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BRAZIL › SERIE B
17.05.2026 19:00
Estádio Joaquim Portugal
Referee: J. Vitor Gobi
Athletic Club
Match Timeline
Juventude
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
-5'
Ruan Lucas de Assis
Athletic Club
⚽
28'
D. Vera · Assist: Max
Athletic Club
🟨
30'
Raí
Juventude
🟨
32'
Diogo Barbosa
Juventude
🟨
36'
Gabriel Barbosa Pinheiro
Juventude
🟨
44'
Max
Athletic Club
🔄
53'
Nathan Santos ↔ Aderlan
Juventude
🔄
53'
MP ↔ Leo Indio
Juventude
🔄
60'
Gabriel Moyses ↔ Samuel Otusanya
Athletic Club
🔄
65'
D. Vera ↔ Ruan Assis
Athletic Club
🔄
67'
Lucas Mineiro ↔ Fabio Lima
Juventude
🔄
67'
Diogo Barbosa ↔ Wadson
Juventude
🔄
74'
Ian Luccas ↔ G. Cabezas
Athletic Club
🔄
74'
Max ↔ Douglas Pele
Athletic Club
🔄
75'
M. Castro ↔ Alisson Safira
Juventude
⚽
90'
Rai Silva · Assist: Alisson Safira
Juventude

Athletic Club vs Juventude Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 74%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 50.9%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 77.9%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
74%
- ▥
BTTS BTTS No
50.9%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
77.9%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
73.4%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-0
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Athletic Club Win 37.3%
Draw 26%
Juventude Win 36.7%
Expected Goals (xG)
Athletic Club0.88
Juventude0.83
Recent Form (Last 5)
Athletic Club Athletic Club
WWDLW
9 GF / 9 GA
Juventude Juventude
WLDWL
5 GF / 4 GA
Key Stats
1.13
Average Goals Scored
0.63
1.13
Average Goals Conceded
0.5
6
BTTS Yes
1
3
Over 2.5
1
3.5
Shots on Goal
3.88

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Athletic Club Athletic Club 8 matches
Juventude Juventude 8 matches
Athletic Club Statistic Juventude
2 Wins 3
4 Draws 3
2 Losses 2
9 Goals For 5
9 Goals Against 4
1.13 Avg Goals Scored 0.63
1.13 Avg Goals Conceded 0.5
6 BTTS Yes 1
6 Over 1.5 3
3 Over 2.5 1
1 Over 3.5 0
1 Clean Sheets 6
2 Failed To Score 4
3.5 Shots On Goal 3.88
8.63 Total Shots 10.63
3.75 Corners 3.5
42.5% Ball Possession 51.6%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match looks like a contest between Juventude's more proactive style and Athletic Club's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Juventude. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Athletic Club expected to line up in 4-3-3 and Juventude in 3-4-2-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Juventude having the stronger overall control. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day.

Athletic Club Analysis

So far, Athletic Club have built a campaign that leaves them 13 in the table on 10 points from 8 matches. Their overall return of 2 wins, 4 draws, and 2 losses with goals at 9:9 reflects poor form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by Ronaldo Tavares (5 goals), Belezi (1 goals), Bruninho (1 goals), with creative support from Belezi (1 assists), Jota (1 assists), Ruan Assis (1 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. At home, they have returned 1 wins, 2 draws, and 1 losses, a split that suggests a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.

Juventude Analysis

So far, Juventude have built a campaign that leaves them 9 in the table on 12 points from 8 matches. The record of 3 wins, 3 draws, and 2 defeats, together with a 5:4 goal balance, points toward good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through Alan Kardec (2 goals), Allanzinho (1 goals), Luan Martins Gonçalves (1 goals), with creative support from Alan Kardec (1 assists), Luan Martins Gonçalves (1 assists), M. Castro (1 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. Away from home, their split return of 1 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 1 head-to-head meetings, Athletic Club won 0 times, Juventude won 0 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 1:1 from Athletic Club's perspective. 0 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 2 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (74%)
Predicted formations: Athletic Club 4-3-3 / Juventude 3-4-2-1
H2H summary: Athletic Club wins 0, draws 1, Juventude wins 0

Standings

Serie B
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 33 18 7 8 46:31 15 61
W D W W W
2 33 17 9 7 39:21 18 60
D W W W L
3 32 16 9 7 54:27 27 57
W W D L D
4 32 15 11 6 37:27 10 56
W D D W D
5 32 15 8 9 33:28 5 53
L W W L L
6 33 14 11 8 41:31 10 53
D L W W L
7 32 15 6 11 49:45 4 51
W L W L W
8 33 13 12 8 45:35 10 51
D W W L W
9 33 14 6 13 34:40 -6 48
W W L L W
10 33 13 9 11 44:45 -1 48
L L L D W
11 33 11 14 8 32:26 6 47
L D W L W
12 33 12 10 11 46:36 10 46
D L W D W
13 33 11 9 13 39:42 -3 42
L L D W L
14 32 11 9 12 35:39 -4 42
W W D W D
15 32 10 12 10 38:37 1 42
L L D D W
16 32 10 8 14 36:38 -2 38
W L W D L
17 33 10 6 17 33:43 -10 36
W W L L L
18 32 7 7 18 40:47 -7 28
L L L L W
19 32 4 5 23 21:53 -32 17
L L L L L
20 32 3 4 25 17:68 -51 13
L L L W L
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