BRAZIL SERIE B
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Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 94.5%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 50%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 55.6%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
94.5%
-
BTTS Yes
50%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
55.6%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
69.2%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Athletic Club Win 50.8%
Draw 5.5%
Operario-PR Win 43.7%
Expected Goals (xG)
Athletic Club1.09
Operario-PR1.16
Recent Form (Last 5)
Athletic Club Athletic Club
WWDLW
16 GF / 15 GA
Operario-PR Operario-PR
WLDWL
19 GF / 17 GA
Key Stats
1.07
Average Goals Scored
1.27
1
Average Goals Conceded
1.13
10
BTTS Yes
7
4
Over 2.5
9
2.87
Shots on Goal
4.27

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Athletic Club Athletic Club 15 matches
Operario-PR Operario-PR 15 matches
Athletic Club Statistic Operario-PR
5 Wins 7
7 Draws 4
3 Losses 4
16 Goals For 19
15 Goals Against 17
1.07 Avg Goals Scored 1.27
1 Avg Goals Conceded 1.13
10 BTTS Yes 7
11 Over 1.5 10
4 Over 2.5 9
1 Over 3.5 1
3 Clean Sheets 7
3 Failed To Score 4
2.87 Shots On Goal 4.27
9.47 Total Shots 12.4
4 Corners 4.87
40.5% Ball Possession 50.9%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This fixture has the profile of a tight matchup, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity likely to keep the contest close. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Athletic Club expected to line up in 4-1-4-1 and Operario-PR in 4-4-1-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Operario-PR having the stronger overall control. Even if this develops into a close game, the analytical lean still edges toward Away Win, with a cautious clean-sheet angle toward Operario-PR. Operario-PR look sharper on recent form, and that momentum could be important in key phases of the match.

Athletic Club Analysis

Athletic Club are currently 9 in the standings with 22 points from 15 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 5 wins, 7 draws, and 3 losses, while the 16:15 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on Ronaldo Tavares (5 goals), Ian Luccas (3 goals), Lucas Belezi (1 goals), with creative support from Ian Luccas (2 assists), Lucas Belezi (1 assists), Diogo Batista de Souza (1 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. At home, they have returned 3 wins, 4 draws, and 1 losses, a split that suggests a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

