Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | No Draw |
79.4%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS No |
17.4%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
24.1%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
92%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-0 |
-
|
- |
Athletic Club
Celta Vigo
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Athletic Club
49 matches
Celta Vigo
53 matches
| Athletic Club | Statistic | Celta Vigo |
|---|---|---|
| 18 | Wins | 21 |
| 7 | Draws | 15 |
| 24 | Losses | 17 |
| 56 | Goals For | 77 |
| 73 | Goals Against | 68 |
| 1.14 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.45 |
| 1.49 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.28 |
| 24 | BTTS Yes | 34 |
| 34 | Over 1.5 | 44 |
| 23 | Over 2.5 | 28 |
| 12 | Over 3.5 | 13 |
| 9 | Clean Sheets | 14 |
| 19 | Failed To Score | 8 |
| 4.22 | Shots On Goal | 4.08 |
| 13.37 | Total Shots | 10.49 |
| 5.71 | Corners | 3.87 |
| 47.6% | Ball Possession | 49.5% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
This fixture has the profile of a tight matchup, with Celta Vigo's more proactive style and Athletic Club's more cautious structure likely to keep the contest close. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Celta Vigo. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Athletic Club expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Celta Vigo in 3-4-2-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Celta Vigo having the stronger overall control. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns.
Athletic Club approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 9 with 44 points from 35 matches. Their record of 13 wins, 5 draws, and 17 losses, together with goals at 40:51, reflects mixed form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through Gorka Guruzeta (9 goals), N. Williams (6 goals), R. Navarro (6 goals), with creative support from Yuri Berchiche (5 assists), I. Williams (4 assists), Gorka Guruzeta (3 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been quite vulnerable. At home, they have managed 9 wins, 2 draws, and 7 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.
With 50 points from 35 games and a place of 6, Celta Vigo still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Across the season they have posted 13 wins, 11 draws, and 11 defeats, and the 49:44 goal record continues to suggest mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on B. Iglesias (14 goals), Ferran Jutglà (7 goals), Iago Aspas (5 goals), with creative support from Williot Swedberg (5 assists), J. Rueda (5 assists), Óscar Mingueza (4 assists), while at the back they have been quite vulnerable. Away from home, the split record of 8 wins, 6 draws, and 4 losses points to a very strong split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader football approach still suggests balanced attacking football.
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Athletic Club won 6 times, Celta Vigo won 6 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 18:19 from Athletic Club's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 2.47 goals per game.
