BRAZIL › SERIE B
03.10.2026 19:00
Estadio Antonio Accioly
Referee: Marianna Nanni Batalha
Atletico Goianiense
Match Timeline
America Mineiro
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
5'
Marrony da Silva Liberato Silveira
Atletico Goianiense
VAR
12'
Fábio das Neves Gerônimo de Almeida
America Mineiro
🟨
22'
Guilherme Parede
America Mineiro
🟨
28'
Luca Sosa
America Mineiro
🔄
49'
Heitor Manuel Barcelos Lima ↔ Julio César Leme Do Nascimento
America Mineiro
⚽
53'
Adriano Fonseca · Assist: José Domingos de Moraes Neto
Atletico Goianiense
🟨
59'
José Domingos de Moraes Neto
Atletico Goianiense
🔄
60'
Geovany Soares ↔ Guilherme Costa Marques
Atletico Goianiense
🔄
60'
Gustavo Maia da Silva ↔ Matheuzinho
Atletico Goianiense
🔄
60'
Marrony da Silva Liberato Silveira ↔ Bruno José
Atletico Goianiense
🔄
60'
Gustavo Coutinho Silva Lopes ↔ João Pedro
Atletico Goianiense
🔄
62'
Willian ↔ Marcelo Enrique Maçola Filho
America Mineiro
🔄
62'
Guilherme Parede ↔ Ricardo Silva
America Mineiro
🔄
74'
José Domingos de Moraes Neto ↔ Cristiano Claudinei Nogueira
Atletico Goianiense
🔄
74'
Rafael Raul Barcelos ↔ Tobias Ostchega
America Mineiro
🔄
74'
Matías Segovia ↔ Filipe Pereira Dahora
America Mineiro

Atletico Goianiense vs America Mineiro Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 88%
Odds 1.31
BTTS
Yes
Probability 62.8%
Odds 2.20
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 64.5%
Odds 1.71
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
88%
1.31 ▥
BTTS Yes
62.8%
2.20 ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
64.5%
1.71 ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
1.13 ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
1.83 ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
9.00 ▥
Probability Distribution
Atletico Goianiense Win 88%
Draw 6%
America Mineiro Win 6%
Expected Goals (xG)
Atletico Goianiense1.41
America Mineiro0.78
Recent Form (Last 5)
Atletico Goianiense Atletico Goianiense
WWDLW
37 GF / 27 GA
America Mineiro America Mineiro
WLDWL
21 GF / 50 GA
Key Stats
1.23
Average Goals Scored
0.7
0.9
Average Goals Conceded
1.67
14
BTTS Yes
14
12
Over 2.5
16
4.43
Shots on Goal
4.6

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Atletico Goianiense Atletico Goianiense 30 matches
America Mineiro America Mineiro 30 matches
Atletico Goianiense Statistic America Mineiro
13 Wins 4
10 Draws 5
7 Losses 21
37 Goals For 21
27 Goals Against 50
1.23 Avg Goals Scored 0.7
0.9 Avg Goals Conceded 1.67
14 BTTS Yes 14
19 Over 1.5 22
12 Over 2.5 16
4 Over 3.5 4
11 Clean Sheets 4
8 Failed To Score 13
4.43 Shots On Goal 4.6
14.47 Total Shots 13.73
5.83 Corners 5.43
48.9% Ball Possession 53.6%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by Atletico Goianiense's more proactive style and America Mineiro's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward America Mineiro. America Mineiro arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. Atletico Goianiense arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 7 with 46 points compared to America Mineiro in 19 on 17, which underlines the gap in season consistency. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Atletico Goianiense Analysis

So far, Atletico Goianiense have built a campaign that leaves them 7 in the table on 46 points from 29 matches. The record of 12 wins, 10 draws, and 7 defeats, together with a 36:27 goal balance, points toward good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through Gustavo Coutinho (11 goals), Soares Geovany (3 goals), Guilherme Marques (3 goals), with creative support from Soares Geovany (7 assists), Guilherme Marques (3 assists), Guilherme Lopes (3 assists), while at the back they have looked fairly stable. At home, they have returned 8 wins, 4 draws, and 3 losses, a split that suggests a very strong split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

America Mineiro Analysis

America Mineiro sit 19 with 17 points after 29 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. The overall return of 4 wins, 5 draws, and 20 defeats with a 21:49 goal balance points toward mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on Gonzalo Mastriani (4 goals), Willian (3 goals), M. Segovia (2 goals), with creative support from Willian (2 assists), M. Segovia (2 assists), Paulo Victor (2 assists), while defensively they have looked quite vulnerable. Away from home, they have returned 1 wins, 2 draws, and 12 losses, which indicates a weak split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Atletico Goianiense won 4 times, America Mineiro won 4 times, while 7 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 15:15 from Atletico Goianiense's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 2 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 1X (94%)
Predicted formations: Atletico Goianiense 4-2-3-1 / America Mineiro 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Atletico Goianiense wins 4, draws 7, America Mineiro wins 4

Standings

Serie B
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 31 17 6 8 44:31 13 57
W W W D W
2 31 16 8 7 35:19 16 56
W W L L W
3 31 15 9 7 52:27 25 54
W D L D W
4 31 15 8 8 33:27 6 53
W W L L L
5 31 14 11 6 36:27 9 53
D D W D W
6 31 14 10 7 39:27 12 52
W W L W W
7 31 14 6 11 46:44 2 48
L W L W L
8 31 13 9 9 43:41 2 48
L D W D W
9 31 12 11 8 42:33 9 47
W L W L W
10 31 11 13 7 32:25 7 46
W L W D W
11 31 12 9 10 43:32 11 45
W D W W L
12 31 12 6 13 30:39 -9 42
L L W W L
13 31 11 9 11 39:38 1 42
D W L D L
14 31 10 12 9 37:35 2 42
L D D W L
15 31 10 9 12 34:39 -5 39
W D W D L
16 31 9 8 14 34:37 -3 35
L W D L L
17 31 8 6 17 30:42 -12 30
L L L D L
18 31 7 7 17 39:45 -6 28
L L L W W
19 31 4 5 22 21:52 -31 17
L L L L W
20 31 3 4 24 17:66 -49 13
L L W L L
Promotion
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