Atletico Madrid
Match Timeline
Malaga
Atletico Madrid vs Malaga Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
1X2
No Draw
1 agree /
0 disagree
BTTS
Yes
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
All Markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | No Draw |
86.2%
|
- | |
| BTTS | Yes |
88%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
87%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
92%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
- |
Probability Distribution
Atletico Madrid Win 42.9%
Draw 13.8%
Malaga Win 43.3%
Expected Goals (xG)
Atletico Madrid2.08
Malaga2.14
Recent Form (Last 5)
Atletico Madrid
WWDLW
8 GF / 7 GA
Malaga
WLDWL
12 GF / 11 GA
Key Stats
2
Average Goals Scored
2.4
1.75
Average Goals Conceded
2.2
4
BTTS Yes
5
4
Over 2.5
5
0
Shots on Goal
0
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Atletico Madrid
4 matches
Malaga
5 matches
| Atletico Madrid | Statistic | Malaga |
|---|---|---|
| 2 | Wins | 1 |
| 0 | Draws | 3 |
| 2 | Losses | 1 |
| 8 | Goals For | 12 |
| 7 | Goals Against | 11 |
| 2 | Avg Goals Scored | 2.4 |
| 1.75 | Avg Goals Conceded | 2.2 |
| 4 | BTTS Yes | 5 |
| 4 | Over 1.5 | 5 |
| 4 | Over 2.5 | 5 |
| 2 | Over 3.5 | 4 |
| 0 | Clean Sheets | 0 |
| 0 | Failed To Score | 0 |
| 0 | Shots On Goal | 0 |
| 0 | Total Shots | 0 |
| 0 | Corners | 0 |
| 0% | Ball Possession | 0% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
H2H Analysis
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Atletico Madrid won 10 times, Malaga won 1 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 22:9 from Atletico Madrid's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 2.07 goals per game.
1X2: No Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (86.2%)
Predicted formations: Atletico Madrid 4-1-4-1 / Malaga 4-1-4-1
Missing players: Atletico Madrid 3, Malaga 6
H2H summary: Atletico Madrid wins 10, draws 4, Malaga wins 1
Standings
La Liga
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 34:7 | 27 | 24 |
W
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 2 |
Atletico Madrid
Home
|
8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 18:8 | 10 | 19 |
W
W
W
W
L
|
| 3 | 8 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 19:8 | 11 | 18 |
W
L
W
W
L
|
|
| 4 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 9:7 | 2 | 16 |
D
W
W
W
L
|
|
| 5 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 10:9 | 1 | 13 |
L
W
W
D
L
|
|
| 6 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 12:8 | 4 | 11 |
L
D
L
L
W
|
|
| 7 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 10:8 | 2 | 10 |
D
L
D
W
W
|
|
| 8 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 9:13 | -4 | 10 |
W
L
W
D
W
|
|
| 9 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 7:6 | 1 | 8 |
D
D
W
W
L
|
|
| 10 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 13:13 | 0 | 8 |
L
W
W
L
L
|
|
| 11 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 11:11 | 0 | 8 |
D
L
L
W
D
|
|
| 12 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 11:16 | -5 | 8 |
D
W
L
W
L
|
|
| 13 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 4:10 | -6 | 8 |
L
W
L
D
D
|
|
| 14 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 6:13 | -7 | 8 |
D
L
L
L
W
|
|
| 15 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 8:6 | 2 | 7 |
W
D
D
D
L
|
|
| 16 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 11:21 | -10 | 7 |
L
L
W
L
W
|
|
| 17 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 8:12 | -4 | 5 |
L
L
D
W
D
|
|
| 18 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 11:17 | -6 | 5 |
W
L
D
L
L
|
|
| 19 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 4:13 | -9 | 4 |
L
W
L
L
L
|
|
| 20 |
Malaga
Away
|
8 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 4:13 | -9 | 4 |
D
L
L
D
D
|
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