Athletic Club
9
2
14
0
4
1
Lineups
Athletic Club
Real Madrid
Athletic Club
Espanyol
Athletic Club
Valencia
Athletic Club
Alaves
Athletic Club
Atletico Madrid
Athletic Club
Osasuna
Athletic Club
Villarreal
Athletic Club
Getafe
Athletic Club
Real Betis
Athletic Club
Girona
Athletic Club
Barcelona
Athletic Club
Real Sociedad
Athletic Club
Rayo Vallecano
Athletic Club
Elche
Athletic Club
Oviedo
Athletic Club
Real Sociedad
Athletic Club
Levante
Athletic Club
Valencia
Athletic Club
Real Sociedad
Athletic Club
Sporting CP
Celta Vigo
Sevilla
Celta Vigo
Levante
Celta Vigo
Atletico Madrid
Celta Vigo
Elche
Celta Vigo
Villarreal
Celta Vigo
Barcelona
Celta Vigo
SC Freiburg
Celta Vigo
Oviedo
Celta Vigo
SC Freiburg
Celta Vigo
Valencia
Celta Vigo
Alaves
Celta Vigo
Lyon
Celta Vigo
Real Betis
Celta Vigo
Lyon
Celta Vigo
Real Madrid
Celta Vigo
Girona
Celta Vigo
PAOK
Celta Vigo
Mallorca
Celta Vigo
PAOK
Celta Vigo
Espanyol
Athletic Club
Valencia
Athletic Club
Osasuna
Athletic Club
Villarreal
Athletic Club
Real Betis
Athletic Club
Barcelona
Athletic Club
Elche
Athletic Club
Real Sociedad
Athletic Club
Levante
Athletic Club
Real Sociedad
Athletic Club
Sporting CP
Athletic Club
Espanyol
Athletic Club
Paris Saint Germain
Athletic Club
Atletico Madrid
Athletic Club
Real Madrid
Athletic Club
Oviedo
Athletic Club
Getafe
Athletic Club
Qarabag
Athletic Club
Mallorca
Athletic Club
Girona
Athletic Club
Arsenal
Celta Vigo
Atletico Madrid
Celta Vigo
Villarreal
Celta Vigo
Barcelona
Celta Vigo
SC Freiburg
Celta Vigo
Valencia
Celta Vigo
Lyon
Celta Vigo
Real Betis
Celta Vigo
Girona
Celta Vigo
PAOK
Celta Vigo
Espanyol
Celta Vigo
Getafe
Celta Vigo
FK Crvena Zvezda
Celta Vigo
Real Sociedad
Celta Vigo
Sevilla
Celta Vigo
Oviedo
Celta Vigo
Albacete
Celta Vigo
Real Madrid
Celta Vigo
Sant Andreu
Celta Vigo
Ludogorets
Celta Vigo
Alaves
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 38 | 31 | 1 | 6 | 95:36 | 59 | 94 |
L
W
L
W
W
|
|
| 2 | 38 | 27 | 5 | 6 | 77:35 | 42 | 86 |
W
W
W
L
W
|
|
| 3 | 38 | 22 | 6 | 10 | 72:46 | 26 | 72 |
W
L
L
D
W
|
|
| 4 | 38 | 21 | 6 | 11 | 62:44 | 18 | 69 |
L
W
W
L
W
|
|
| 5 | 38 | 15 | 15 | 8 | 59:48 | 11 | 60 |
W
L
W
D
W
|
|
| 6 |
Celta Vigo
Away
|
38 | 14 | 12 | 12 | 53:48 | 5 | 54 |
W
D
L
W
W
|
| 7 | 38 | 15 | 6 | 17 | 32:38 | -6 | 51 |
W
L
W
D
L
|
|
| 8 | 38 | 12 | 14 | 12 | 41:44 | -3 | 50 |
W
W
D
D
W
|
|
| 9 | 38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | 46:55 | -9 | 49 |
W
W
D
W
L
|
|
| 10 | 38 | 11 | 13 | 14 | 59:61 | -2 | 46 |
D
L
D
D
L
|
|
| 11 | 38 | 12 | 10 | 16 | 43:55 | -12 | 46 |
D
W
W
L
L
|
|
| 12 |
Athletic Club
Home
|
38 | 13 | 6 | 19 | 43:58 | -15 | 45 |
L
D
L
L
W
|
| 13 | 38 | 12 | 7 | 19 | 46:60 | -14 | 43 |
L
L
W
W
W
|
|
| 14 | 38 | 11 | 10 | 17 | 44:56 | -12 | 43 |
L
W
W
D
L
|
|
| 15 | 38 | 10 | 13 | 15 | 49:57 | -8 | 43 |
D
W
L
D
L
|
|
| 16 | 38 | 11 | 9 | 18 | 47:61 | -14 | 42 |
L
W
W
W
L
|
|
| 17 | 38 | 11 | 9 | 18 | 44:50 | -6 | 42 |
L
L
L
L
L
|
|
| 18 | 38 | 11 | 9 | 18 | 47:57 | -10 | 42 |
W
L
L
D
W
|
|
| 19 | 38 | 9 | 14 | 15 | 39:55 | -16 | 41 |
D
L
D
D
L
|
|
| 20 | 38 | 6 | 11 | 21 | 26:60 | -34 | 29 |
L
L
L
D
L
|