18
15
Over 2.5
17
4.77
Shots on Goal
5.45
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Atletico-MG
30 matches
Vasco DA Gama
29 matches
| Atletico-MG | Statistic | Vasco DA Gama |
|---|---|---|
| 13 | Wins | 9 |
| 8 | Draws | 8 |
| 9 | Losses | 12 |
| 41 | Goals For | 36 |
| 35 | Goals Against | 42 |
| 1.37 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.24 |
| 1.17 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.45 |
| 15 | BTTS Yes | 18 |
| 21 | Over 1.5 | 21 |
| 15 | Over 2.5 | 17 |
| 9 | Over 3.5 | 7 |
| 7 | Clean Sheets | 4 |
| 9 | Failed To Score | 9 |
| 4.77 | Shots On Goal | 5.45 |
| 13.77 | Total Shots | 17.76 |
| 5.2 | Corners | 6 |
| 49.4% | Ball Possession | 54.2% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
H2H Analysis
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Atletico-MG won 6 times, Vasco DA Gama won 6 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 23:17 from Atletico-MG's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 9 matches, with an average of 2.67 goals per game.
Predicted formations: Atletico-MG 4-2-3-1 / Vasco DA Gama 4-1-4-1
H2H summary: Atletico-MG wins 6, draws 3, Vasco DA Gama wins 6
Standings
Serie A
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 30 | 19 | 7 | 4 | 58:25 | 33 | 64 |
W
D
W
W
W
|
|
| 2 | 30 | 18 | 9 | 3 | 52:22 | 30 | 63 |
W
W
D
W
D
|
|
| 3 | 30 | 14 | 9 | 7 | 48:37 | 11 | 51 |
L
W
W
L
W
|
|
| 4 | 29 | 14 | 8 | 7 | 45:34 | 11 | 50 |
D
W
D
L
D
|
|
| 5 | 30 | 13 | 10 | 7 | 44:36 | 8 | 49 |
W
L
L
W
W
|
|
| 6 | 29 | 14 | 6 | 9 | 44:40 | 4 | 48 |
W
W
L
W
L
|
|
| 7 |
Atletico-MG
Home
|
30 | 13 | 8 | 9 | 41:35 | 6 | 47 |
W
D
W
D
W
|
| 8 | 30 | 11 | 9 | 10 | 46:45 | 1 | 42 |
L
D
W
W
W
|
|
| 9 | 30 | 11 | 6 | 13 | 35:35 | 0 | 39 |
W
L
L
W
L
|
|
| 10 | 29 | 10 | 8 | 11 | 37:47 | -10 | 38 |
L
L
D
L
W
|
|
| 11 | 29 | 10 | 7 | 12 | 34:33 | 1 | 37 |
D
L
L
D
L
|
|
| 12 | 30 | 10 | 6 | 14 | 33:44 | -11 | 36 |
L
W
L
D
W
|
|
| 13 | 29 | 9 | 8 | 12 | 42:47 | -5 | 35 |
L
L
W
D
D
|
|
| 14 |
Vasco DA Gama
Away
|
29 | 9 | 8 | 12 | 36:42 | -6 | 35 |
D
W
W
W
L
|
| 15 | 30 | 8 | 9 | 13 | 34:44 | -10 | 33 |
L
D
W
D
W
|
|
| 16 | 30 | 8 | 8 | 14 | 31:38 | -7 | 32 |
L
L
L
L
L
|
|
| 17 | 30 | 7 | 11 | 12 | 33:38 | -5 | 32 |
D
W
L
W
L
|
|
| 18 | 30 | 7 | 10 | 13 | 32:40 | -8 | 31 |
D
D
D
L
L
|
|
| 19 | 30 | 5 | 10 | 15 | 33:48 | -15 | 25 |
D
D
L
L
L
|
|
| 20 | 28 | 3 | 9 | 16 | 29:57 | -28 | 18 |
L
D
L
W
L
|
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Group Stage)
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Qualification)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage)
Relegation - Serie B