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BRAZIL › SERIE B
12.07.2026 21:00
Estádio Antônio Accioly
Referee: Lucas Canetto Bellote, Brazil
Atletico Goianiense
Match Timeline
Fortaleza EC
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
20'
Bruno José
Atletico Goianiense
VAR
32'
Gustavo Coutinho
Atletico Goianiense
🟥
33'
Gustavo Coutinho
Atletico Goianiense
🔄
36'
Bruno Jose ↔ Tito
Atletico Goianiense
🔄
36'
Geovany Soares ↔ Cristiano
Atletico Goianiense
🟨
41'
Maurício Júnior
Fortaleza EC
⚽
42'
Klebert
Atletico Goianiense
🔄
46'
Vitinho ↔ Pedro Henrique
Fortaleza EC
🔄
46'
Mauricio Junior ↔ Mailton
Fortaleza EC
🔄
46'
Pierre ↔ Welliton
Fortaleza EC
🟨
49'
Lucas Gazal
Fortaleza EC
🟨
62'
Rodriguinho
Fortaleza EC
🔄
77'
Klebert ↔ Matheus Indio
Atletico Goianiense
🔄
79'
Rodriguinho ↔ Lucas Crispim
Fortaleza EC
🔄
80'
Lucas Gazal ↔ Lucca Prior
Fortaleza EC
🟨
84'
Gabriel Fuentes
Fortaleza EC
🔄
87'
Marrony ↔ Leo Jaco
Atletico Goianiense
🟨
90+1'
Maílton
Fortaleza EC

Atletico Goianiense vs Fortaleza EC Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 81.8%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 75%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 66.7%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
81.8%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
75%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
66.7%
- ▥
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
73.7%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Atletico Goianiense Win 37.1%
Draw 18.2%
Fortaleza EC Win 44.6%
Expected Goals (xG)
Atletico Goianiense1.08
Fortaleza EC1.23
Recent Form (Last 5)
Atletico Goianiense Atletico Goianiense
WWDLW
18 GF / 19 GA
Fortaleza EC Fortaleza EC
WLDWL
20 GF / 16 GA
Key Stats
1.13
Average Goals Scored
1.25
1.19
Average Goals Conceded
1
10
BTTS Yes
6
7
Over 2.5
8
4.5
Shots on Goal
4.44

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Atletico Goianiense Atletico Goianiense 16 matches
Fortaleza EC Fortaleza EC 16 matches
Atletico Goianiense Statistic Fortaleza EC
5 Wins 8
6 Draws 4
5 Losses 4
18 Goals For 20
19 Goals Against 16
1.13 Avg Goals Scored 1.25
1.19 Avg Goals Conceded 1
10 BTTS Yes 6
12 Over 1.5 10
7 Over 2.5 8
1 Over 3.5 3
3 Clean Sheets 7
4 Failed To Score 6
4.5 Shots On Goal 4.44
14.06 Total Shots 13.88
6 Corners 4.81
47.5% Ball Possession 45.4%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by Fortaleza EC's more proactive style and Atletico Goianiense's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Fortaleza EC. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Atletico Goianiense expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Fortaleza EC in 3-4-2-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Fortaleza EC having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Fortaleza EC carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 4 with 28 points while Atletico Goianiense sit 12 on 21, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output.

Atletico Goianiense Analysis

So far, Atletico Goianiense have built a campaign that leaves them 12 in the table on 21 points from 16 matches. The record of 5 wins, 6 draws, and 5 defeats, together with a 18:19 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through Gustavo Coutinho (6 goals), Léo Jacó (3 goals), Guilherme Marques (2 goals), with creative support from Guilherme Marques (3 assists), Geovany Soares (2 assists), Bruno José (2 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. At home, the record of 3 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses points toward a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

Fortaleza EC Analysis

Fortaleza EC come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 4 place with 28 points after 16 matches. With 8 wins, 4 draws, and 4 defeats plus a goal balance of 20:16, they continue to show good form over their recent run. Their attacking quality is driven by Juan Miritello (3 goals), Vitinho (3 goals), Luiz Fernando (2 goals), with creative support from Maílton (1 assists), Emanuel Brítez (1 assists), Maurício Júnior (1 assists), and at the back they have appeared very solid. Away from home, they have managed 2 wins, 3 draws, and 3 losses, which underlines a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 11 head-to-head meetings, Atletico Goianiense won 5 times, Fortaleza EC won 3 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 13:8 from Atletico Goianiense's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 matches, with an average of 1.91 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (81.8%)
Predicted formations: Atletico Goianiense 4-2-3-1 / Fortaleza EC 3-4-2-1
H2H summary: Atletico Goianiense wins 5, draws 3, Fortaleza EC wins 3

Standings

Serie B
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 33 18 7 8 46:31 15 61
W D W W W
2 33 17 9 7 59:28 31 60
W W W D L
3 33 17 9 7 39:21 18 60
D W W W L
4 33 15 12 6 39:29 10 57
D W D D W
5 33 16 8 9 34:28 6 56
W L W W L
6 33 14 11 8 41:31 10 53
D L W W L
7 33 15 7 11 51:47 4 52
D W L W L
8 33 13 12 8 45:35 10 51
D W W L W
9 33 14 6 13 34:40 -6 48
W W L L W
10 33 13 9 11 44:45 -1 48
L L L D W
11 33 11 14 8 32:26 6 47
L D W L W
12 33 12 10 11 46:36 10 46
D L W D W
13 33 11 9 13 39:42 -3 42
L L D W L
14 33 11 9 13 35:40 -5 42
L W W D W
15 32 10 12 10 38:37 1 42
L L D D W
16 33 11 8 14 37:38 -1 41
W W L W D
17 33 10 6 17 33:43 -10 36
W W L L L
18 32 7 7 18 40:47 -7 28
L L L L W
19 33 4 5 24 21:54 -33 17
L L L L L
20 33 3 4 26 18:73 -55 13
L L L L W
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