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BRAZIL › SERIE B
30.05.2026 21:00
Estádio Joaquim Portugal
Referee: Wagner do Nascimento Magalhaes, Brazil
Athletic Club
Match Timeline
Fortaleza EC
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
7'
Kauã Rocha
Fortaleza EC
🔄
46'
Rodriguinho ↔ Mailton
Fortaleza EC
🔄
46'
Kaua Rocha ↔ Luiz Fernando
Fortaleza EC
⚽
55'
Ian Luccas
Athletic Club
🔄
60'
Vitinho ↔ Lucas Crispim
Fortaleza EC
🔄
60'
Welliton ↔ T. Pochettino
Fortaleza EC
🔄
65'
D. Vera ↔ Jota
Athletic Club
🔄
65'
Max ↔ Bruninho
Athletic Club
🔄
72'
Rodrigo ↔ Lucca Prior
Fortaleza EC
🔄
81'
Ian Luccas ↔ Ruan Assis
Athletic Club
🔄
90'
G. Cabezas ↔ Alexandre Pena
Athletic Club
🔄
90'
Zeca ↔ Felipe Vieira
Athletic Club

Athletic Club vs Fortaleza EC Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 83.3%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 26%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 43.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
83.3%
- ▥
BTTS BTTS No
26%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
43.2%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
78.9%
- ▥
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
- ▥
Correct Score 0-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Athletic Club Win 37.8%
Draw 16.7%
Fortaleza EC Win 45.6%
Expected Goals (xG)
Athletic Club1.12
Fortaleza EC1.28
Recent Form (Last 5)
Athletic Club Athletic Club
WWDLW
12 GF / 11 GA
Fortaleza EC Fortaleza EC
WLDWL
14 GF / 10 GA
Key Stats
1.2
Average Goals Scored
1.4
1.1
Average Goals Conceded
1
8
BTTS Yes
4
4
Over 2.5
6
3.5
Shots on Goal
3.8

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Athletic Club Athletic Club 10 matches
Fortaleza EC Fortaleza EC 10 matches
Athletic Club Statistic Fortaleza EC
3 Wins 5
5 Draws 3
2 Losses 2
12 Goals For 14
11 Goals Against 10
1.2 Avg Goals Scored 1.4
1.1 Avg Goals Conceded 1
8 BTTS Yes 4
8 Over 1.5 6
4 Over 2.5 6
1 Over 3.5 3
1 Clean Sheets 5
2 Failed To Score 4
3.5 Shots On Goal 3.8
9.5 Total Shots 12.8
3.7 Corners 4
42.2% Ball Possession 41.8%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by Fortaleza EC's more proactive style and Athletic Club's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward Fortaleza EC. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Athletic Club expected to line up in 4-3-3 and Fortaleza EC in 3-4-2-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Fortaleza EC having the stronger overall control. Fortaleza EC carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 5 with 15 points while Athletic Club sit 14 on 11, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output.

Athletic Club Analysis

Athletic Club approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 14 with 11 points from 9 matches. Across the season they have posted 2 wins, 5 draws, and 2 defeats, and the 10:10 goal record continues to suggest poor form and have been stuck in a sequence of draws. Their attacking burden often falls on Ronaldo Tavares (5 goals), Belezi (1 goals), Bruninho (1 goals), with creative support from Belezi (1 assists), Jota (1 assists), Max (1 assists), while at the back they have been very solid. At home, they have managed 1 wins, 3 draws, and 1 losses, a return that supports a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

Fortaleza EC Analysis

Fortaleza EC come into this match from a strong league position, sitting 5 with 15 points from 9 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 4 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses, while the 11:10 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on J. B. Miritello (3 goals), Maílton (2 goals), Vitinho (2 goals), with creative support from Maílton (1 assists), Ruan Carvalho (1 assists), Emanuel Brítez (1 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. Away from home, their split return of 1 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses fits a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 1 head-to-head meetings, Athletic Club won 1 times, Fortaleza EC won 0 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 1:0 from Athletic Club's perspective. 0 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 0 matches, with an average of 1 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (83.3%)
Predicted formations: Athletic Club 4-3-3 / Fortaleza EC 3-4-2-1
H2H summary: Athletic Club wins 1, draws 0, Fortaleza EC wins 0

Standings

Serie B
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 33 18 7 8 46:31 15 61
W D W W W
2 33 17 9 7 59:28 31 60
W W W D L
3 33 17 9 7 39:21 18 60
D W W W L
4 33 15 12 6 39:29 10 57
D W D D W
5 33 16 8 9 34:28 6 56
W L W W L
6 33 14 11 8 41:31 10 53
D L W W L
7 33 15 7 11 51:47 4 52
D W L W L
8 33 13 12 8 45:35 10 51
D W W L W
9 33 14 6 13 34:40 -6 48
W W L L W
10 33 13 9 11 44:45 -1 48
L L L D W
11 33 11 14 8 32:26 6 47
L D W L W
12 33 12 10 11 46:36 10 46
D L W D W
13 33 11 9 13 39:42 -3 42
L L D W L
14 33 11 9 13 35:40 -5 42
L W W D W
15 32 10 12 10 38:37 1 42
L L D D W
16 33 11 8 14 37:38 -1 41
W W L W D
17 33 10 6 17 33:43 -10 36
W W L L L
18 32 7 7 18 40:47 -7 28
L L L L W
19 33 4 5 24 21:54 -33 17
L L L L L
20 33 3 4 26 18:73 -55 13
L L L L W
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