Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
73%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS No |
17.4%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
30.4%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
92%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-0 |
-
|
- |
Athletic Club
Valencia
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Athletic Club
47 matches
Valencia
39 matches
| Athletic Club | Statistic | Valencia |
|---|---|---|
| 18 | Wins | 14 |
| 7 | Draws | 9 |
| 22 | Losses | 16 |
| 56 | Goals For | 49 |
| 70 | Goals Against | 53 |
| 1.19 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.26 |
| 1.49 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.36 |
| 24 | BTTS Yes | 20 |
| 33 | Over 1.5 | 32 |
| 23 | Over 2.5 | 17 |
| 12 | Over 3.5 | 8 |
| 9 | Clean Sheets | 11 |
| 17 | Failed To Score | 9 |
| 4.23 | Shots On Goal | 3.28 |
| 13.4 | Total Shots | 11.69 |
| 5.49 | Corners | 4.95 |
| 47.6% | Ball Possession | 48% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
From a tactical perspective, this fixture features two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Athletic Club expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Valencia in 4-4-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Valencia having the stronger overall control. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Valencia. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest.
With 44 points from 34 games and a place of 8, Athletic Club still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Across the season they have posted 13 wins, 5 draws, and 16 defeats, and the 40:50 goal record continues to suggest mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on Gorka Guruzeta (9 goals), N. Williams (6 goals), R. Navarro (6 goals), with creative support from Yuri Berchiche (5 assists), I. Williams (4 assists), Gorka Guruzeta (3 assists), while at the back they have been quite vulnerable. At home, they have returned 9 wins, 2 draws, and 6 losses, which indicates a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.
Valencia sit 12 with 39 points after 34 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Their record of 10 wins, 9 draws, and 15 losses, together with goals at 37:50, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through H. Duro (9 goals), L. Ramazani (6 goals), A. Danjuma (3 goals), with creative support from L. Rioja (5 assists), Javier Guerra (5 assists), F. Ugrinic (3 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been quite vulnerable. Away from home, the split record of 3 wins, 4 draws, and 10 losses points to a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Athletic Club won 6 times, Valencia won 4 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 15:13 from Athletic Club's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 1.87 goals per game.
Athletic Club
4
3
5
2
5
2
Lineups
Athletic Club
Real Madrid
Athletic Club
Celta Vigo
Athletic Club
Espanyol
Athletic Club
Alaves
Athletic Club
Atletico Madrid
Athletic Club
Osasuna
Athletic Club
Villarreal
Athletic Club
Getafe
Athletic Club
Real Betis
Athletic Club
Girona
Athletic Club
Barcelona
Athletic Club
Real Sociedad
Athletic Club
Rayo Vallecano
Athletic Club
Elche
Athletic Club
Oviedo
Athletic Club
Real Sociedad
Athletic Club
Levante
Athletic Club
Valencia
Athletic Club
Real Sociedad
Athletic Club
Sporting CP
Valencia
Barcelona
Valencia
Real Sociedad
Valencia
Rayo Vallecano
Valencia
Atletico Madrid
Valencia
Girona
Valencia
Mallorca
Valencia
Elche
Valencia
Celta Vigo
Valencia
Sevilla
Valencia
Oviedo
Valencia
Alaves
Valencia
Osasuna
Valencia
Villarreal
Valencia
Levante
Valencia
Real Madrid
Valencia
Athletic Club
Valencia
Real Betis
Valencia
Espanyol
Valencia
Getafe
Valencia
Burgos
Athletic Club
Celta Vigo
Athletic Club
Osasuna
Athletic Club
Villarreal
Athletic Club
Real Betis
Athletic Club
Barcelona
Athletic Club
Elche
Athletic Club
Real Sociedad
Athletic Club
Levante
Athletic Club
Real Sociedad
Athletic Club
Sporting CP
Athletic Club
Espanyol
Athletic Club
Paris Saint Germain
Athletic Club
Atletico Madrid
Athletic Club
Real Madrid
Athletic Club
Oviedo
Athletic Club
Getafe
Athletic Club
Qarabag
Athletic Club
Mallorca
Athletic Club
Girona
Athletic Club
Arsenal
Valencia
Real Sociedad
Valencia
Mallorca
Valencia
Elche
Valencia
Sevilla
Valencia
Oviedo
Valencia
Villarreal
Valencia
Levante
Valencia
Real Betis
Valencia
Getafe
Valencia
Burgos
Valencia
Celta Vigo
Valencia
Sporting Gijon
Valencia
Atletico Madrid
Valencia
FC Cartagena
Valencia
Rayo Vallecano
Valencia
Real Madrid
Valencia
Maracena
Valencia
Alaves
Valencia
Girona
Valencia
Espanyol
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 38 | 31 | 1 | 6 | 95:36 | 59 | 94 |
L
W
L
W
W
|
|
| 2 | 38 | 27 | 5 | 6 | 77:35 | 42 | 86 |
W
W
W
L
W
|
|
| 3 | 38 | 22 | 6 | 10 | 72:46 | 26 | 72 |
W
L
L
D
W
|
|
| 4 | 38 | 21 | 6 | 11 | 62:44 | 18 | 69 |
L
W
W
L
W
|
|
| 5 | 38 | 15 | 15 | 8 | 59:48 | 11 | 60 |
W
L
W
D
W
|
|
| 6 | 38 | 14 | 12 | 12 | 53:48 | 5 | 54 |
W
D
L
W
W
|
|
| 7 | 38 | 15 | 6 | 17 | 32:38 | -6 | 51 |
W
L
W
D
L
|
|
| 8 | 38 | 12 | 14 | 12 | 41:44 | -3 | 50 |
W
W
D
D
W
|
|
| 9 |
Valencia
Away
|
38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | 46:55 | -9 | 49 |
W
W
D
W
L
|
| 10 | 38 | 11 | 13 | 14 | 59:61 | -2 | 46 |
D
L
D
D
L
|
|
| 11 | 38 | 12 | 10 | 16 | 43:55 | -12 | 46 |
D
W
W
L
L
|
|
| 12 |
Athletic Club
Home
|
38 | 13 | 6 | 19 | 43:58 | -15 | 45 |
L
D
L
L
W
|
| 13 | 38 | 12 | 7 | 19 | 46:60 | -14 | 43 |
L
L
W
W
W
|
|
| 14 | 38 | 11 | 10 | 17 | 44:56 | -12 | 43 |
L
W
W
D
L
|
|
| 15 | 38 | 10 | 13 | 15 | 49:57 | -8 | 43 |
D
W
L
D
L
|
|
| 16 | 38 | 11 | 9 | 18 | 47:61 | -14 | 42 |
L
W
W
W
L
|
|
| 17 | 38 | 11 | 9 | 18 | 44:50 | -6 | 42 |
L
L
L
L
L
|
|
| 18 | 38 | 11 | 9 | 18 | 47:57 | -10 | 42 |
W
L
L
D
W
|
|
| 19 | 38 | 9 | 14 | 15 | 39:55 | -16 | 41 |
D
L
D
D
L
|
|
| 20 | 38 | 6 | 11 | 21 | 26:60 | -34 | 29 |
L
L
L
D
L
|