Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
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| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|
Probability Distribution
Atletico-MG Win 0%
Draw 0%
Bahia Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Atletico-MG1.26
Bahia1.36
Recent Form (Last 5)
Atletico-MG
WWDLW
22 GF / 23 GA
Bahia
WLDWL
27 GF / 25 GA
Key Stats
1.22
Average Goals Scored
1.42
1.28
Average Goals Conceded
1.32
7
BTTS Yes
13
8
Over 2.5
11
4.5
Shots on Goal
4.95
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Atletico-MG
18 matches
Bahia
19 matches
| Atletico-MG | Statistic | Bahia |
|---|---|---|
| 7 | Wins | 8 |
| 3 | Draws | 5 |
| 8 | Losses | 6 |
| 22 | Goals For | 27 |
| 23 | Goals Against | 25 |
| 1.22 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.42 |
| 1.28 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.32 |
| 7 | BTTS Yes | 13 |
| 11 | Over 1.5 | 16 |
| 8 | Over 2.5 | 11 |
| 6 | Over 3.5 | 4 |
| 4 | Clean Sheets | 4 |
| 7 | Failed To Score | 2 |
| 4.5 | Shots On Goal | 4.95 |
| 13.56 | Total Shots | 13.58 |
| 4.89 | Corners | 5.74 |
| 48.3% | Ball Possession | 55.7% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
H2H Analysis
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Atletico-MG won 6 times, Bahia won 6 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 20:20 from Atletico-MG's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 2.67 goals per game.
Predicted formations: Atletico-MG 3-4-2-1 / Bahia 4-3-3
H2H summary: Atletico-MG wins 6, draws 3, Bahia wins 6
Last matches: Atletico-MG
31.05.26
Ser
Atletico-MG
Vasco DA Gama
1
0
W
24.05.26
Ser
Atletico-MG
Corinthians
0
1
L
16.05.26
Ser
Atletico-MG
Mirassol
3
1
W
10.05.26
Ser
Atletico-MG
Botafogo
1
1
D
03.05.26
Ser
Atletico-MG
Cruzeiro
3
1
W
26.04.26
Ser
Atletico-MG
Flamengo
0
4
L
19.04.26
Ser
Atletico-MG
Coritiba
0
2
L
11.04.26
Ser
Atletico-MG
Santos
0
1
L
05.04.26
Ser
Atletico-MG
Atletico Paranaense
2
1
W
02.04.26
Ser
Atletico-MG
Chapecoense-sc
4
0
W
21.03.26
Ser
Atletico-MG
Fluminense
0
1
L
18.03.26
Ser
Atletico-MG
Sao Paulo
1
0
W
14.03.26
Ser
Atletico-MG
Vitoria
0
2
L
11.03.26
Ser
Atletico-MG
Internacional
1
0
W
26.02.26
Ser
Atletico-MG
Gremio
1
2
L
11.02.26
Ser
Atletico-MG
Remo
3
3
D
04.02.26
Ser
Atletico-MG
RB Bragantino
0
1
L
28.01.26
Ser
Atletico-MG
Palmeiras
2
2
D
Last matches: Bahia
30.05.26
Ser
Bahia
Botafogo
2
1
W
25.05.26
Ser
Bahia
Coritiba
2
3
L
17.05.26
Ser
Bahia
Gremio
1
1
D
10.05.26
Ser
Bahia
Cruzeiro
1
2
L
03.05.26
Ser
Bahia
Sao Paulo
2
2
D
25.04.26
Ser
Bahia
Santos
2
2
D
19.04.26
Ser
Bahia
Flamengo
0
2
L
11.04.26
Ser
Bahia
Mirassol
2
1
W
05.04.26
Ser
Bahia
Palmeiras
1
2
L
01.04.26
Ser
Bahia
Atletico Paranaense
3
0
W
22.03.26
Ser
Bahia
Remo
1
4
L
18.03.26
Ser
Bahia
RB Bragantino
2
0
W
15.03.26
Ser
Bahia
Internacional
1
0
W
11.03.26
Ser
Bahia
Vitoria
1
1
D
25.02.26
CON
Bahia
O'Higgins
2
1
W
18.02.26
CON
Bahia
O'Higgins
0
1
L
12.02.26
Ser
Bahia
Vasco DA Gama
1
0
W
05.02.26
Ser
Bahia
Fluminense
1
1
D
28.01.26
Ser
Bahia
Corinthians
2
1
W
H2H: Atletico-MG vs Bahia
05.11.25
H2H
Atletico-MG
Bahia
3
0
W
13.07.25
H2H
Bahia
Atletico-MG
2
1
L
15.09.24
H2H
Bahia
Atletico-MG
3
0
L
02.06.24
H2H
Atletico-MG
Bahia
1
1
D
07.12.23
H2H
Bahia
Atletico-MG
4
1
L
13.08.23
H2H
Atletico-MG
Bahia
1
0
W
02.12.21
H2H
Bahia
Atletico-MG
2
3
W
05.08.21
H2H
Bahia
Atletico-MG
2
1
L
29.07.21
H2H
Atletico-MG
Bahia
2
0
W
25.07.21
H2H
Atletico-MG
Bahia
3
0
W
13.02.21
H2H
Atletico-MG
Bahia
1
1
D
19.10.20
H2H
Bahia
Atletico-MG
3
1
L
28.11.19
H2H
Bahia
Atletico-MG
1
1
D
24.08.19
H2H
Atletico-MG
Bahia
0
1
L
17.11.18
H2H
Atletico-MG
Bahia
1
0
W
Last matches: Atletico-MG
16.05.26
Ser
Atletico-MG
Mirassol
3
1
W
10.05.26
Ser
Atletico-MG
Botafogo
1
1
D
26.04.26
Ser
Atletico-MG
Flamengo
0
4
L
05.04.26
Ser
Atletico-MG
Atletico Paranaense
2
1
W
18.03.26
Ser
Atletico-MG
Sao Paulo
1
0
W
11.03.26
Ser
Atletico-MG
Internacional
1
0
W
11.02.26
Ser
Atletico-MG
Remo
3
3
D
28.01.26
Ser
Atletico-MG
Palmeiras
2
2
D
H2H at home: Atletico-MG
05.11.25
H2H
Atletico-MG
Bahia
3
0
W
02.06.24
H2H
Atletico-MG
Bahia
1
1
D
13.08.23
H2H
Atletico-MG
Bahia
1
0
W
29.07.21
H2H
Atletico-MG
Bahia
2
0
W
25.07.21
H2H
Atletico-MG
Bahia
3
0
W
13.02.21
H2H
Atletico-MG
Bahia
1
1
D
24.08.19
H2H
Atletico-MG
Bahia
0
1
L
17.11.18
H2H
Atletico-MG
Bahia
1
0
W
Last matches: Bahia
25.05.26
Ser
Bahia
Coritiba
2
3
L
03.05.26
Ser
Bahia
Sao Paulo
2
2
D
19.04.26
Ser
Bahia
Flamengo
0
2
L
11.04.26
Ser
Bahia
Mirassol
2
1
W
22.03.26
Ser
Bahia
Remo
1
4
L
15.03.26
Ser
Bahia
Internacional
1
0
W
18.02.26
CON
Bahia
O'Higgins
0
1
L
12.02.26
Ser
Bahia
Vasco DA Gama
1
0
W
28.01.26
Ser
Bahia
Corinthians
2
1
W
H2H away: Bahia
05.11.25
H2H
Atletico-MG
Bahia
3
0
L
02.06.24
H2H
Atletico-MG
Bahia
1
1
D
13.08.23
H2H
Atletico-MG
Bahia
1
0
L
29.07.21
H2H
Atletico-MG
Bahia
2
0
L
25.07.21
H2H
Atletico-MG
Bahia
3
0
L
13.02.21
H2H
Atletico-MG
Bahia
1
1
D
24.08.19
H2H
Atletico-MG
Bahia
0
1
W
17.11.18
H2H
Atletico-MG
Bahia
1
0
L
Standings
Serie A
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 18 | 12 | 5 | 1 | 30:13 | 17 | 41 |
?
|
|
| 2 | 17 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 31:16 | 15 | 34 |
?
|
|
| 3 | 18 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 28:23 | 5 | 31 |
?
|
|
| 4 | 18 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 24:18 | 6 | 30 |
?
|
|
| 5 | 18 | 9 | 2 | 7 | 25:19 | 6 | 29 |
?
|
|
| 6 |
Bahia
Away
|
17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 25:23 | 2 | 26 |
?
|
| 7 | 18 | 7 | 5 | 6 | 24:24 | 0 | 26 |
?
|
|
| 8 | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 23:20 | 3 | 25 |
?
|
|
| 9 |
Atletico-MG
Home
|
18 | 7 | 3 | 8 | 22:23 | -1 | 24 |
?
|
| 10 | 18 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 18:19 | -1 | 24 |
?
|
|
| 11 | 18 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 24:28 | -4 | 24 |
?
|
|
| 12 | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 31:31 | 0 | 22 |
?
|
|
| 13 | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 21:25 | -4 | 22 |
?
|
|
| 14 | 18 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 21:22 | -1 | 21 |
?
|
|
| 15 | 18 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 26:29 | -3 | 21 |
?
|
|
| 16 | 18 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 20:23 | -3 | 21 |
?
|
|
| 17 | 18 | 5 | 5 | 8 | 22:29 | -7 | 20 |
?
|
|
| 18 | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 21:29 | -8 | 18 |
?
|
|
| 19 | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 18:24 | -6 | 16 |
?
|
|
| 20 | 17 | 1 | 6 | 10 | 17:33 | -16 | 9 |
?
|
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Group Stage)
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Qualification)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage)
Relegation - Serie B