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11.10.2026 18:30

Atlanta vs San Martin Tucuman Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 68.4%
Odds -
BTTS
No
Probability 50.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 51.1%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
68.4%
- ▥
BTTS No
50.8%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
51.1%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 1-0
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Atlanta Win 68.4%
Draw 5.6%
San Martin Tucuman Win 26.1%
Expected Goals (xG)
Atlanta1.08
San Martin Tucuman1.02
Recent Form (Last 5)
Atlanta Atlanta
WWDLW
38 GF / 32 GA
San Martin Tucuman San Martin Tucuman
WLDWL
36 GF / 33 GA
Key Stats
1.15
Average Goals Scored
1.06
0.97
Average Goals Conceded
0.97
12
BTTS Yes
15
12
Over 2.5
10
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Atlanta Atlanta 33 matches
San Martin Tucuman San Martin Tucuman 34 matches
Atlanta Statistic San Martin Tucuman
17 Wins 10
4 Draws 15
12 Losses 9
38 Goals For 36
32 Goals Against 33
1.15 Avg Goals Scored 1.06
0.97 Avg Goals Conceded 0.97
12 BTTS Yes 15
19 Over 1.5 24
12 Over 2.5 10
6 Over 3.5 4
15 Clean Sheets 13
9 Failed To Score 11
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

Looking at the broader profile of both teams, this encounter highlights two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward San Martin Tucuman having the stronger overall control. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring San Martin Tucuman.

Atlanta Analysis

Atlanta approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 4 on 52 points after 31 outings. They have recorded 16 wins, 4 draws, and 11 losses, with a 35:28 goal return and good form over their recent run. In attack they lean heavily on their main attacking players, while defensively they have looked fairly stable. At home, they have managed 10 wins, 2 draws, and 4 losses, which underlines a very strong split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.

San Martin Tucuman Analysis

San Martin Tucuman are currently 11 in the standings with 40 points from 31 matches. The record of 9 wins, 13 draws, and 9 defeats, together with a 34:32 goal balance, points toward poor form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through their main attacking players, while at the back they have looked fairly stable. Away from home, the record of 4 wins, 5 draws, and 7 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 7 head-to-head meetings, Atlanta won 3 times, San Martin Tucuman won 2 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 8:11 from Atlanta's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 matches, with an average of 2.71 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (94.4%)
H2H summary: Atlanta wins 3, draws 2, San Martin Tucuman wins 2

Standings

Group 2
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 32 15 13 4 32:15 17 58
D W D D D
2 32 15 11 6 38:26 12 56
W L W D W
3 32 17 4 11 38:30 8 55
W W D W W
4 32 15 9 8 48:40 8 54
L D D W W
5 32 13 9 10 34:26 8 48
D L W W L
6 32 13 9 10 32:28 4 48
L W L D W
7 32 13 8 11 39:31 8 47
W W D D D
8 32 13 7 12 32:31 1 46
W W L W L
9 32 12 9 11 34:32 2 45
L L W D L
10 32 10 13 9 35:32 3 43
W D L W L
11 32 11 9 12 27:30 -3 42
L L W L L
12 32 10 9 13 30:27 3 39
D W L W L
13 32 10 8 14 28:38 -10 38
W L L D L
14 32 9 10 13 26:35 -9 37
D L W L W
15 32 9 9 14 23:30 -7 36
L W D L W
16 32 6 16 10 27:32 -5 34
L W D D D
17 32 9 6 17 24:33 -9 33
W L W L L
18 32 5 8 19 23:54 -31 23
L L L L L
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Super final)
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation