Atletico Madrid vs Celta Vigo Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | No Draw |
84.5%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS No |
17.4%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
24.1%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
82.6%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-0 |
-
|
- |
Atletico Madrid
Celta Vigo
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Atletico Madrid
56 matches
Celta Vigo
51 matches
| Atletico Madrid | Statistic | Celta Vigo |
|---|---|---|
| 30 | Wins | 20 |
| 10 | Draws | 15 |
| 16 | Losses | 16 |
| 108 | Goals For | 74 |
| 72 | Goals Against | 65 |
| 1.93 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.45 |
| 1.29 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.27 |
| 33 | BTTS Yes | 33 |
| 46 | Over 1.5 | 43 |
| 34 | Over 2.5 | 27 |
| 22 | Over 3.5 | 12 |
| 17 | Clean Sheets | 13 |
| 7 | Failed To Score | 8 |
| 5.25 | Shots On Goal | 4.1 |
| 13.41 | Total Shots | 10.63 |
| 5.84 | Corners | 3.94 |
| 52% | Ball Possession | 49.4% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
Looking at the broader profile of both teams, this encounter highlights two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Atletico Madrid expected to line up in 4-4-2 and Celta Vigo in 3-4-2-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Celta Vigo having the stronger overall control. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Celta Vigo.
Atletico Madrid sit 4 with 63 points after 34 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Across the season they have posted 19 wins, 6 draws, and 9 defeats, and the 58:37 goal record continues to suggest mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on A. Sorloth (12 goals), J. Alvarez (8 goals), A. Griezmann (7 goals), with creative support from G. Simeone (6 assists), J. Alvarez (4 assists), Marcos Llorente (4 assists), while at the back they have been fairly stable. At home, they have managed 14 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses, a return that supports a very strong split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms they often show balanced attacking football.
Celta Vigo approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 6 with 47 points from 34 matches. Across the season they have posted 12 wins, 11 draws, and 11 defeats, and the 48:44 goal record continues to suggest mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on B. Iglesias (13 goals), Ferran Jutglà (7 goals), Iago Aspas (5 goals), with creative support from J. Rueda (5 assists), Williot Swedberg (4 assists), Óscar Mingueza (4 assists), while at the back they have been quite vulnerable. Away from home, the split record of 7 wins, 6 draws, and 4 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader football approach still suggests balanced attacking football.
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 38 | 31 | 1 | 6 | 95:36 | 59 | 94 |
L
W
L
W
W
|
|
| 2 | 38 | 27 | 5 | 6 | 77:35 | 42 | 86 |
W
W
W
L
W
|
|
| 3 | 38 | 22 | 6 | 10 | 72:46 | 26 | 72 |
W
L
L
D
W
|
|
| 4 |
Atletico Madrid
Home
|
38 | 21 | 6 | 11 | 62:44 | 18 | 69 |
L
W
W
L
W
|
| 5 | 38 | 15 | 15 | 8 | 59:48 | 11 | 60 |
W
L
W
D
W
|
|
| 6 |
Celta Vigo
Away
|
38 | 14 | 12 | 12 | 53:48 | 5 | 54 |
W
D
L
W
W
|
| 7 | 38 | 15 | 6 | 17 | 32:38 | -6 | 51 |
W
L
W
D
L
|
|
| 8 | 38 | 12 | 14 | 12 | 41:44 | -3 | 50 |
W
W
D
D
W
|
|
| 9 | 38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | 46:55 | -9 | 49 |
W
W
D
W
L
|
|
| 10 | 38 | 11 | 13 | 14 | 59:61 | -2 | 46 |
D
L
D
D
L
|
|
| 11 | 38 | 12 | 10 | 16 | 43:55 | -12 | 46 |
D
W
W
L
L
|
|
| 12 | 38 | 13 | 6 | 19 | 43:58 | -15 | 45 |
L
D
L
L
W
|
|
| 13 | 38 | 12 | 7 | 19 | 46:60 | -14 | 43 |
L
L
W
W
W
|
|
| 14 | 38 | 11 | 10 | 17 | 44:56 | -12 | 43 |
L
W
W
D
L
|
|
| 15 | 38 | 10 | 13 | 15 | 49:57 | -8 | 43 |
D
W
L
D
L
|
|
| 16 | 38 | 11 | 9 | 18 | 47:61 | -14 | 42 |
L
W
W
W
L
|
|
| 17 | 38 | 11 | 9 | 18 | 44:50 | -6 | 42 |
L
L
L
L
L
|
|
| 18 | 38 | 11 | 9 | 18 | 47:57 | -10 | 42 |
W
L
L
D
W
|
|
| 19 | 38 | 9 | 14 | 15 | 39:55 | -16 | 41 |
D
L
D
D
L
|
|
| 20 | 38 | 6 | 11 | 21 | 26:60 | -34 | 29 |
L
L
L
D
L
|