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BRAZIL › SERIE B
28.06.2026 19:00
Estádio Antônio Accioly
Referee: Braulio Da Silva Machado, Brazil
Atletico Goianiense
Match Timeline
Ponte Preta
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
18'
Gustavo Coutinho
Atletico Goianiense
⚽
20'
Gustavo Coutinho · Assist: Bruno Jose
Atletico Goianiense
🟨
24'
Cristiano
Atletico Goianiense
🟨
37'
André Lima
Ponte Preta
🔄
46'
Rodriguinho ↔ Diego Porfirio
Ponte Preta
🔄
46'
Willian Pottker ↔ Brandao
Ponte Preta
🔄
58'
Baianinho ↔ Jonathan Cafu
Ponte Preta
🔄
70'
Tito ↔ Nata
Atletico Goianiense
🔄
70'
Cristiano ↔ Assis
Atletico Goianiense
🔄
74'
M. L. Diego ↔ Juan Rodrigues
Ponte Preta
🔄
82'
Leo Gomes ↔ Gustavo Telles
Ponte Preta
🔄
85'
Geovany Soares ↔ Leo Jaco
Atletico Goianiense
🔄
88'
Ewerthon ↔ Felipe Guimaraes
Atletico Goianiense

Atletico Goianiense vs Ponte Preta Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 72.4%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 75.1%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 72%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
72.4%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
75.1%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
72%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Atletico Goianiense Win 72.4%
Draw 7.4%
Ponte Preta Win 20.3%
Expected Goals (xG)
Atletico Goianiense1.46
Ponte Preta0.88
Recent Form (Last 5)
Atletico Goianiense Atletico Goianiense
WWDLW
16 GF / 16 GA
Ponte Preta Ponte Preta
WLDWL
10 GF / 27 GA
Key Stats
1.14
Average Goals Scored
0.71
1.14
Average Goals Conceded
1.93
10
BTTS Yes
7
6
Over 2.5
8
4.43
Shots on Goal
3.29

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Atletico Goianiense Atletico Goianiense 14 matches
Ponte Preta Ponte Preta 14 matches
Atletico Goianiense Statistic Ponte Preta
4 Wins 2
6 Draws 2
4 Losses 10
16 Goals For 10
16 Goals Against 27
1.14 Avg Goals Scored 0.71
1.14 Avg Goals Conceded 1.93
10 BTTS Yes 7
10 Over 1.5 10
6 Over 2.5 8
1 Over 3.5 3
2 Clean Sheets 2
3 Failed To Score 6
4.43 Shots On Goal 3.29
14 Total Shots 10.57
6.21 Corners 5.43
46.1% Ball Possession 43.4%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Ponte Preta arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward Ponte Preta. Atletico Goianiense arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 13 with 18 points compared to Ponte Preta in 19 on 8, which underlines the gap in season consistency. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Atletico Goianiense Analysis

Atletico Goianiense are currently 13 in the standings with 18 points from 14 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 4 wins, 6 draws, and 4 losses, while the 16:16 goal ratio supports the view of poor form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on Gustavo Coutinho (7 goals), Leo Jaco (4 goals), Guilherme (2 goals), with creative support from Guilherme (3 assists), Geovany Soares (3 assists), Bruno José (2 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. At home, their split return of 2 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses fits a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.

Ponte Preta Analysis

Ponte Preta sit 19 with 8 points after 13 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Across the season they have posted 2 wins, 2 draws, and 9 defeats, and the 10:25 goal record continues to suggest poor form with results showing a clear downward trend. Their attacking burden often falls on Willian Pottker (3 goals), Bryan Borges (1 goals), Danilo Barcelos (1 goals), with creative support from Diego Tavares (3 assists), Elvis (1 assists), Luis Phelipe (1 assists), while at the back they have been very solid. Away from home, they have managed 1 wins, 0 draws, and 5 losses, a return that supports a weak split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 14 head-to-head meetings, Atletico Goianiense won 9 times, Ponte Preta won 1 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 25:11 from Atletico Goianiense's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 2.57 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (92.7%)
Predicted formations: Atletico Goianiense 4-2-3-1 / Ponte Preta 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Atletico Goianiense wins 9, draws 4, Ponte Preta wins 1

Standings

Serie B
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 32 17 8 7 37:19 18 59
W W W L L
2 32 17 7 8 44:31 13 58
D W W W D
3 32 16 9 7 54:27 27 57
W W D L D
4 32 15 11 6 37:27 10 56
W D D W D
5 32 15 8 9 33:28 5 53
L W W L L
6 32 14 10 8 40:30 10 52
L W W L W
7 32 15 6 11 49:45 4 51
W L W L W
8 32 13 11 8 44:34 10 50
W W L W L
9 32 13 9 10 44:43 1 48
L L D W D
10 32 11 14 7 32:25 7 47
D W L W D
11 32 13 6 13 32:40 -8 45
W L L W W
12 32 12 9 11 44:34 10 45
L W D W W
13 32 11 9 12 39:40 -1 42
L D W L D
14 32 11 9 12 35:39 -4 42
W W D W D
15 32 10 12 10 38:37 1 42
L L D D W
16 32 10 8 14 36:38 -2 38
W L W D L
17 32 9 6 17 32:43 -11 33
W L L L D
18 32 7 7 18 40:47 -7 28
L L L L W
19 32 4 5 23 21:53 -32 17
L L L L L
20 32 3 4 25 17:68 -51 13
L L L W L
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