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BRAZIL › SERIE B
15.08.2026 19:00
Estádio Antônio Accioly
Referee: Matheus Delgado Candançan, Brazil
Atletico Goianiense
Match Timeline
Vila Nova
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🔄
17'
Ewerthon ↔ Warley
Atletico Goianiense
🟨
39'
Geovany Soares
Atletico Goianiense
⚽
45'
Joao Vieira · Assist: Marquinhos Gabriel
Vila Nova
🔄
46'
Bruno Jose ↔ Leo Tocantins
Atletico Goianiense
🔄
46'
Nathan Camargo ↔ Hayner
Vila Nova
🟨
51'
Tiago Pagnussat
Vila Nova
🟨
56'
Guilherme Lopes
Atletico Goianiense
🔄
61'
Henrique Freitas ↔ Guilherme
Atletico Goianiense
🟨
62'
Peixoto
Atletico Goianiense
🔄
70'
Cristiano ↔ Igor Henrique
Atletico Goianiense
🔄
70'
Peixoto ↔ Netinho
Atletico Goianiense
🔄
70'
Andre Luis ↔ Everton Galdino
Vila Nova
🟨
71'
Igor Henrique
Atletico Goianiense
⚽
73'
Dudu
Vila Nova
🔄
77'
Dudu ↔ Willian Maranhao
Vila Nova
🔄
87'
Marquinhos Gabriel ↔ Higor Meritao
Vila Nova
🔄
87'
Janderson ↔ Emerson Urso
Vila Nova
🟨
90+1'
Emerson Urso
Vila Nova

Atletico Goianiense vs Vila Nova Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 79%
Odds -
BTTS
No
Probability 50.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 55.6%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
79%
- ▥
BTTS No
50.8%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
55.6%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
78%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 3-0
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Atletico Goianiense Win 79%
Draw 14.4%
Vila Nova Win 6.6%
Expected Goals (xG)
Atletico Goianiense1.16
Vila Nova1.17
Recent Form (Last 5)
Atletico Goianiense Atletico Goianiense
WWDLW
24 GF / 21 GA
Vila Nova Vila Nova
WLDWL
27 GF / 25 GA
Key Stats
1.14
Average Goals Scored
1.29
1
Average Goals Conceded
1.19
12
BTTS Yes
11
8
Over 2.5
9
4.48
Shots on Goal
3.67

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Atletico Goianiense Atletico Goianiense 21 matches
Vila Nova Vila Nova 21 matches
Atletico Goianiense Statistic Vila Nova
8 Wins 10
8 Draws 4
5 Losses 7
24 Goals For 27
21 Goals Against 25
1.14 Avg Goals Scored 1.29
1 Avg Goals Conceded 1.19
12 BTTS Yes 11
14 Over 1.5 14
8 Over 2.5 9
2 Over 3.5 3
6 Clean Sheets 4
5 Failed To Score 6
4.48 Shots On Goal 3.67
13.71 Total Shots 13.24
5.48 Corners 5
47.6% Ball Possession 53%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This fixture has the profile of a tight matchup, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity likely to keep the contest close. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Even if this develops into a close game, the analytical lean still edges toward Away Win, with a cautious clean-sheet angle toward Vila Nova. Vila Nova arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Atletico Goianiense expected to line up in 4-1-4-1 and Vila Nova in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Vila Nova having the stronger overall control. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Atletico Goianiense Analysis

Atletico Goianiense sit 7 with 31 points after 20 league matches. The record of 8 wins, 7 draws, and 5 defeats, together with a 23:20 goal balance, points toward good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through Gustavo Coutinho (7 goals), Leo Jacó (3 goals), Guilherme Marques (2 goals), with creative support from Guilherme Marques (3 assists), Geovany Soares (3 assists), Marrony (2 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. At home, their split return of 5 wins, 4 draws, and 2 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

Vila Nova Analysis

With 34 points from 20 games and a place of 5, Vila Nova still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Across the season they have posted 10 wins, 4 draws, and 6 defeats, and the 27:24 goal record continues to suggest mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on Ryan Lima (3 goals), Rafael Silva (3 goals), Janderson (2 goals), with creative support from Marquinhos Gabriel (5 assists), Janderson (4 assists), Ryan Lima (1 assists), while at the back they have been very solid. Away from home, they have managed 3 wins, 2 draws, and 6 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms they often show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Atletico Goianiense won 5 times, Vila Nova won 6 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 18:18 from Atletico Goianiense's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 9 matches, with an average of 2.4 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: No
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 1X (93.4%)
Predicted formations: Atletico Goianiense 4-1-4-1 / Vila Nova 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Atletico Goianiense wins 5, draws 4, Vila Nova wins 6

Standings

Serie B
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 34 18 8 8 48:33 15 62
D W D W W
2 34 17 10 7 61:30 31 61
D W W W D
3 34 17 10 7 41:23 18 61
D D W W W
4 34 16 12 6 41:29 12 60
W D W D D
5 34 17 8 9 35:28 7 59
W W L W W
6 34 14 12 8 42:32 10 54
D D L W W
7 34 15 7 12 51:48 3 52
L D W L W
8 34 13 12 9 45:37 8 51
L D W W L
9 33 14 6 13 34:40 -6 48
W W L L W
10 34 13 9 12 44:46 -2 48
L L L L D
11 33 11 14 8 32:26 6 47
L D W L W
12 34 12 10 12 46:37 9 46
L D L W D
13 34 12 8 14 38:38 0 44
W W W L W
14 34 10 14 10 40:39 1 44
D D L L D
15 34 11 10 13 37:42 -5 43
D L W W D
16 33 11 9 13 39:42 -3 42
L L D W L
17 34 10 7 17 33:43 -10 37
D W W L L
18 33 7 8 18 42:49 -7 29
D L L L L
19 34 5 5 24 22:54 -32 20
W L L L L
20 34 3 5 26 19:74 -55 14
D L L L L
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