Athletic Club vs Sport Recife Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
56.8%
|
2.71 | |
| BTTS | Yes |
78.8%
|
1.83 | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
77.2%
|
2.38 | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
78.3%
|
1.15 | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
4.33 | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
11.00 |
Athletic Club
Sport Recife
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Athletic Club
30 matches
Sport Recife
30 matches
| Athletic Club | Statistic | Sport Recife |
|---|---|---|
| 10 | Wins | 11 |
| 12 | Draws | 11 |
| 8 | Losses | 8 |
| 36 | Goals For | 40 |
| 33 | Goals Against | 32 |
| 1.2 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.33 |
| 1.1 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.07 |
| 17 | BTTS Yes | 19 |
| 23 | Over 1.5 | 23 |
| 11 | Over 2.5 | 15 |
| 5 | Over 3.5 | 5 |
| 8 | Clean Sheets | 10 |
| 8 | Failed To Score | 4 |
| 3.3 | Shots On Goal | 4.2 |
| 11.1 | Total Shots | 14.23 |
| 4.07 | Corners | 4.93 |
| 43.9% | Ball Possession | 54.9% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
Looking at the broader profile of both teams, this encounter highlights two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Sport Recife. Sport Recife arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day.
So far, Athletic Club have built a campaign that leaves them 13 in the table on 41 points from 29 matches. The record of 10 wins, 11 draws, and 8 defeats, together with a 34:31 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through Ronaldo Tavares (5 goals), Ian Luccas (4 goals), W. Aponza (4 goals), with creative support from Max (4 assists), Ian Luccas (2 assists), Lucas Belezi (2 assists), while at the back they have looked fairly stable. At home, they have returned 6 wins, 5 draws, and 4 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.
Sport Recife approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 9 with 44 points from 29 matches. Across the season they have posted 11 wins, 11 draws, and 7 defeats, and the 39:29 goal record continues to suggest mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on Chrystian Barletta (8 goals), Perotti (7 goals), Madson (2 goals), with creative support from Chrystian Barletta (3 assists), Biel (3 assists), Madson (2 assists), while at the back they have been fairly stable. Away from home, they have returned 4 wins, 4 draws, and 6 losses, which indicates a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with balanced attacking football.
Across those 2 head-to-head meetings, Athletic Club won 1 times, Sport Recife won 0 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 4:2 from Athletic Club's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 3 goals per game.
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 31 | 17 | 6 | 8 | 44:31 | 13 | 57 |
W
W
W
D
W
|
|
| 2 | 31 | 16 | 8 | 7 | 35:19 | 16 | 56 |
W
W
L
L
W
|
|
| 3 | 31 | 15 | 9 | 7 | 52:27 | 25 | 54 |
W
D
L
D
W
|
|
| 4 | 31 | 15 | 8 | 8 | 33:27 | 6 | 53 |
W
W
L
L
L
|
|
| 5 | 31 | 14 | 11 | 6 | 36:27 | 9 | 53 |
D
D
W
D
W
|
|
| 6 | 31 | 14 | 10 | 7 | 39:27 | 12 | 52 |
W
W
L
W
W
|
|
| 7 |
Sport Recife
Away
|
32 | 13 | 11 | 8 | 44:34 | 10 | 50 |
W
W
L
W
L
|
| 8 | 31 | 14 | 6 | 11 | 46:44 | 2 | 48 |
L
W
L
W
L
|
|
| 9 | 31 | 13 | 9 | 9 | 43:41 | 2 | 48 |
L
D
W
D
W
|
|
| 10 | 31 | 11 | 13 | 7 | 32:25 | 7 | 46 |
W
L
W
D
W
|
|
| 11 | 32 | 13 | 6 | 13 | 32:40 | -8 | 45 |
W
L
L
W
W
|
|
| 12 | 32 | 12 | 9 | 11 | 44:34 | 10 | 45 |
L
W
D
W
W
|
|
| 13 | 31 | 11 | 9 | 11 | 39:38 | 1 | 42 |
D
W
L
D
L
|
|
| 14 |
Athletic Club
Home
|
32 | 10 | 12 | 10 | 38:37 | 1 | 42 |
L
L
D
D
W
|
| 15 | 31 | 10 | 9 | 12 | 34:39 | -5 | 39 |
W
D
W
D
L
|
|
| 16 | 31 | 9 | 8 | 14 | 34:37 | -3 | 35 |
L
W
D
L
L
|
|
| 17 | 31 | 8 | 6 | 17 | 30:42 | -12 | 30 |
L
L
L
D
L
|
|
| 18 | 31 | 7 | 7 | 17 | 39:45 | -6 | 28 |
L
L
L
W
W
|
|
| 19 | 31 | 4 | 5 | 22 | 21:52 | -31 | 17 |
L
L
L
L
W
|
|
| 20 | 31 | 3 | 4 | 24 | 17:66 | -49 | 13 |
L
L
W
L
L
|