Operario-PR Analysis

From their first 15 matches, Operario-PR have collected 25 points and now occupy 6 place in the table. Their overall return of 7 wins, 4 draws, and 4 losses with goals at 19:17 reflects very strong form with results showing strong momentum. Their attacking weight is carried by Boschilia (6 goals), Pablo (4 goals), Aylon (1 goals), with creative support from Mikael Doka (3 assists), Aylon (2 assists), Boschilia (1 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. Away from home, they have returned 3 wins, 1 draws, and 3 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 2 head-to-head meetings, Athletic Club won 2 times, Operario-PR won 0 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 6:2 from Athletic Club's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 4 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (94.5%)
Predicted formations: Athletic Club 4-1-4-1 / Operario-PR 4-4-1-1
H2H summary: Athletic Club wins 2, draws 0, Operario-PR wins 0
Last matches: Athletic Club
28.06.26
Ser
Athletic Club
Avai
1
0
W
20.06.26
Ser
Athletic Club
Londrina
0
2
L
14.06.26
Ser
Athletic Club
Goias
1
1
D
11.06.26
Ser
Athletic Club
Sport Recife
1
1
D
30.05.26
Ser
Athletic Club
Fortaleza EC
1
0
W
25.05.26
Ser
Athletic Club
Botafogo SP
2
1
W
17.05.26
Ser
Athletic Club
Juventude
1
1
D
09.05.26
Ser
Athletic Club
Cuiaba
0
0
D
04.05.26
Ser
Athletic Club
Vila Nova
1
1
D
27.04.26
Ser
Athletic Club
Nautico Recife
0
1
L
19.04.26
Ser
Athletic Club
Novorizontino
1
2
L
12.04.26
Ser
Athletic Club
CRB
3
2
W
05.04.26
Ser
Athletic Club
America Mineiro
1
1
D
02.04.26
Ser
Athletic Club
Criciuma
1
1
D
22.03.26
Ser
Athletic Club
Ponte Preta
2
1
W
Last matches: Operario-PR
27.06.26
Ser
Operario-PR
America Mineiro
1
0
W
21.06.26
Ser
Operario-PR
Goias
3
0
W
14.06.26
Ser
Operario-PR
Botafogo SP
1
2
L
05.06.26
Ser
Operario-PR
Juventude
2
1
W
31.05.26
Ser
Operario-PR
Ceara
2
1
W
24.05.26
Ser
Operario-PR
Criciuma
1
1
D
16.05.26
Ser
Operario-PR
Nautico Recife
2
6
L
09.05.26
Ser
Operario-PR
CRB
0
3
L
03.05.26
Ser
Operario-PR
Londrina
3
0
W
26.04.26
Ser
Operario-PR
Fortaleza EC
0
0
D
18.04.26
Ser
Operario-PR
Vila Nova
1
2
L
12.04.26
Ser
Operario-PR
Cuiaba
0
0
D
05.04.26
Ser
Operario-PR
Avai
0
0
D
02.04.26
Ser
Operario-PR
São Bernardo
2
1
W
21.03.26
Ser
Operario-PR
Atletico Goianiense
1
0
W
H2H: Athletic Club vs Operario-PR
08.10.25
H2H
Operario-PR
Athletic Club
1
4
W
14.06.25
H2H
Athletic Club
Operario-PR
2
1
W
Last matches: Athletic Club
28.06.26
Ser
Athletic Club
Avai
1
0
W
14.06.26
Ser
Athletic Club
Goias
1
1
D
30.05.26
Ser
Athletic Club
Fortaleza EC
1
0
W
17.05.26
Ser
Athletic Club
Juventude
1
1
D
09.05.26
Ser
Athletic Club
Cuiaba
0
0
D
27.04.26
Ser
Athletic Club
Nautico Recife
0
1
L
05.04.26
Ser
Athletic Club
America Mineiro
1
1
D
22.03.26
Ser
Athletic Club
Ponte Preta
2
1
W
H2H at home: Athletic Club
14.06.25
H2H
Athletic Club
Operario-PR
2
1
W
Last matches: Operario-PR
21.06.26
Ser
Operario-PR
Goias
3
0
W
14.06.26
Ser
Operario-PR
Botafogo SP
1
2
L
31.05.26
Ser
Operario-PR
Ceara
2
1
W
09.05.26
Ser
Operario-PR
CRB
0
3
L
18.04.26
Ser
Operario-PR
Vila Nova
1
2
L
05.04.26
Ser
Operario-PR
Avai
0
0
D
02.04.26
Ser
Operario-PR
São Bernardo
2
1
W
H2H away: Operario-PR
14.06.25
H2H
Athletic Club
Operario-PR
2
1
L

Standings

Serie B
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 15 8 4 3 23:17 6 28
L W L W W
2 16 8 4 4 20:16 4 28
W W D L W
3 15 7 6 2 24:14 10 27
W W D W D
4 15 7 6 2 17:11 6 27
W W D W W
5 15 7 4 4 20:12 8 25
L L D W D
6 15 7 4 4 16:8 8 25
W W W L W
7 15 7 4 4 19:17 2 25
W W L W W
8 15 6 7 2 18:11 7 25
L D D D W
9 16 5 8 3 12:9 3 23
W D L W W
10 15 5 7 3 16:15 1 22
W L D D W
11 15 6 3 6 14:21 -7 21
W L D L D
12 15 5 6 4 18:16 2 21
W D D W D
13 15 6 2 7 21:19 2 20
L L D L L
14 15 5 4 6 24:24 0 19
W D D L L
15 15 4 5 6 15:18 -3 17
L L D W L
16 15 4 4 7 14:14 0 16
L W W L D
17 15 4 3 8 19:24 -5 15
D W W L L
18 15 3 4 8 15:21 -6 13
L W L L L
19 16 2 2 12 10:31 -21 8
L L L L L
20 16 1 3 12 10:27 -17 6
L L L W L
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